Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 1
- Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Norway | TV2 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (287/373) | 85% (436/510) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (287/373) | 85% (436/510) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/59) | 51% (20/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (107/156) | 80% (122/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 58% (15/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (17/25) | 54% (13/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.23 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Lange C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Moller N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 62', Lambrix X. 🟨,
- 63', Thorvaldsen F. ↓, Strand P. ↑,
- 63', Sjatil H. ↓, Hedenstad V. ↑,
- 70', Grundetjern M. ↓, Saeter O. ↑,
- 73', Dunsby J. ↓, Dzabic R. ↑,
- 73', Vester J. ↓, Hanstad J. ↑,
- 84', Moller N. ↓, Mathisen S. ↑,
- 84', Pettersen E. ↓, Loftesnes-Bjune F. ↑,
- 86', Lange C. ↓, Hagen E. ↑,
- 86', Bjordal H. ↓, Rajkovic G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vålerenga 48.6% | Draw 24.1% | Sandefjord 27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Sandefjord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (+1%)
Vålerenga - Sandefjord Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.96 ↓ (2.05) |
3.93 ↑ (3.8) |
3.45 ↑ (3.1) |
5.6% (7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Vålerenga - Sandefjord?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Vålerenga will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Sandefjord will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vålerenga: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Vålerenga (votes: 2 - 50%). Sandefjord (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Vålerenga (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Vålerenga (votes: 3 - 60%). Sandefjord (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 3.
- Vålerenga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sandefjord is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Vålerenga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Sandefjord has had a series of home games.
- Vålerenga could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Ofkir M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 41:21. (average 2.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:12. (average 2.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vålerenga won against Sandefjord?
Vålerenga has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sandefjord won against Vålerenga?
Sandefjord has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vålerenga - Sandefjord were as follows:
06.02.2026
Vålerenga
-
Sandefjord
5:2
03.08.2025
Vålerenga
-
Sandefjord
2:1
11.05.2025
Sandefjord
-
Vålerenga
2:1
01.10.2023
Sandefjord
-
Vålerenga
1:2
29.07.2023
Vålerenga
-
Sandefjord
2:3
Latest results of Vålerenga
Latest results of Sandefjord
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tromso | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Valerenga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Viking | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Sarpsborg 08 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Kristiansund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | HamKam | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Molde | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Fredrikstad | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Aalesund | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Start | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Brann | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Sandefjord | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Rosenborg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen