Málaga vs Valladolid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga).

LaLiga2 - Round 29
Referee: Morilla A. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Orange Futbol 2
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.22	1.52
Ball possession
49%	51%
Total shots
10	17
Shots on target
6	6
Big chances
4	3
Corner kicks
0	9
Passes
83% (298/361)	85% (297/351)
Yellow cards
4	3
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
2.22	1.52
xG on target (xGOT)
2.97	2.09
Total shots
10	17
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked shots
1	6
Shots inside the box
6	11
Shots outside the box
4	6
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
4	3
Corner kicks
0	9
Touches in opposition box
13	28
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
21	15
Passes
83% (298/361)	85% (297/351)
Long passes
41% (22/54)	50% (19/38)
Passes in final third
72% (63/88)	77% (79/103)
Crosses
14% (1/7)	27% (9/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.26	1.23
Throw ins
22	24
Fouls
15	21
Tackles
78% (14/18)	47% (9/19)
Duels won
72	60
Clearances
24	17
Interceptions
4	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	3
xGOT faced
2.09	2.97
Goals prevented
0.09	-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Chupe (Penalty Awarded),
14', 2 - 0, Dotor C. ⚽,
29', Montero J. 🟨,
36', Clerc C. ↓, Garriel I. ↑,
45+6', 2 - 1, Peter Federico ⚽, Juric S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Montero J. ↓, Recio A. ↑,
48', 3 - 1, Chupe ⚽, Garcia V. (A),
56', Garcia V. 🟥,
58', Munoz J. ↓, Gabilondo J. ↑,
64', Ponceau J. ↓, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↑,
64', Canos S. ↓, Latasa J. ↑,
65', 3 - 2, Chupe (Own goal),
66', Martinez R. 🟨,
72', Chupe ↓, Nino A. ↑,
72', Dotor C. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
84', Peter Federico ↓, Biuk S. ↑,
84', Juric S. ↓, Erlien V. ↑,
85', Gabilondo J. 🟨,
88', Lorenzo D. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
90+1', Juanpe 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 3, Latasa J. ⚽, Chuki (A),
90+6', Latasa J. 🟨,
90+7', Merino I. 🟨,
90+13', Tomeo P. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5n7ymbwt

Chances of winning

Málaga
43.9%

Draw
29%

Valladolid
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

27%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

27.2%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Málaga - Valladolid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.97)	3.22 ↓ (3.5)	3.48 ↓ (3.78)	6.5% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Málaga - Valladolid?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 38.8% – 86.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Málaga (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Málaga (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Málaga (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.
Recent performances by Málaga have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Valladolid is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Málaga might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Galilea E. (Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Puga C. (Yellow Cards) Sanchez D. (Injury)
There will not play in Valladolid: Bueno G. (Injury) Maroto M. (Coach's decision) Ndiaye A. (Leg Injury) Torres D. (Shoulder Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Valladolid?

Málaga has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Valladolid won against Málaga?

Valladolid has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Valladolid were as follows:

29.11.2025 Valladolid - Málaga 1:1

Latest results of Málaga

28.02.2026 Granada - Málaga 0:1 ✺

22.02.2026 Málaga - Albacete Balompié 1:0 ✺

16.02.2026 Real Sociedad B - Málaga 2:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Málaga - Leonesa 2:1 ✺

02.02.2026 Mirandés - Málaga 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Valladolid

28.02.2026 Valladolid - Huesca 1:0 ✺

22.02.2026 Sporting de Gijón - Valladolid 2:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Granada - Valladolid 5:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Valladolid - Castellón 0:4 ✺

31.01.2026 Córdoba - Valladolid 3:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	31	18	5	8	62:44	18	59
2	Dep. La Coruna	31	16	7	8	48:35	13	55
3	Almeria	31	16	7	8	59:43	16	55
4	Malaga	31	16	6	9	52:37	15	54
5	Las Palmas	31	13	12	6	40:24	16	51
6	Castellon	31	14	8	9	50:38	12	50
7	Burgos CF	31	14	8	9	36:26	10	50
8	Eibar	31	12	9	10	33:30	3	45
9	Gijon	31	13	6	12	42:39	3	45
10	Ceuta	31	13	5	13	39:50	-11	44
11	Albacete	31	11	9	11	39:40	-1	42
12	Cordoba	31	11	8	12	41:47	-6	41
13	Real Sociedad B	31	11	7	13	44:43	1	40
14	Granada CF	31	9	12	10	37:34	3	39
15	Andorra	31	10	9	12	37:42	-5	39
16	Cadiz CF	31	10	8	13	31:39	-8	38
17	Leganes	31	9	10	12	36:34	2	37
18	Valladolid	31	9	9	13	36:45	-9	36
19	Huesca	31	8	7	16	30:45	-15	31
20	Zaragoza	31	7	9	15	27:43	-16	30
21	Cultural Leonesa	31	7	7	17	29:50	-21	28
22	Mirandes	31	7	6	18	30:50	-20	27

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation