Result
4:1
17/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland 2 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.99 | 1.23 |
Ball Possession |
---|
34% | 66% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
67% (178/264) | 83% (443/535) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.99 | 1.23 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.39 | 0.86 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
67% (178/264) | 83% (443/535) |
Long passes |
---|
35% (22/63) | 37% (23/63) |
Passes in final third |
---|
59% (69/116) | 58% (77/132) |
Crosses |
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13% (2/15) | 22% (4/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.34 | 1.25 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
79% (11/14) | 71% (5/7) |
Duels won |
---|
32 | 37 |
Clearances |
---|
32 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.86 | 3.39 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.14 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Hilmarsson A. ⚽,
- 14', Pedersen P. 🟨,
- 18', 2 - 0, Hjaltested S. ⚽, Valor V. (A),
- 21', Ragnarsson H. 🟨,
- 25', Hilmarsson A. 🟨,
- 29', Larusson S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 71', Larusson S. ↓, Palsson A. ↑,
- 71', Haraldsson T. ↓, Skoglund A. ↑,
- 71', Heimisson L. ↓, Lundemo M. ↑,
- 72', Hlynsson B. ↓, Bwomono E. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 0, Bwomono E. ⚽, Valor V. (A),
- 82', 4 - 0, Ragnarsson H. ⚽, Heidarsson O. (A),
- 86', Heidarsson O. ↓, Gunnarsson A. ↑,
- 86', Antonsson B. ↓, Palsson J. ↑,
- 86', Nakkim M. ↓, Hoti A. ↑,
- 87', Hilmarsson A. ↓, Nokkvason N. ↑,
- 90+1', Ragnarsson H. ↓, Gautason E. ↑,
- 90+1', Hjaltested S. ↓, Thorvardarson V. ↑,
- 90+4', 4 - 1, Pedersen P. (Pen),
Chances of winning
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar 26.5% | Draw 24.1% | Valur 49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ÍBV Vestmannaeyar than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Valur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.52 ↓ (4.05) |
3.86 ↓ (4.26) |
1.89 ↑ (1.69) |
7.3% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Valur?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. ÍBV will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Valur will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Valur (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ÍBV won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- ÍBV may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Valur is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ÍBV won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 23:52. (average 1.2:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, ÍBV won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has ÍBV Vestmannaeyar won against Valur?
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valur won against ÍBV Vestmannaeyar?
Valur has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Valur were as follows:
19.06.2025
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
-
Valur
0:1
24.05.2025
Valur
-
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
3:0
10.02.2024
Valur
-
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
7:1
24.06.2023
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
-
Valur
0:3
10.04.2023
Valur
-
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
2:1
Latest results of ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Valur ✔ | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 52:33 | 19 | 40 |
2 | Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 40:27 | 13 | 39 |
3 | Stjarnan ✔ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Breidablik ✔ | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 33 |
5 | Hafnarfjordur | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Fram | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 28 |
7 | Vestmannaeyjar | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
8 | Vestri | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 22:24 | -2 | 27 |
9 | KA Akureyri | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:38 | -13 | 26 |
10 | KR Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 42:44 | -2 | 24 |
11 | Afturelding ✔ | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
12 | Akranes ✔ | 20 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Vikingur Reykjavik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Stjarnan is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Breidablik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
KR Reykjavik is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Afturelding is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Akranes is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )