Result
3:0
04/04/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 33
- Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (279/342) | 84% (364/431) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (279/342) | 84% (364/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (19/37) | 56% (31/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (59/91) | 74% (113/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 100% (10/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Bulut H. ⚽,
- 30', Diouf M. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', Roshi O. 🟨,
- 52', Celik A. 🟨,
- 62', Jevsenak Z. ↓, Secgin E. ↑,
- 62', Mamah K. ↓, Bikoue ↑,
- 62', Destici S. ↓, Oulare N. ↑,
- 64', Cavusoglu M. 🟨,
- 65', Akdag I. 🟨,
- 68', Secgin E. 🟨,
- 76', 2 - 0, Roshi O. ⚽, Ezeh F. (A),
- 77', Hostikka S. ↓, Bars E. ↑,
- 77', Rroca E. ↓, Ayan H. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 0, Fernandes J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 84', Akdag I. ↓, Develi E. ↑,
- 85', Karaogul I. ↓, Akman A. ↑,
- 85', Roshi O. ↓, Diaby O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Keçiörengücü 46% | Draw 26.5% | Vanspor 27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keçiörengücü's form might have worsened.Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keçiörengücü, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Keçiörengücü - Vanspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.02 ↑ (1.8) |
3.51 ↓ (3.73) |
3.4 ↓ (3.97) |
7.4% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü - Vanspor?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Keçiörengücü (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Keçiörengücü will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Keçiörengücü might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Erdogan M.
(Injury)
Keskin B.
(Suspended)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Keçiörengücü won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Vanspor?
Keçiörengücü has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vanspor won against Keçiörengücü?
Vanspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Keçiörengücü - Vanspor were as follows:
23.11.2025
Vanspor
-
Keçiörengücü
1:1
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Latest results of Vanspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 77:24 | 53 | 75 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 75:34 | 41 | 71 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 77:32 | 45 | 67 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 43 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 52:52 | 0 | 42 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 40:42 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 43:60 | -17 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to