Result
2:1
03/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 16
- Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Norway | TV2, TV2 Play |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (239/322) | 85% (453/530) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (239/322) | 85% (453/530) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/61) | 51% (30/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (70/105) | 76% (100/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (13/26) | 14% (4/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 100% (7/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 0, Grundetjern M. ⚽,
- 60', Ofkir M. ↓, Sorensen E. ↑,
- 63', Patoulidis E. ↓, Egeli V. ↑,
- 63', Jemal E. ↓, Hanstad J. ↑,
- 80', Sigurdarson S. I. ↓, Mathisen S. ↑,
- 80', Mork S. ↓, Dzabic R. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 0, Sorensen E. ⚽,
- 83', Cheng C. 🟨,
- 84', Hedenstad V. ↓, Sjatil H. ↑,
- 84', Grundetjern M. ↓, Brajanac M. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Mettler L. (Pen),
- 90+4', Pedersen F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vålerenga 46.4% | Draw 24.2% | Sandefjord 29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Sandefjord has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Vålerenga - Sandefjord Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↑ (2.04) |
3.9 ↑ (3.77) |
3.2 ↓ (3.38) |
5.7% (5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Vålerenga - Sandefjord?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Vålerenga will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Sandefjord will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vålerenga: 36.2% – 76.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sandefjord will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Vålerenga could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vålerenga: Olsen A.
(Injury)
Sjovold S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Sandefjord: Mathisen S.
(Ankle Injury)
Pettersen S.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vålerenga won against Sandefjord?
Vålerenga has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sandefjord won against Vålerenga?
Sandefjord has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vålerenga - Sandefjord were as follows:
11.05.2025
Sandefjord
-
Vålerenga
2:1
01.10.2023
Sandefjord
-
Vålerenga
1:2
29.07.2023
Vålerenga
-
Sandefjord
2:3
18.09.2022
Vålerenga
-
Sandefjord
4:0
Latest results of Vålerenga
Latest results of Sandefjord
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Viking | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 66:34 | 32 | 59 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 66:22 | 44 | 55 |
| 3 | Brann | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 49:36 | 13 | 52 |
| 4 | Tromso | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 39:32 | 7 | 45 |
| 5 | Sandefjord | 24 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 44:36 | 8 | 37 |
| 6 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 35 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 44:44 | 0 | 35 |
| 8 | Rosenborg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 9 | KFUM Oslo | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 39:32 | 7 | 34 |
| 10 | Valerenga | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 40:42 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Kristiansund | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29:46 | -17 | 31 |
| 12 | Molde | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 35:35 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | HamKam | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Bryne | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 25 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 32:54 | -22 | 20 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 25 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 15:65 | -50 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen