Result
2:1
15/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (287/361) | 79% (291/368) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (287/361) | 79% (291/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (29/66) | 53% (30/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (57/95) | 64% (69/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Fofana M. ⚽, Sen K. (A),
- 36', Bingol M. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 44', Terzi E. 🟨,
- 45+3', Jevsenak Z. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', Bostan M. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 1, Hostikka S. ⚽, Traore A. (A),
- 66', Bostan M. ↓, Owusu ↑,
- 66', Pena S. ↓, Ruan Teixeira ↑,
- 67', Bekaroglu B. 🟨,
- 69', Jefferson ↓, Caglayan O. ↑,
- 69', Bars E. ↓, Mamah K. ↑,
- 69', Isciler B. ↓, Destici S. ↑,
- 75', Demir E. ↓, Soro I. ↑,
- 82', Fofana M. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
- 82', Okumus A. ↓, Terzi E. ↑,
- 83', Ruan Teixeira 🟨,
- 84', Oulare N. 🟨,
- 90+4', Traore A. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Ruan Teixeira ⚽, Owusu (A),
- 90+6', Ruan Teixeira 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sakaryaspor
36.6% | Draw
28.5% | Vanspor
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakaryaspor's performance.Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vanspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sakaryaspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vanspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sakaryaspor - Vanspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↓
(2.93) |
3.29 ↓
(3.4) |
2.67 ↑
(2.23) |
7.5%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Vanspor?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Vanspor will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- DNB - Sakaryaspor (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 2.
- Sakaryaspor has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Vanspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Demir M.
(Yellow Cards)
Turken A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vanspor: Mamah K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sakaryaspor: Demir M.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Vanspor?
Sakaryaspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vanspor won against Sakaryaspor?
Vanspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Vanspor were as follows:
02.11.2025
Vanspor
-
Sakaryaspor
3:2
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Latest results of Vanspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
