Varaždin vs Gorica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
04/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Croatian Cup - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
68%32%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
64
Corner kicks
35
Yellow cards
25
Total shots
138
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
74
Corner kicks
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Epailly T. , Erceg A. (A),
  • 7', 1 - 1, Mamic L. , Canjuga I. (A),
  • 15', Cabraja M. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 2, Trontelj Z. ,
  • 37', Posinkovic L. 🟨,
  • 38', Bakic O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Bogojevic B. , Vrzic L. ,
  • 59', Pozo I. , Prsir J. ,
  • 59', Duvnjak T. , Latkovic A. ,
  • 59', Vuk M. , Tavares I. ,
  • 71', Juric S. 🟨,
  • 72', Peric S. 🟨,
  • 73', Tepsic N. , Skaricic L. ,
  • 73', Lesjak S. , Bockaj P. ,
  • 76', Peric S. , Filipovic J. ,
  • 77', Erceg A. , Sule W. ,
  • 79', Posinkovic L. , Maglica F. ,
  • 80', Sahinovic M. 🟨,
  • 85', Vrzic L. 🟨,
  • 89', Epailly T. , Kucis S. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 3, Prsir J. ,

Chances of winning


Varaždin
34.9%
Draw
29%
Gorica
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 28.4% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 28.6% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varaždin's form might have worsened.
  • Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gorica's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varaždin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gorica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Varaždin - Gorica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.1)
    3.23
    (3.35)
    2.6
    (3.6)
    6.7%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Varaždin - Gorica?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Gorica (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Varaždin will win (35 of 41 users predict this - 85.37%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.55%96.19%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Varaždin will win (13 of 17 users predict this - 76.47%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Varaždin (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Gorica (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Varaždin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Varaždin has had a series of home games.
    • Varaždin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Gorica were as follows:
    26.01.2026 Gorica - Varaždin 1:2
    19.10.2025 Gorica - Varaždin 1:3
    04.08.2025 Varaždin - Gorica 1:1
    04.04.2025 Varaždin - Gorica 0:0
    25.01.2025 Gorica - Varaždin 1:1
    Latest results of Varaždin
    28.02.2026 Varaždin - Hajduk Split 1:1
    22.02.2026 Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb 0:4
    14.02.2026 Rijeka - Varaždin 3:1
    08.02.2026 Varaždin - Osijek 2:1
    04.02.2026 Varaždin - Kustošija 1:1
    Latest results of Gorica
    01.03.2026 Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica 4:2
    21.02.2026 Istra 1961 - Gorica 0:2
    15.02.2026 Gorica - Vukovar 91 0:0
    06.02.2026 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica 3:0
    31.01.2026 Gorica - Hajduk Split 1:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1Radnik KrizevciDrnis5 : 0
    2ByeMladost Zdralovi
    3MaksimirJadran Porec3 : 2
    4ByeRijeka
    5Nehaj SenjVukovar 19911 : 2
    6ByeCibalia
    7KoprivnicaNK P.1 : 0
    8ByeHajduk Split
    9Slavonija PozegaMarsonia1 : 0
    10ByeBijelo Brdo
    11Radnicki DaljGranicar Kotoriba0 : 2
    12ByeSlaven Belupo
    13Jedinstvo (DM)Dugo Selo0 : 3
    14ByeLok. Zagreb
    15Varteks VarazdinMoslavina3 : 0
    16ByeSibenik
    17SpanskoGaj Mace0 : 1
    18ByeVarazdin
    19Uljanik PulaBjelovar2 : 0
    20ByeOsijek
    21BelicaSolin1 : 4
    22ByeRudes
    23LibertasOpatija2 : 1
    24ByeGorica
    25Bednja BeletinecKarlovac1 : 4
    26ByeBelisce
    27Bedem IvankovoDin. Predavac3 : 5
    28ByeDin. Zagreb
    29ZemunikKurilovec2 : 12
    30ByeOriolik
    31NeretvaZadrugar Oprisavci6 : 2
    32ByeIstra 1961

    1/16-finals
    1Radnik KrizevciMladost Zdralovi0 : 1
    2MaksimirRijeka0 : 4
    3Vukovar 1991Cibalia0 : 1
    4KoprivnicaHajduk Split1 : 4
    5Slavonija PozegaBijelo Brdo0 : 2
    6Granicar KotoribaSlaven Belupo0 : 5
    7Dugo SeloLok. Zagreb0 : 4
    8Varteks VarazdinSibenik4 : 1
    9Gaj MaceVarazdin1 : 7
    10Uljanik PulaOsijek0 : 4
    11SolinRudes1 : 2
    12LibertasGorica1 : 3
    13KarlovacBelisce5 : 0
    14Din. PredavacDin. Zagreb0 : 6
    15KurilovecOriolik5 : 0
    16NeretvaIstra 19611 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Mladost ZdraloviRijeka1 : 4
    2CibaliaHajduk Split0 : 1
    3Bijelo BrdoSlaven Belupo0 : 3
    4Lok. ZagrebVarteks Varazdin4 : 0
    5VarazdinOsijek2 : 1
    6RudesGorica0 : 6
    7KarlovacDin. Zagreb0 : 7
    8KurilovecIstra 19612 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaHajduk Split3 : 2
    2Slaven BelupoLok. Zagreb2 : 1
    3VarazdinGorica1 : 3
    4Din. ZagrebKurilovec2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1RijekaSlaven Belupo
    2GoricaDin. Zagreb

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2