Vålerenga vs Fredrikstad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Norwegian NM Cup Vålerenga - Fredrikstad
Result
1:2
23/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NM Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
2412
Shots on target
73
Corner Kicks
101
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
2412
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
179
Corner Kicks
101

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Eid D. , Molde S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Molde S. , Rafn S. ,
  • 59', Woledzi M. , Owusu L. ,
  • 59', Shein R. R. , Ohlenschlaeger O. ,
  • 76', Ofkir M. , Meliga P. ,
  • 76', Sjatil H. , Lange C. ,
  • 82', Bjartalid J. 🟨,
  • 86', Sorlokk S. , Laghzaoui S. ,
  • 88', Sjovold S. , Strand P. ,
  • 88', Pallas N. , Vinicius Nogueira ,
  • 90', Rafn S. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Owusu S. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Tshiembe K. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 1 - 1, Strand P. ,
  • 90+8', 1 - 2, Skogvold H. ,

Chances of winning


Vålerenga
39.8%
Draw
25.9%
Fredrikstad
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 27% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 26.1% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Vålerenga - Fredrikstad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.18)
    3.64
    (3.44)
    2.75
    (3.07)
    6.5%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Vålerenga - Fredrikstad?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vålerenga (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Vålerenga will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 1.
    • Vålerenga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fredrikstad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vålerenga - Fredrikstad were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Vålerenga - Fredrikstad 1:1
    09.04.2025 Fredrikstad - Vålerenga 2:0
    06.10.2024 Vålerenga - Fredrikstad 0:1
    16.02.2024 Vålerenga - Fredrikstad 1:3
    10.03.2023 Vålerenga - Fredrikstad 1:0
    Latest results of Vålerenga
    13.09.2025 Brann - Vålerenga 3:2
    30.08.2025 Vålerenga - Bryne 3:2
    24.08.2025 Haugesund - Vålerenga 2:3
    17.08.2025 Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08 4:0
    Latest results of Fredrikstad
    20.09.2025 Fredrikstad - Bryne 1:1
    13.09.2025 Molde - Fredrikstad 1:2
    31.08.2025 Fredrikstad - Haugesund 2:2
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1NHHISandviken1 : 3
    2Volda TISogndal1 : 2
    3ElverumSK Gjovik-Lyn2 : 0
    4RidabuKongsvinger0 : 12
    5MelboSortland0 : 1
    6UlfstindTromsdalen0 : 3
    7Trygg/LadeStrindheim0 : 1
    8RindalRosenborg1 : 11
    9FK KvikStjordals Blink0 : 1
    10Sverresborg IFRanheim2 : 4
    11VindbjartJerv0 : 3
    12EigerEgersund1 : 7
    13Gamle OsloValerenga2 : 1
    14Sprint-JeloySarpsborg 080 : 4
    15OrnArendal2 : 1
    16TeieSandefjord0 : 5
    17NordstrandUll/Kisa3 : 4
    18RollonAalesund0 : 3
    19JunkerenHarstad2 : 1
    20InnstrandensBodo/Glimt0 : 8
    21OppsalKjelsas0 : 1
    22RadeLyn1 : 2
    23FriggLorenskog1 : 3
    24LillehammerHamKam0 : 2
    25OS TFFana4 : 2
    26GneistLysekloster0 : 2
    27Djerv 1919Sotra2 : 3
    28AskoyAsane1 : 5
    29UllernFollo2 : 5
    30Kvik HaldenMoss1 : 3
    31BroddFlekkeroy1 : 3
    32HanaViking0 : 6
    33FramEik-Tonsberg4 : 1
    34NotoddenStabaek0 : 3
    35VidarSandnes2 : 0
    36NordHaugesund0 : 11
    37BjorkelangenStrommen1 : 6
    38BrumunddalRaufoss1 : 4
    39AssidenMjondalen1 : 4
    40KonnerudStromsgodset0 : 5
    41VerdalLevanger0 : 8
    42MosjoenRana FK0 : 4
    43SpjelkavikTraeff0 : 2
    44ElnesvagenMolde0 : 7
    45BjornevatnAlta0 : 11
    46Union Carl BernerSkeid0 : 3
    47ByasenNardo3 : 5
    48MelhusKristiansund1 : 5
    49Baerum SportsklubbGrorud3 : 4
    50BrattvagHodd1 : 2
    51SkedsmoEidsvold TF0 : 5
    52SkjettenLillestrom0 : 5
    53HonefossPors0 : 1
    54VagStart2 : 4
    55FlintOdd3 : 2
    56Sarpsborg FKFredrikstad0 : 4
    57TorvastadV. Haugesund2 : 0
    58VarhaugBryne0 : 4
    59FjoraBjarg1 : 3
    60VareggBrann0 : 6
    61SkjervoyFloya2 : 1
    62HamnaTromso0 : 10
    63ReadyAsker4 : 3
    64GreiKFUM Oslo1 : 5

    1/32-finals
    1SandvikenSogndal0 : 4
    2ElverumKongsvinger2 : 7
    3SortlandTromsdalen0 : 5
    4StrindheimRosenborg0 : 3
    5Stjordals BlinkRanheim1 : 2
    6JervEgersund0 : 1
    7Gamle OsloSarpsborg 081 : 6
    8OrnSandefjord0 : 2
    9Ull/KisaAalesund2 : 3
    10JunkerenBodo/Glimt1 : 5
    11KjelsasLyn0 : 3
    12LorenskogHamKam0 : 1
    13OS TFLysekloster5 : 4
    14SotraAsane0 : 2
    15FolloMoss2 : 3
    16FlekkeroyViking0 : 3
    17FramStabaek0 : 4
    18VidarHaugesund1 : 2
    19StrommenRaufoss2 : 1
    20MjondalenStromsgodset2 : 1
    21LevangerRana FK1 : 2
    22TraeffMolde1 : 2
    23AltaSkeid3 : 0
    24NardoKristiansund1 : 4
    25GrorudHodd3 : 1
    26Eidsvold TFLillestrom0 : 2
    27PorsStart3 : 2
    28FlintFredrikstad0 : 5
    29TorvastadBryne1 : 2
    30BjargBrann0 : 2
    31SkjervoyTromso0 : 1
    32ReadyKFUM Oslo0 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1SogndalKongsvinger3 : 4
    2TromsdalenRosenborg0 : 5
    3RanheimEgersund2 : 3
    4Sarpsborg 08Sandefjord3 : 1
    5AalesundBodo/Glimt1 : 0
    6LynHamKam0 : 2
    7OS TFAsane1 : 4
    8MossViking0 : 1
    9StabaekHaugesund2 : 1
    10StrommenMjondalen1 : 3
    11Rana FKMolde0 : 4
    12AltaKristiansund0 : 4
    13GrorudLillestrom2 : 3
    14PorsFredrikstad1 : 3
    15BryneBrann2 : 1
    16TromsoKFUM Oslo0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1KongsvingerRosenborg2 : 3
    2EgersundSarpsborg 081 : 3
    3AalesundHamKam3 : 2
    4AsaneViking0 : 7
    5StabaekMjondalen4 : 3
    6MoldeKristiansund3 : 4
    7LillestromFredrikstad2 : 1
    8BryneKFUM Oslo0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1RosenborgSarpsborg 082 : 3
    2AalesundViking0 : 1
    3StabaekKristiansund2 : 3
    4LillestromKFUM Oslo2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sarpsborg 08Viking1 : 0
    2KristiansundLillestrom0 : 2

    Final
    1Sarpsborg 08Lillestrom