Result
0:3
17/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 22
- Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 2.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (363/460) | 64% (191/297) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 2.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (363/460) | 64% (191/297) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (19/38) | 34% (21/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (104/155) | 47% (45/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (8/35) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.07 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.79 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', Canos S. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Torres D. ⚽, Chuki (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Domenech M. ↓, Fernandez Sanchez M. ↑,
- 52', 0 - 2, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ⚽, Chuki (A),
- 54', 0 - 3, Chuki ⚽, Canos S. (A),
- 60', Bodiger Y. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
- 60', de la Fuente K. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
- 67', Canos S. ↓, Garriel I. ↑,
- 73', Martinez R. ↓, Tomeo P. ↑,
- 73', Peter Federico ↓, Maroto M. ↑,
- 75', Zalazar K. ↓, Caparros A. ↑,
- 75', Kone K. ↓, Redruello Nimo C. ↑,
- 80', Chuki ↓, Lachuer M. ↑,
- 80', Latasa J. ↓, Biuk S. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3ju6sk6n
Chances of winning
Ceuta
37.2% | Draw
32.1% | Valladolid
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceuta's performance.Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valladolid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valladolid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ceuta - Valladolid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↓
(3.02) |
2.9 ↓
(3.18) |
3.05 ↑
(2.43) |
6.6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Valladolid?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Valladolid will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceuta: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).
- Ceuta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Valladolid is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Ceuta: Fernandez Sanchez M.
(Knee Injury)
Sanchez M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Valladolid: Delgado J.
(Injury)
Marcos Andre
(Injury)
Ndiaye A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceuta: Jamelli
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Valladolid?
Ceuta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valladolid won against Ceuta?
Valladolid has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Valladolid were as follows:
15.08.2025
Valladolid
-
Ceuta
3:0
Latest results of Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:35 | 18 | 50 |
| 2 | Castellon | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 45:26 | 19 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 52:39 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:29 | 12 | 46 |
| 5 | Malaga | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 44 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cordoba | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 41 |
| 8 | Gijon | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 41 |
| 9 | Ceuta | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 | Burgos CF | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 40 |
| 11 | Eibar | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:29 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Cadiz CF | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:32 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 34 |
| 14 | Albacete | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 34 |
| 15 | Leganes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 33 |
| 16 | Granada CF | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 32 |
| 17 | Andorra | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 18 | Huesca | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 30 |
| 19 | Valladolid | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
