Result
0:2
05/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 14
- Referee: Haflidason Oddur G. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 5 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (360/450) | 82% (381/466) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (360/450) | 82% (381/466) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (42/85) | 31% (16/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (63/93) | 58% (62/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.63 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Haraldsson T. ⚽,
- 40', Kralj A. ↓, Svavarsson G. ↑,
- 45', Magnusson T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Hauksson G. 🟨,
- 62', Pedersen J. 🟨,
- 72', Heimisson L. 🟨,
- 73', Haraldsson T. ↓, Larusson S. ↑,
- 77', Smit G. 🟨,
- 77', 0 - 2, Pedersen P. (Pen),
- 80', Pedersen P. ↓, Palsson A. ↑,
- 80', Jonsson J. ↓, Palsson J. ↑,
- 84', Tufegdzic V. ↓, Grauberg K. ↑,
- 84', Montiel D. ↓, Duah E. ↑,
- 85', Sigurbjornsson E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vestri
20.8% | Draw
23.1% | Valur
56.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vestri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vestri than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vestri - Valur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.49 ↓
(5.1) |
4.05 ↓
(4.51) |
1.67 ↑
(1.54) |
7%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Vestri - Valur?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Vestri will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Valur will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 67.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Valur will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vestri won 1.
- In recent matches, Vestri has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Valur is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Vestri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Valur is considered a favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vestri won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.8:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vestri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vestri won against Valur?
Vestri has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valur won against Vestri?
Valur has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vestri - Valur were as follows:
06.04.2025
Valur
-
Vestri
1:1
25.08.2024
Valur
-
Vestri
3:1
22.06.2024
Vestri
-
Valur
1:5
23.02.2023
Valur
-
Vestri
3:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 39:20 | 19 | 30 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27:16 | 11 | 30 |
| 3 | Breidablik | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27:20 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Fram | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Stjarnan | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 21 |
| 6 | Vestri | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:14 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Afturelding | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Hafnarfjordur | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Vestmannaeyjar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 18 |
| 10 | KA Akureyri | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:31 | -15 | 18 |
| 11 | KR Reykjavik | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Akranes | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 16:34 | -18 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
