Result
0:2
29/06/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 11
- Referee: Grotta M. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2, TV2 Play |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2, SportKlub 4 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (227/300) | 86% (484/566) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (227/300) | 86% (484/566) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/61) | 46% (32/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (42/71) | 76% (127/167) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | 0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Sjovold S. ↓, Bjordal H. ↑,
- 39', 0 - 1, Rijks M. ⚽, Vinicius Nogueira (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', 0 - 2, Strand P. ⚽, Rijks M. (A),
- 73', Marcello Silalahi S. A. ↓, Enersen O. ↑,
- 73', Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. ↓, Krasniqi K. ↑,
- 83', Taaje J. ↓, Sormo B. ↑,
- 83', Mehnert M. ↓, Spiten-Nysaeter M. ↑,
- 83', Olsen A. ↓, Jarl S. ↑,
- 83', Thorvaldsen F. ↓, Riisnaes M. ↑,
- 90+2', Rijks M. ↓, Brajanac M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Strømsgodset
34.6% | Draw
25.8% | Vålerenga
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strømsgodset has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Strømsgodset's form might have worsened.Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vålerenga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Strømsgodset, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vålerenga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Strømsgodset - Vålerenga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.31) |
3.68 ↑
(3.51) |
2.4 ↓
(3.04) |
5.3%
(4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Strømsgodset - Vålerenga?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Strømsgodset will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Vålerenga will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vålerenga: 58% – 94.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Strømsgodset (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strømsgodset won 2.
- Strømsgodset has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Vålerenga is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Strømsgodset: Andersen E.
(Knee Injury)
Bratveit P.
(Inactive)
Ekeland J.
(Knock)
Melkersen E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Strømsgodset won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Strømsgodset won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Strømsgodset won against Vålerenga?
Strømsgodset has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vålerenga won against Strømsgodset?
Vålerenga has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strømsgodset - Vålerenga were as follows:
07.03.2025
Vålerenga
-
Strømsgodset
0:1
09.02.2024
Strømsgodset
-
Vålerenga
2:2
05.08.2023
Strømsgodset
-
Vålerenga
1:3
11.06.2023
Vålerenga
-
Strømsgodset
0:1
17.03.2023
Vålerenga
-
Strømsgodset
3:2
Latest results of Strømsgodset
Latest results of Vålerenga
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 51:18 | 33 | 45 |
| 2 | Viking | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 49:27 | 22 | 45 |
| 3 | Brann | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35:28 | 7 | 37 |
| 4 | Tromso | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 36 |
| 5 | Valerenga | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 30 |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 30 |
| 7 | Sandefjord | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 36:28 | 8 | 28 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 31:24 | 7 | 27 |
| 9 | Fredrikstad | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 27 |
| 10 | Molde | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 27 |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 08 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 31:30 | 1 | 25 |
| 12 | Kristiansund | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
| 13 | HamKam | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:34 | -12 | 21 |
| 14 | Bryne | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 20 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 26:45 | -19 | 13 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12:51 | -39 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
