Derthona vs Valenzana Mado – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
01/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group A - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Daffonchio A. ,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Palazzolo N. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Derthona
40.8%
Draw
29.2%
Valenzana Mado
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 26.6% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 25.8% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derthona's form might have worsened.
  • Valenzana Mado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valenzana Mado's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derthona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenzana Mado than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valenzana Mado, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Derthona - Valenzana Mado Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (1.84)
    3.09
    (3.43)
    3.02
    (3.85)
    10.6%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8).
    • Derthona has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Valenzana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Derthona might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Derthona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derthona - Valenzana Mado were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Valenzana Mado - Derthona 1:2
    Latest results of Derthona
    25.01.2026 Ligorna - Derthona 1:0
    18.01.2026 Derthona - Vado 0:1
    11.01.2026 Sestri Levante - Derthona 4:0
    04.01.2026 Derthona - Club Milano 3:0
    21.12.2025 Derthona - Saluzzo 1:3
    Latest results of Valenzana Mado
    Italian Serie D - Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ligorna26185350:212959
    2Vado26184448:183058
    3Sestri Levante26138545:222347
    4Chisola26145732:221047
    5AS Biellese26127733:221143
    6Varese FC26126834:35-142
    7Saluzzo26107942:37537
    8Sanremese2698927:23435
    9Imperia2698929:33-435
    10Valenzana26881023:33-1032
    11Derthona FbC26941329:37-831
    12Gozzano26781128:32-429
    13Cairese26611920:29-929
    14Asti26671322:30-825
    15Celle Varazze26671330:40-1025
    16Lavagnese264111122:34-1223
    17Club Milano26651523:42-1923
    18NovaRomentin26631719:46-2720

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