Vålerenga vs Sandefjord – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eliteserien - Round 1
  • Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
norwayNorwayTV2 Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.171.79
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
54
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
77
Passes
77% (287/373)85% (436/510)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.171.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.971.23
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
37
Blocked shots
47
Shots inside the box
1011
Shots outside the box
27
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
3434
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
710
Passes
77% (287/373)85% (436/510)
Long passes
42% (25/59)51% (20/39)
Passes in final third
69% (107/156)80% (122/153)
Crosses
23% (5/22)58% (15/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.871.56
Throw ins
1823
Fouls
107
Tackles
68% (17/25)54% (13/24)
Duels won
6460
Clearances
3135
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
1.230.97
Goals prevented
1.23-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Lange C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Moller N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 62', Lambrix X. 🟨,
  • 63', Thorvaldsen F. , Strand P. ,
  • 63', Sjatil H. , Hedenstad V. ,
  • 70', Grundetjern M. , Saeter O. ,
  • 73', Dunsby J. , Dzabic R. ,
  • 73', Vester J. , Hanstad J. ,
  • 84', Moller N. , Mathisen S. ,
  • 84', Pettersen E. , Loftesnes-Bjune F. ,
  • 86', Lange C. , Hagen E. ,
  • 86', Bjordal H. , Rajkovic G. ,

Chances of winning


Vålerenga
48.6%
Draw
24.1%
Sandefjord
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 24.5% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 23.2% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Sandefjord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Vålerenga - Sandefjord Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.05)
    3.93
    (3.8)
    3.45
    (3.1)
    5.6%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Vålerenga - Sandefjord?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Vålerenga will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Sandefjord will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vålerenga: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Vålerenga (votes: 2 - 50%). Sandefjord (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Vålerenga (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Vålerenga (votes: 3 - 60%). Sandefjord (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 3.
    • Vålerenga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sandefjord is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Vålerenga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Sandefjord has had a series of home games.
    • Vålerenga could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ofkir M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 41:21. (average 2.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:12. (average 2.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vålerenga - Sandefjord were as follows:
    06.02.2026 Vålerenga - Sandefjord 5:2
    03.08.2025 Vålerenga - Sandefjord 2:1
    11.05.2025 Sandefjord - Vålerenga 2:1
    01.10.2023 Sandefjord - Vålerenga 1:2
    29.07.2023 Vålerenga - Sandefjord 2:3
    Latest results of Vålerenga
    Latest results of Sandefjord
    08.03.2026 Sandefjord - Start 3:2
    02.03.2026 Sandefjord - Ranheim 1:0
    26.02.2026 Sandefjord - Stabæk 2:1
    20.02.2026 Sandefjord - Aalborg BK 4:0
    07.02.2026 Sandefjord - Skeid 2:2
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tromso22006:156
    2Valerenga22003:036
    3Viking21015:323
    4Lillestrom11003:123
    5Sarpsborg 0811002:023
    6Kristiansund11003:213
    7HamKam11002:113
    8KFUM Oslo21013:303
    9Molde21013:4-13
    10Fredrikstad21013:5-23
    11Aalesund20112:4-21
    12Start20111:3-21
    13Bodo/Glimt00000:000
    14Brann20023:5-20
    15Sandefjord20020:3-30
    16Rosenborg20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen