Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 12
- Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Norway | TV2 Play |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.43 | 1.43 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
81% (390/483) | 75% (276/370) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.43 | 1.43 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.18 | 1.00 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 31 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
81% (390/483) | 75% (276/370) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (41/79) | 35% (23/66) |
Passes in final third |
---|
79% (138/174) | 60% (85/141) |
Crosses |
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28% (5/18) | 35% (9/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.89 | 1.46 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
78% (14/18) | 80% (20/25) |
Duels won |
---|
59 | 59 |
Clearances |
---|
34 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.00 | 1.18 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.12 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Shein R. R. ⚽,
- 26', Owusu L. 🟨,
- 39', Eid D. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Strand P. ⚽, Thorvaldsen F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Owusu L. ↓, Metcalfe P. ↑,
- 46', Skogvold H. ↓, Sorlokk S. ↑,
- 62', Ambina F. ↓, Bjordal H. ↑,
- 70', Rijks M. ↓, Brajanac M. ↑,
- 70', Sjatil H. ↓, Riisnaes M. ↑,
- 75', Hagen A. 🟨,
- 81', Ohlenschlaeger O. ↓, Bjartalid J. ↑,
- 85', Thorvaldsen F. ↓, Sorensen E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vålerenga 45.6% | Draw 27% | Fredrikstad 27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Vålerenga - Fredrikstad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.09 ↓ (2.21) |
3.49 ↑ (3.39) |
3.42 ↑ (3.37) |
5.8% (4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vålerenga - Fredrikstad?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Vålerenga will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vålerenga: 17% – 68.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vålerenga (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fredrikstad (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 1.
- Vålerenga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fredrikstad has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Vålerenga will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Fredrikstad: Faraas B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vålerenga: Sjovold S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fredrikstad: Bjartalid J.
(Knock)
Hanstad J.
(Inactive)
Kvile S.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vålerenga won against Fredrikstad?
Vålerenga has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Vålerenga?
Fredrikstad has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vålerenga - Fredrikstad were as follows:
09.04.2025
Fredrikstad
-
Vålerenga
2:0
06.10.2024
Vålerenga
-
Fredrikstad
0:1
16.02.2024
Vålerenga
-
Fredrikstad
1:3
10.03.2023
Vålerenga
-
Fredrikstad
1:0
Latest results of Vålerenga
Latest results of Fredrikstad
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Viking | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 42:24 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Tromso | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 31 |
3 | Brann | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
4 | Bodo/Glimt | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 29 |
5 | Rosenborg | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 27 |
6 | Sandefjord | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 24 |
7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 22 |
8 | Fredrikstad | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Kristiansund | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
10 | KFUM Oslo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Valerenga | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 18 |
12 | Bryne | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 18 |
13 | Molde | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 17 |
14 | HamKam | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:25 | -11 | 14 |
15 | Stromsgodset | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 17:33 | -16 | 6 |
16 | Haugesund | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5:39 | -34 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen