Ceuta vs Valladolid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta).

LaLiga2 - Round 22
Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.61	2.20
Ball possession
61%	39%
Total shots
21	12
Shots on target
6	6
Big chances
2	4
Corner kicks
8	3
Passes
79% (363/460)	64% (191/297)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.61	2.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.44	2.79
Total shots
21	12
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked shots
8	1
Shots inside the box
13	8
Shots outside the box
8	4
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
2	4
Corner kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
28	19
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	3
Free kicks
10	16
Passes
79% (363/460)	64% (191/297)
Long passes
50% (19/38)	34% (21/61)
Passes in final third
67% (104/155)	47% (45/96)
Crosses
23% (8/35)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.53	1.07
Throw ins
20	23
Fouls
16	10
Tackles
80% (12/15)	53% (9/17)
Duels won
49	54
Clearances
24	41
Interceptions
12	11
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	6
xGOT faced
2.79	0.44
Goals prevented
-0.21	0.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', Canos S. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Torres D. ⚽, Chuki (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Domenech M. ↓, Fernandez Sanchez M. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ⚽, Chuki (A),
54', 0 - 3, Chuki ⚽, Canos S. (A),
60', Bodiger Y. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
60', de la Fuente K. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
67', Canos S. ↓, Garriel I. ↑,
73', Martinez R. ↓, Tomeo P. ↑,
73', Peter Federico ↓, Maroto M. ↑,
75', Zalazar K. ↓, Caparros A. ↑,
75', Kone K. ↓, Redruello Nimo C. ↑,
80', Chuki ↓, Lachuer M. ↑,
80', Latasa J. ↓, Biuk S. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3ju6sk6n

Chances of winning

Ceuta
37.2%

Draw
32.1%

Valladolid
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

29.7%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

29.9%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceuta's performance.

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valladolid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valladolid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ceuta - Valladolid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (3.02)	2.9 ↓ (3.18)	3.05 ↑ (2.43)	6.6% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Ceuta - Valladolid?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Valladolid will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceuta: 19.1% – 73.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).
Ceuta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Valladolid is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Ceuta: Fernandez Sanchez M. (Knee Injury) Sanchez M. (Injury)
There will not play in Valladolid: Delgado J. (Injury) Marcos Andre (Injury) Ndiaye A. (Injury)
There are questionable in Ceuta: Jamelli (Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Valladolid?

Ceuta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Valladolid won against Ceuta?

Valladolid has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Valladolid were as follows:

15.08.2025 Valladolid - Ceuta 3:0

Latest results of Ceuta

11.01.2026 Málaga - Ceuta 2:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Ceuta - FC Andorra 2:1 ✺

21.12.2025 Real Sociedad B - Ceuta 1:3 ✺

14.12.2025 Ceuta - Las Palmas 1:1 ✺

07.12.2025 Granada - Ceuta 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Valladolid

11.01.2026 Leganés - Valladolid 3:0 ✺

03.01.2026 Valladolid - Racing Santander 1:1 ✺

19.12.2025 Eibar - Valladolid 3:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Valladolid - FC Andorra 0:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Huesca - Valladolid 1:4 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	30	18	5	7	62:40	22	59
2	Dep. La Coruna	30	15	7	8	46:34	12	52
3	Almeria	30	15	7	8	56:42	14	52
4	Malaga	30	15	6	9	49:37	12	51
5	Castellon	30	14	7	9	49:37	12	49
6	Las Palmas	30	12	12	6	39:24	15	48
7	Burgos CF	30	13	8	9	32:26	6	47
8	Gijon	30	13	6	11	42:38	4	45
9	Ceuta	30	13	5	12	37:45	-8	44
10	Eibar	30	11	9	10	32:30	2	42
11	Cordoba	30	11	8	11	41:43	-2	41
12	Real Sociedad B	30	11	7	12	44:41	3	40
13	Andorra	30	10	9	11	37:41	-4	39
14	Albacete	30	10	9	11	35:40	-5	39
15	Cadiz CF	30	10	8	12	31:36	-5	38
16	Granada CF	30	8	12	10	35:34	1	36
17	Valladolid	30	9	9	12	35:43	-8	36
18	Leganes	30	8	10	12	31:32	-1	34
19	Huesca	30	8	7	15	29:42	-13	31
20	Zaragoza	30	7	9	14	26:41	-15	30
21	Cultural Leonesa	30	7	6	17	28:49	-21	27
22	Mirandes	30	6	6	18	28:49	-21	24

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