Result
4:1
28/09/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 23
- Referee: Lien M. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (350/409) | 83% (387/465) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.08 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (350/409) | 83% (387/465) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (26/54) | 55% (32/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (88/115) | 74% (103/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 3.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | -0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', Risa B. ↓, Oyvann C. ↑,
- 12', 1 - 0, Hestad E. ⚽, Daehli M. (A),
- 36', 1 - 1, Ambina F. ⚽, Vinicius Nogueira (A),
- 45+5', 2 - 1, Eikrem M. ⚽, Abdullai J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', 3 - 1, Abdullai J. ⚽, Karlstrom J. (A),
- 59', Strand P. ↓, Sjovold S. ↑,
- 59', Thorvaldsen F. ↓, Meliga P. ↑,
- 59', Nasberg I. ↓, Tshiembe K. ↑,
- 62', Hestad E. ↓, Kasanwirjo N. ↑,
- 62', Daehli M. ↓, Zady C. ↑,
- 74', Ambina F. ↓, Hagen E. ↑,
- 80', Abdullai J. ↓, Stenevik H. ↑,
- 80', Eikrem M. ↓, Amundsen I. ↑,
- 87', 4 - 1, Stenevik H. (Pen),
- 90+2', Tshiembe K. 🟨,
- 90+2', Kasanwirjo N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Molde
71.7% | Draw
17.6% | Vålerenga
10.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Molde's performance.Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vålerenga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molde than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Molde that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vålerenga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Molde - Vålerenga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.73) |
7.44 ↑
(4.22) |
12.95 ↑
(4.14) |
-17.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Molde - Vålerenga?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Molde will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Vålerenga will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molde won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Molde may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Molde is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Molde: Christensen J.
(Knee Injury)
Daehli M.
(Leg Injury)
Eriksen K.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O.
(Knee Injury)
Grundetjern M.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Molde won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:19. (average 2.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Molde won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:7. (average 2.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Molde won against Vålerenga?
Molde has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vålerenga won against Molde?
Vålerenga has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Molde - Vålerenga were as follows:
22.06.2025
Vålerenga
-
Molde
2:3
19.08.2023
Molde
-
Vålerenga
0:0
15.07.2023
Vålerenga
-
Molde
0:4
13.11.2022
Vålerenga
-
Molde
1:2
Latest results of Vålerenga
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 66:22 | 44 | 55 |
| 2 | Viking | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 58:32 | 26 | 53 |
| 3 | Brann | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 46:34 | 12 | 49 |
| 4 | Tromso | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 33:33 | 0 | 35 |
| 6 | Sandefjord | 23 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 41:35 | 6 | 34 |
| 7 | Valerenga | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 34 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Fredrikstad | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 32 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | Molde | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 34:32 | 2 | 30 |
| 12 | Kristiansund | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 28:45 | -17 | 30 |
| 13 | HamKam | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 28:38 | -10 | 25 |
| 14 | Bryne | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 32:51 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 25 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 15:65 | -50 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
