Ceuta vs Valladolid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
17/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 22
  • Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.612.20
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
66
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
83
Passes
79% (363/460)64% (191/297)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.612.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.442.79
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
75
Blocked shots
81
Shots inside the box
138
Shots outside the box
84
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2819
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1016
Passes
79% (363/460)64% (191/297)
Long passes
50% (19/38)34% (21/61)
Passes in final third
67% (104/155)47% (45/96)
Crosses
23% (8/35)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.531.07
Throw ins
2023
Fouls
1610
Tackles
80% (12/15)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4954
Clearances
2441
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
36
xGOT faced
2.790.44
Goals prevented
-0.210.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', Canos S. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Torres D. , Chuki (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Domenech M. , Fernandez Sanchez M. ,
  • 52', 0 - 2, Meseguer Cavas V. A. , Chuki (A),
  • 54', 0 - 3, Chuki , Canos S. (A),
  • 60', Bodiger Y. , Rodriguez C. ,
  • 60', de la Fuente K. , Sanchez S. ,
  • 67', Canos S. , Garriel I. ,
  • 73', Martinez R. , Tomeo P. ,
  • 73', Peter Federico , Maroto M. ,
  • 75', Zalazar K. , Caparros A. ,
  • 75', Kone K. , Redruello Nimo C. ,
  • 80', Chuki , Lachuer M. ,
  • 80', Latasa J. , Biuk S. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3ju6sk6n

Chances of winning


Ceuta
37.2%
Draw
32.1%
Valladolid
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 29.7% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 29.9% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceuta's performance.
  • Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valladolid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valladolid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ceuta - Valladolid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (3.02)
    2.9
    (3.18)
    3.05
    (2.43)
    6.6%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ceuta - Valladolid?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Valladolid will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ceuta: 19.1%73.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).
    • Ceuta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Valladolid is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Fernandez Sanchez M. (Knee Injury) Sanchez M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Valladolid: Delgado J. (Injury) Marcos Andre (Injury) Ndiaye A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ceuta: Jamelli (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Valladolid were as follows:
    15.08.2025 Valladolid - Ceuta 3:0
    Latest results of Ceuta
    11.01.2026 Málaga - Ceuta 2:1
    04.01.2026 Ceuta - FC Andorra 2:1
    21.12.2025 Real Sociedad B - Ceuta 1:3
    14.12.2025 Ceuta - Las Palmas 1:1
    07.12.2025 Granada - Ceuta 1:1
    Latest results of Valladolid
    11.01.2026 Leganés - Valladolid 3:0
    19.12.2025 Eibar - Valladolid 3:0
    13.12.2025 Valladolid - FC Andorra 0:1
    06.12.2025 Huesca - Valladolid 1:4
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander372161075:552069
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Castellon3818101065:481764
    5Malaga381891166:491763
    6Las Palmas371712849:311863
    7Burgos CF3717101044:331161
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Gijon371571550:47352
    12Ceuta371491444:57-1351
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3711101640:48-843
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B371181846:54-841
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Huesca37991937:55-1836
    20Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

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