Result
2:5
05/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Referee: Boumsied Y. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (273/364) | 83% (364/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (273/364) | 83% (364/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (29/57) | 53% (31/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (52/104) | 70% (87/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.63 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 1', 1 - 0, Campbell T. ⚽, Mbongue H. (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, Morgan M. ⚽, Froese K. (A),
- 44', 1 - 2, Morgan M. ⚽, Froese K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 47', 1 - 3, Faria J. ⚽, Froese K. (A),
- 61', 1 - 4, Morgan M. ⚽, Ressurreicao D. (A),
- 62', Campbell T. ↓, Herdman J. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 4, Mbongue H. ⚽, Herdman J. (A),
- 69', Ressurreicao D. ↓, Figueiredo B. ↑,
- 69', Froese K. ↓, Venancio X. ↑,
- 69', Norman D. 🟨,
- 76', Michel ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
- 77', Mezquida N. ↓, Pathe N. ↑,
- 80', Faria J. ↓, Antonoglou T. ↑,
- 80', Morgan M. ↓, Pop E. ↑,
- 85', Pathe N. 🟨,
- 90', Twardek K. ↓, van Hattum O. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 5, Figueiredo B. ⚽, Antonoglou T. (A),
Chances of winning
Vancouver FC
47% | Draw
26.3% | Valour
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vancouver FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vancouver FC's performance.Valour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valour might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver FC than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vancouver FC that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valour than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valour could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vancouver FC - Valour Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.35) |
3.6 ↑
(3.45) |
3.54 ↑
(2.64) |
5.7%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Vancouver FC - Valour?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Vancouver FC (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vancouver FC (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver FC won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vancouver FC won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver FC won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vancouver FC won against Valour?
Vancouver FC has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valour won against Vancouver FC?
Valour has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vancouver FC - Valour were as follows:
25.07.2025
Vancouver FC
-
Valour
1:3
04.06.2025
Valour
-
Vancouver FC
3:1
03.05.2025
Valour
-
Vancouver FC
1:3
13.10.2024
Vancouver FC
-
Valour
1:1
25.08.2024
Valour
-
Vancouver FC
1:2
Latest results of Vancouver FC
Canadian Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Cavalry | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Supra du Quebec | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Inter Toronto | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Atl. Ottawa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 7 | Pacific FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 1 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
