Keçiörengücü vs Vanspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
04/04/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 33
  • Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.440.79
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
62
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
36
Passes
82% (279/342)84% (364/431)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
2.440.79
xG on target (xGOT)
2.070.09
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
56
Blocked shots
06
Shots inside the box
88
Shots outside the box
36
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
3020
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1416
Passes
82% (279/342)84% (364/431)
Long passes
51% (19/37)56% (31/55)
Passes in final third
65% (59/91)74% (113/153)
Crosses
35% (6/17)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.48
Throw ins
1518
Fouls
1614
Tackles
70% (7/10)100% (10/10)
Duels won
4243
Clearances
2622
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.092.07
Goals prevented
0.09-0.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Bulut H. ,
  • 30', Diouf M. , Fernandes J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', Roshi O. 🟨,
  • 52', Celik A. 🟨,
  • 62', Jevsenak Z. , Secgin E. ,
  • 62', Mamah K. , Bikoue ,
  • 62', Destici S. , Oulare N. ,
  • 64', Cavusoglu M. 🟨,
  • 65', Akdag I. 🟨,
  • 68', Secgin E. 🟨,
  • 76', 2 - 0, Roshi O. , Ezeh F. (A),
  • 77', Hostikka S. , Bars E. ,
  • 77', Rroca E. , Ayan H. ,
  • 80', 3 - 0, Fernandes J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 84', Akdag I. , Develi E. ,
  • 85', Karaogul I. , Akman A. ,
  • 85', Roshi O. , Diaby O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Keçiörengücü
46%
Draw
26.5%
Vanspor
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 24.9% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 24.5% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keçiörengücü's form might have worsened.
  • Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keçiörengücü, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Keçiörengücü - Vanspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.8)
    3.51
    (3.73)
    3.4
    (3.97)
    7.4%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü - Vanspor?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Keçiörengücü (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Keçiörengücü will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Keçiörengücü might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Erdogan M. (Injury) Keskin B. (Suspended)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Keçiörengücü won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Keçiörengücü - Vanspor were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Vanspor - Keçiörengücü 1:1
    Latest results of Keçiörengücü
    Latest results of Vanspor
    22.03.2026 Vanspor - Sarıyer 0:0
    15.03.2026 Sakaryaspor - Vanspor 2:1
    10.03.2026 Vanspor - Adana Demirspor 1:0
    06.03.2026 Pendikspor - Vanspor 1:1
    28.02.2026 Vanspor - Erzurumspor 0:3
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor34229377:245375
    2Amedspor34218575:344171
    3Erokspor341910577:324567
    4Corum35197955:371864
    5Bodrumspor35188969:363362
    6Pendikspor351513754:312358
    7Keciorengucu351412967:402754
    8Bandirmaspor3514111043:331053
    9Sivasspor3513111144:38650
    10Manisa FK351471450:54-449
    11Igdir FK351391347:48-148
    12Vanspor FK3512101348:40846
    13Sariyer351371541:41046
    14Istanbulspor AS3510131243:52-943
    15Boluspor341261652:52042
    16Umraniyespor341261640:42-242
    17Serik Spor351061939:69-3036
    18Sakaryaspor34891743:60-1733
    19Hatayspor35172727:96-6910
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 35133120:152-132-54

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to