Vancouver FC vs Cavalry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
18/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Canadian Premier League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaOneSoccer

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.75
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
74% (213/287)82% (324/397)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.591.56
Total shots
917
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
414
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
844
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
74% (213/287)82% (324/397)
Long passes
44% (24/55)65% (34/52)
Passes in final third
50% (47/94)68% (68/100)
Crosses
15% (2/13)58% (11/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.111.51
Throw-ins
1326
Fouls
1212
Tackles
80% (12/15)92% (12/13)
Duels won
3251
Clearances
1513
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.561.59
Goals prevented
-0.44-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Camargo S. , Myroniuk N. ,
  • 26', Musse A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Fewo , Gherasimencov M. ,
  • 48', Gee P. 🟨,
  • 54', Ouattara A. 🟨,
  • 60', Crawford T. 🟥,
  • 64', Ouattara A. , Dada-Luke K. ,
  • 65', Powell T. , Fotsing E. ,
  • 74', Dada-Luke K. , O'Connor A. ,
  • 74', Fry V. , Michel ,
  • 74', Mezquida N. , Norman D. ,
  • 74', Laing L. , Aird F. ,
  • 74', Shome S. , Sellouf A. ,
  • 78', 0 - 1, Myroniuk N. ,
  • 81', Kobza E. 🟨,
  • 82', Mbongue H. , Pathe N. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Pathe N. ,
  • 88', Kobza E. , Baldisimo M. ,
  • 88', Musse A. , Wahling N. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Elva C. , Wahling N. (A),
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, Norman D. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Vancouver FC
21%
Draw
24.1%
Cavalry
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.3% 22.1% 60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8% 21.5% 62.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vancouver FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Cavalry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cavalry might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver FC than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cavalry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vancouver FC - Cavalry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.4
    (5.34)
    3.84
    (4.17)
    1.68
    (1.52)
    8.3%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver FC won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Vancouver FC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cavalry is the team to beat.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vancouver FC won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver FC won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vancouver FC - Cavalry were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Cavalry - Vancouver FC 5:4
    13.07.2025 Vancouver FC - Cavalry 0:0
    08.07.2025 Cavalry - Vancouver FC 1:2
    21.05.2025 Vancouver FC - Cavalry 1:1
    18.04.2025 Cavalry - Vancouver FC 1:1
    Latest results of Vancouver FC
    Latest results of Cavalry
    10.10.2025 Cavalry - Forge 1:1
    05.10.2025 Pacific FC - Cavalry 3:3
    27.09.2025 Atlético Ottawa - Cavalry 3:0
    20.09.2025 Cavalry - Valour 3:0
    13.09.2025 Cavalry - HFX Wanderers 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1ForgeBye
    4ByeAtl. Ottawa
    7CavalryBye
    8HFX WanderersInter Toronto2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1ForgeBye
    2ByeAtl. Ottawa
    4CavalryInter Toronto4 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ForgeAtl. Ottawa1 : 2
    2ForgeCavalry0 : 1

    Final
    1Atl. OttawaCavalry2 : 1