Result
2:1
10/04/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports Premium |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 48% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 73% (41/56) | 67% (28/42) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 41% (17/41) | 49% (22/45) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 14/17 | 6/10 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 33% (14/42) | 27% (15/56) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 59% (24/41) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/10 | 3/17 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 21 | 32 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 34 | 43 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 52% (13/25) | 85% (11/13) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (58/97) | 57% (50/87) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (37/87) | 40% (39/97) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (95/184) | 48% (89/184) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 71% (10/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 21% (3/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 54% (15/28) | 46% (13/28) |
Chances of winning
Valentin Vacherot
34.9% | Alex De Minaur
65.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Valentin Vacherot - Alex De Minaur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↓
(2.75) |
|
1.47 ↑
(1.45) |
4.4%
(5.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Valentin Vacherot - Alex De Minaur?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 7 - 35%). De Minaur will win (votes: 13 - 65%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 44.1% – 85.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alex De Minaur will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Vacherot is ranked ATP: 23. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6.
- Vacherot is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, De Minaur has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- De Minaur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- De Minaur might have a minor edge in this game.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Valentin Vacherot won against Alex De Minaur?
Valentin Vacherot has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Valentin Vacherot?
Alex De Minaur has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valentin Vacherot - Alex De Minaur were as follows:
Latest results of Valentin Vacherot
Latest results of Alex De Minaur
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Baez S. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Etcheverry T. M. | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Atmane T. | Quinn E. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Lehecka J. (11) | Nava E. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Fucsovics M. | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Monfils G. (WC) | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Bublik A. (8) | |
| 9 | Musetti L. (4) | Bye | |
| 10 | Vacherot V. | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Dzumhur D. (LL) | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Hurkacz H. (PR) | Darderi L. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Cobolli F. (10) | Comesana F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Shapovalov D. | Blockx A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Norrie C. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 18 | Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL) | Berrettini M. (WC) | 0 : 0 |
| 19 | Fonseca J. | Diallo G. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Rinderknech A. | Khachanov K. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Rublev A. (13) | Borges N. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Bergs Z. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Garin C. (Q) | Arnaldi M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Zverev A. (3) | |
| 25 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Bye | |
| 26 | Cilic M. | Shevchenko A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Moutet C. | Muller A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Popyrin A. | Ruud C. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Tsitsipas S. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Altmaier D. | Machac T. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Kouame M. (WC) | Humbert U. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Sinner J. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Etcheverry T. M. | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Lehecka J. (11) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Monfils G. | Bublik A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Musetti L. (4) | Vacherot V. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Marozsan F. | Hurkacz H. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Cobolli F. (10) | Blockx A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Norrie C. | De Minaur A. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (7) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Fonseca J. | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Rublev A. (13) | Bergs Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Garin C. | Zverev A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Moutet C. | Ruud C. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Machac T. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Humbert U. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Lehecka J. (11) | Bublik A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Vacherot V. | Hurkacz H. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Blockx A. | De Minaur A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Berrettini M. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Bergs Z. | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Ruud C. (RET.) (9) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Machac T. | Sinner J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bublik A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vacherot V. | De Minaur A. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Fonseca J. | Zverev A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Vacherot V. | |
| 2 | Zverev A. (3) | Sinner J. (2) | |
Final
