Result
3:1
28/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Referee: Stasolla F. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (321/381) | 88% (459/523) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.13 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (321/381) | 88% (459/523) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (25/58) | 62% (28/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (56/83) | 81% (120/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 3.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', O'Connor A. 🟨,
- 26', Fry V. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Mbongue H. ⚽, Dada-Luke K. (A),
- 44', 2 - 0, Mbongue H. ⚽, Bah E. (A),
- 45+2', Bai Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Dunn J. ↓, Timoteo W. ↑,
- 54', Alphonse J. 🟨,
- 60', Mbongue H. 🟨,
- 62', Mbongue H. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
- 62', Powell T. ↓, Pathe N. ↑,
- 63', Vitor Dias ↓, Biello A. ↑,
- 73', Dada-Luke K. ↓, Fotsing E. ↑,
- 73', Norman D. ↓, Mezquida N. ↑,
- 75', Bai Y. ↓, Vasconcelos C. ↑,
- 75', Rampersad A. ↓, Johnston I. ↑,
- 77', Mekideche N. ↓, Sow K. ↑,
- 90+1', Bah E. ↓, Campagna M. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 0, Pathe N. ⚽,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, Meilleur-Gigeuere T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vancouver FC
28.7% | Draw
25.8% | HFX Wanderers
45.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vancouver FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)HFX Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HFX Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver FC than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5%)
Vancouver FC - HFX Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.2 ↑
(2.74) |
3.55 ↑
(3.23) |
2.02 ↓
(2.24) |
8.9%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Vancouver FC - HFX Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
HFX Wanderers will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): HFX Wanderers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver FC won 1.
- Vancouver FC has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- HFX Wanderers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vancouver FC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- HFX Wanderers might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vancouver FC won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver FC won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Vancouver FC won against HFX Wanderers?
Vancouver FC has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HFX Wanderers won against Vancouver FC?
HFX Wanderers has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vancouver FC - HFX Wanderers were as follows:
04.08.2025
HFX Wanderers
-
Vancouver FC
1:2
21.06.2025
HFX Wanderers
-
Vancouver FC
1:0
17.05.2025
Vancouver FC
-
HFX Wanderers
0:2
05.10.2024
HFX Wanderers
-
Vancouver FC
1:1
05.08.2024
HFX Wanderers
-
Vancouver FC
3:2
Latest results of Vancouver FC
Latest results of HFX Wanderers
Canadian Premier League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge ✔ | 28 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 51:22 | 29 | 58 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 54:28 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Cavalry ✔ | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 47:36 | 11 | 42 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers ✔ | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 41:34 | 7 | 39 |
| 5 | York Utd ✔ | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | Valour | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35:62 | -27 | 26 |
| 7 | Pacific FC | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 30:59 | -29 | 23 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 35:57 | -22 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Forge is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Atl. Ottawa is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Cavalry is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
HFX Wanderers is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
York Utd is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
