Result
1:1
04/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 1
- Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (475/545) | 77% (219/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (475/545) | 77% (219/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (40/66) | 39% (20/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (100/134) | 64% (49/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/24) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 56% (14/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Cuic F. ⚽, Kavelj A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Duvnjak T. ↓, Marina M. ↑,
- 47', Pozo I. 🟨,
- 62', Pozo I. ↓, Fiolic I. ↑,
- 65', Latkovic A. ↓, Vuk M. ↑,
- 65', Tepsic N. ↓, Maglica F. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Marina M. ⚽, Maglica F. (A),
- 73', Cabraja M. 🟨,
- 76', Mladenovski M. ↓, Skaricic L. ↑,
- 77', Pavicic D. ↓, Pelko V. ↑,
- 78', Vrzic L. ↓, Josic Z. ↑,
- 82', Mamut I. ↓, Dabro M. ↑,
- 90+1', Cuic F. ↓, Kucis M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
53.7% | Draw
26.7% | Gorica
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Varaždin - Gorica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.7) |
3.46 ↓
(3.55) |
4.81 ↓
(4.9) |
7%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Gorica?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varaždin: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Varaždin (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 1.
- Varaždin is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Gorica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Gorica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Gorica has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Varaždin is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Varaždin will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Gorica?
Varaždin has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Varaždin?
Gorica has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Gorica were as follows:
04.04.2025
Varaždin
-
Gorica
0:0
25.01.2025
Gorica
-
Varaždin
1:1
14.11.2024
Varaždin
-
Gorica
1:2
20.10.2024
Varaždin
-
Gorica
2:1
03.08.2024
Gorica
-
Varaždin
0:0
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 19 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Lok. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 5 | Gorica | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Osijek | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Slaven Belupo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 9 |
| 9 | Rijeka | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
