Result
1:0
23/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 27
- Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (383/462) | 76% (249/329) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (383/462) | 76% (249/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (30/60) | 39% (25/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (105/156) | 59% (46/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/34) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 36 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Hostikka S. 🟨,
- 35', Traore A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Secgin E. ↓, Bars E. ↑,
- 58', Mamah K. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 60', Hasani F. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
- 68', Dimitrov Z. ↓, Afena-Gyan F. ↑,
- 68', Traore A. ↓, Serbest T. ↑,
- 82', Jefferson 🟨,
- 84', Jefferson ↓, Demirol A. ↑,
- 85', Matur O. ↓, Bassan E. ↑,
- 85', Ustundag C. ↓, Mujde A. ↑,
- 90', Hostikka S. ↓, Xesc ↑,
- 90+1', Oulare N. ↓, Bingol M. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Afena-Gyan F. ⚽, Moreno D. (A),
- 90+5', Afena-Gyan F. 🟨,
- 90+7', Jevsenak Z. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Amed SK
60.2% | Draw
22.3% | Vanspor
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amed SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Amed SK - Vanspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.48) |
4.13 ↓
(4.2) |
5.23 ↓
(5.33) |
9%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Amed SK - Vanspor?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Amed will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amed: 71.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 10).
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- In this match, Amed is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Amed: Cekdar O.
(Suspended)
Kaldirim H. A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Vanspor: Xesc
(Hernia)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Amed won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Amed SK won against Vanspor?
Amed SK has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vanspor won against Amed SK?
Vanspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amed SK - Vanspor were as follows:
29.09.2025
Vanspor
-
Amed SK
3:0
Latest results of Amed SK
Latest results of Vanspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
