Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 12
- Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (390/483) | 75% (276/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (390/483) | 75% (276/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (41/79) | 35% (23/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (138/174) | 60% (85/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 35% (9/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 80% (20/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Shein R. R. ⚽,
- 26', Owusu L. 🟨,
- 39', Eid D. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Strand P. ⚽, Thorvaldsen F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Owusu L. ↓, Metcalfe P. ↑,
- 46', Skogvold H. ↓, Sorlokk S. ↑,
- 62', Ambina F. ↓, Bjordal H. ↑,
- 70', Rijks M. ↓, Brajanac M. ↑,
- 70', Sjatil H. ↓, Riisnaes M. ↑,
- 75', Hagen A. 🟨,
- 81', Ohlenschlaeger O. ↓, Bjartalid J. ↑,
- 85', Thorvaldsen F. ↓, Sorensen E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vålerenga
45.6% | Draw
27% | Fredrikstad
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Vålerenga - Fredrikstad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.21) |
3.49 ↑
(3.39) |
3.42 ↑
(3.37) |
5.8%
(4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vålerenga - Fredrikstad?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Vålerenga will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vålerenga: 17% – 68.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vålerenga (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fredrikstad (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 1.
- Vålerenga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fredrikstad has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Vålerenga will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Fredrikstad: Faraas B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vålerenga: Sjovold S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fredrikstad: Bjartalid J.
(Knock)
Hanstad J.
(Inactive)
Kvile S.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vålerenga won against Fredrikstad?
Vålerenga has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Vålerenga?
Fredrikstad has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vålerenga - Fredrikstad were as follows:
09.04.2025
Fredrikstad
-
Vålerenga
2:0
06.10.2024
Vålerenga
-
Fredrikstad
0:1
16.02.2024
Vålerenga
-
Fredrikstad
1:3
10.03.2023
Vålerenga
-
Fredrikstad
1:0
Latest results of Vålerenga
Latest results of Fredrikstad
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Viking | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 47:26 | 21 | 42 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 44:17 | 27 | 39 |
| 3 | Brann | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31:25 | 6 | 33 |
| 4 | Tromso | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 29:23 | 6 | 33 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24:21 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Sandefjord | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 33:24 | 9 | 27 |
| 7 | Fredrikstad | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:20 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | 9 | 25 |
| 9 | Molde | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 22 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Bryne | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 19 |
| 13 | Kristiansund | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:31 | -13 | 19 |
| 14 | HamKam | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18:29 | -11 | 17 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 17 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 21:37 | -16 | 9 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 18 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8:46 | -38 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
