Result
4:1
17/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland 2 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (178/264) | 83% (443/535) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.39 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (178/264) | 83% (443/535) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/63) | 37% (23/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (69/116) | 58% (77/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 3.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Hilmarsson A. ⚽,
- 14', Pedersen P. 🟨,
- 18', 2 - 0, Hjaltested S. ⚽, Valor V. (A),
- 21', Ragnarsson H. 🟨,
- 25', Hilmarsson A. 🟨,
- 29', Larusson S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 71', Larusson S. ↓, Palsson A. ↑,
- 71', Haraldsson T. ↓, Skoglund A. ↑,
- 71', Heimisson L. ↓, Lundemo M. ↑,
- 72', Hlynsson B. ↓, Bwomono E. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 0, Bwomono E. ⚽, Valor V. (A),
- 82', 4 - 0, Ragnarsson H. ⚽, Heidarsson O. (A),
- 86', Heidarsson O. ↓, Gunnarsson A. ↑,
- 86', Antonsson B. ↓, Palsson J. ↑,
- 86', Nakkim M. ↓, Hoti A. ↑,
- 87', Hilmarsson A. ↓, Nokkvason N. ↑,
- 90+1', Ragnarsson H. ↓, Gautason E. ↑,
- 90+1', Hjaltested S. ↓, Thorvardarson V. ↑,
- 90+4', 4 - 1, Pedersen P. (Pen),
Chances of winning
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
26.5% | Draw
24.1% | Valur
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ÍBV Vestmannaeyar than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Valur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.52 ↓
(4.05) |
3.86 ↓
(4.26) |
1.89 ↑
(1.69) |
7.3%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Valur?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. ÍBV will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Valur will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Valur (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ÍBV won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- ÍBV may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Valur is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ÍBV won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 23:52. (average 1.2:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, ÍBV won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has ÍBV Vestmannaeyar won against Valur?
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valur won against ÍBV Vestmannaeyar?
Valur has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Valur were as follows:
19.06.2025
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
-
Valur
0:1
24.05.2025
Valur
-
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
3:0
10.02.2024
Valur
-
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
7:1
24.06.2023
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
-
Valur
0:3
10.04.2023
Valur
-
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
2:1
Latest results of ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 49:28 | 21 | 45 |
| 2 | Stjarnan | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 41 |
| 3 | Valur | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 53:35 | 18 | 40 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Hafnarfjordur | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 31 |
| 6 | Fram | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
