Result
5:4
17/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.11 | 1.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (355/414) | 80% (252/315) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.11 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.83 | 2.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (355/414) | 80% (252/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (20/44) | 52% (30/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (83/114) | 62% (58/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.42 | 3.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.58 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 5', 1 - 0, Ntignee G. ⚽,
- 5', 2 - 0, Warschewski T. ⚽,
- 18', 2 - 1, Mezquida N. (Pen),
- 26', 3 - 1, Baldisimo M. ⚽,
- 33', 3 - 2, Campbell T. ⚽,
- 38', Mbongue H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 48', Dada-Luke K. 🟨,
- 59', 3 - 3, Mbongue H. ⚽,
- 59', Baldisimo M. 🟨,
- 62', O'Connor A. 🟨,
- 62', Warschewski T. (Pen),
- 63', Fry V. ↓, Michel ↑,
- 65', Gutierrez D. ↓, Klomp D. ↑,
- 65', Baldisimo M. ↓, Piepgrass M. ↑,
- 71', Fewo ↓, Gherasimencov M. ↑,
- 71', Camargo S. ↓, Sellouf A. ↑,
- 73', Campagna M. ↓, Fotsing E. ↑,
- 73', Mbongue H. ↓, Pathe N. ↑,
- 82', Warschewski T. ↓, Elva C. ↑,
- 85', Bah E. ↓, Powell T. ↑,
- 85', Campbell T. ↓, Juan Batista ↑,
- 89', 4 - 3, Gherasimencov M. ⚽, Musse A. (A),
- 90+4', Carducci M. 🟨,
- 90+6', 4 - 4, Fotsing E. ⚽, Mezquida N. (A),
- 90+8', 5 - 4, Klomp D. ⚽, Piepgrass M. (A),
Chances of winning
Cavalry
61.7% | Draw
22.5% | Vancouver FC
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cavalry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Vancouver FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver FC than the current prediction. (+2%)
Cavalry - Vancouver FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.58) |
4.07 ↑
(3.9) |
5.77 ↑
(4.8) |
9.4%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 0.
- Cavalry is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vancouver FC's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cavalry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cavalry is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cavalry won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalry won against Vancouver FC?
Cavalry has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vancouver FC won against Cavalry?
Vancouver FC has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cavalry - Vancouver FC were as follows:
13.07.2025
Vancouver FC
-
Cavalry
0:0
08.07.2025
Cavalry
-
Vancouver FC
1:2
21.05.2025
Vancouver FC
-
Cavalry
1:1
18.04.2025
Cavalry
-
Vancouver FC
1:1
28.09.2024
Cavalry
-
Vancouver FC
0:0
Latest results of Cavalry
Latest results of Vancouver FC
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 40:17 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 44:22 | 22 | 46 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 35:26 | 9 | 33 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 32 |
| 5 | York Utd | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 36:28 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Pacific FC | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 23:42 | -19 | 20 |
| 7 | Valour | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 26:50 | -24 | 19 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26:51 | -25 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
