Valentin Royer vs Marin Cilic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Madrid Challenger Men Valentin Royer - Marin Cilic
Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
98
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
65%63%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (52/74)84% (47/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
63% (25/40)55% (18/33)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)25% (1/4)
1st Return Points Won
16% (9/56)30% (22/74)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (15/33)38% (15/40)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)60% (3/5)
Service Points Won
68% (77/114)73% (65/89)
Return Points Won
27% (24/89)32% (37/114)
Total Points Won
50% (101/203)50% (102/203)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
11
Service Games Won
82% (14/17)81% (13/16)
Return Games Won
19% (3/16)18% (3/17)
Total Games Won
52% (17/33)48% (16/33)

Chances of winning


Valentin Royer
49.5%
Marin Cilic
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 58.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valentin Royer's performance.
  • Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marin Cilic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentin Royer that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marin Cilic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Valentin Royer - Marin Cilic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.09)

    1.84
    (1.66)
    7.8%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Valentin Royer - Marin Cilic?
  • Users Predictions: Marin Cilic will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.02%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marin Cilic will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Royer is ranked ATP: 116. Cilic is ranked ATP: 117.
    • Recent matches Royer is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cilic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Cilic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Valentin Royer
    Latest results of Marin Cilic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Blockx A.2 : 0
    2Rincon D. (Alt)Piros Z. (Q)1 : 2
    3Holmgren A.Virtanen O.2 : 1
    4Hardt N. (LL)Royer V. (7)0 : 2
    5Harris B. (3)Ofner S.1 : 2
    6Giustino L. (Q)Gaubas V.1 : 2
    7Trungelliti M.Merida Aguilar D. (WC)2 : 0
    8Buse I. (Alt)Cilic M. (8)0 : 2
    9Kotov P. (5)Hassan B.2 : 0
    10Butvilas E.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    11Damas M. (WC)Gombos N. (Q)0 : 2
    12Boyer T.Shevchenko A. (4)0 : 2
    13Carreno-Busta P. (6)Paul J. (Q)2 : 0
    14Hemery C.Zapata Miralles B. (Q)2 : 1
    15Taberner C.Roca Batalla O. (Q)2 : 0
    16Majchrzak K.Dellien H. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Piros Z.1 : 2
    2Holmgren A.Royer V. (7)0 : 2
    3Ofner S.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    4Trungelliti M.Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    5Kotov P. (5)Moro Canas A.2 : 1
    6Gombos N.Shevchenko A. (4)2 : 0
    7Carreno-Busta P. (6)Hemery C.2 : 1
    8Taberner C.Majchrzak K.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Piros Z. (RET.)Royer V. (7)0 : 0
    2Gaubas V.Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    3Kotov P. (5)Gombos N.1 : 2
    4Carreno-Busta P. (6)Majchrzak K.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Royer V. (7)Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    2Gombos N.Majchrzak K.1 : 2

    Final
    1Cilic M. (8)Majchrzak K.1 : 2