Strømsgodset vs Vålerenga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Norwegian Eliteserien Strømsgodset - Vålerenga
Result
0:2
29/06/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eliteserien - Round 11
  • Referee: Grotta M. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2, TV2 Play
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2, SportKlub 4
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.44
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
417
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
76% (227/300)86% (484/566)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.601.61
Total shots
417
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
04
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1126
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
813
Passes
76% (227/300)86% (484/566)
Long passes
34% (21/61)46% (32/70)
Passes in final third
59% (42/71)76% (127/167)
Crosses
19% (3/16)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.141.01
Throw-ins
2123
Fouls
138
Tackles
50% (7/14)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3542
Clearances
2715
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
1.610.60
Goals prevented
-0.390.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', Sjovold S. , Bjordal H. ,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Rijks M. , Vinicius Nogueira (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', 0 - 2, Strand P. , Rijks M. (A),
  • 73', Marcello Silalahi S. A. , Enersen O. ,
  • 73', Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. , Krasniqi K. ,
  • 83', Taaje J. , Sormo B. ,
  • 83', Mehnert M. , Spiten-Nysaeter M. ,
  • 83', Olsen A. , Jarl S. ,
  • 83', Thorvaldsen F. , Riisnaes M. ,
  • 90+2', Rijks M. , Brajanac M. ,

Chances of winning


Strømsgodset
34.6%
Draw
25.8%
Vålerenga
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 27.2% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 27.1% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Strømsgodset has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Strømsgodset's form might have worsened.
  • Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vålerenga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Strømsgodset, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vålerenga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Strømsgodset - Vålerenga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.31)
    3.68
    (3.51)
    2.4
    (3.04)
    5.3%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Strømsgodset - Vålerenga?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Strømsgodset will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Vålerenga will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vålerenga: 58%94.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Strømsgodset (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strømsgodset won 2.
    • Strømsgodset has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Vålerenga is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Strømsgodset: Andersen E. (Knee Injury) Bratveit P. (Inactive) Ekeland J. (Knock) Melkersen E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O. (Knock)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Strømsgodset won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Strømsgodset won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Strømsgodset - Vålerenga were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Vålerenga - Strømsgodset 0:1
    09.02.2024 Strømsgodset - Vålerenga 2:2
    05.08.2023 Strømsgodset - Vålerenga 1:3
    11.06.2023 Vålerenga - Strømsgodset 0:1
    17.03.2023 Vålerenga - Strømsgodset 3:2
    Latest results of Strømsgodset
    Latest results of Vålerenga
    22.06.2025 Vålerenga - Molde 2:3
    31.05.2025 Tromsø - Vålerenga 2:1
    11.05.2025 Sandefjord - Vålerenga 2:1
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bodo/Glimt22154359:203949
    2Viking22154352:292349
    3Brann21134441:301143
    4Tromso22133635:27842
    5Rosenborg2197529:24534
    6Fredrikstad2187628:24431
    7Valerenga2294937:36131
    8KFUM Oslo2278734:27729
    9Sandefjord21911137:33428
    10Sarpsborg 082277834:33128
    11Molde22831129:29027
    12Kristiansund2276926:42-1627
    13Bryne22561126:38-1221
    14HamKam22561123:37-1421
    15Stromsgodset22611530:47-1719
    16Haugesund22131812:56-446

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen