Varaždin vs Gorica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Croatian Cup - Quarter-finals

Chances of winning


Varaždin
42.3%
Draw
28.8%
Gorica
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 28.4% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 28.6% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Varaždin - Gorica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.1)
    3.16
    (3.35)
    3.16
    (3.6)
    9.7%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Varaždin - Gorica?
  • Users Predictions: Varaždin will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Varaždin will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Gorica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Varaždin has had a series of home games.
    • Varaždin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Gorica were as follows:
    26.01.2026 Gorica - Varaždin 1:2
    19.10.2025 Gorica - Varaždin 1:3
    04.08.2025 Varaždin - Gorica 1:1
    04.04.2025 Varaždin - Gorica 0:0
    25.01.2025 Gorica - Varaždin 1:1
    Latest results of Varaždin
    28.02.2026 Varaždin - Hajduk Split 1:1
    22.02.2026 Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb 0:4
    14.02.2026 Rijeka - Varaždin 3:1
    08.02.2026 Varaždin - Osijek 2:1
    04.02.2026 Varaždin - Kustošija 1:1
    Latest results of Gorica
    01.03.2026 Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica 4:2
    21.02.2026 Istra 1961 - Gorica 0:2
    15.02.2026 Gorica - Vukovar 91 0:0
    06.02.2026 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica 3:0
    31.01.2026 Gorica - Hajduk Split 1:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1Bednja BeletinecKarlovac1 : 4
    2ByeBelisce
    3Bedem IvankovoDin. Predavac3 : 5
    4ByeDin. Zagreb
    5ZemunikKurilovec2 : 12
    6ByeOriolik
    7NeretvaZadrugar Oprisavci6 : 2
    8ByeIstra 1961
    9Radnik KrizevciDrnis5 : 0
    10ByeZdralovi
    11MaksimirJadran Porec3 : 2
    12ByeRijeka
    13Nehaj SenjVukovar 19911 : 2
    14ByeCibalia
    15KoprivnicaNK P.1 : 0
    16ByeHajduk Split
    17Slavonija PozegaMarsonia1 : 0
    18ByeBijelo Brdo
    19Radnicki DaljGranicar Kotoriba0 : 2
    20ByeSlaven Belupo
    21Jedinstvo (DM)Dugo Selo0 : 3
    22ByeLok. Zagreb
    23Varteks VarazdinMoslavina3 : 0
    24ByeSibenik
    25SpanskoGaj Mace0 : 1
    26ByeVarazdin
    27Uljanik PulaBjelovar2 : 0
    28ByeOsijek
    29BelicaSolin1 : 4
    30ByeRudes
    31LibertasOpatija2 : 1
    32ByeGorica

    1/16-finals
    1KarlovacBelisce5 : 0
    2Din. PredavacDin. Zagreb0 : 6
    3KurilovecOriolik5 : 0
    4NeretvaIstra 19611 : 2
    5Radnik KrizevciZdralovi0 : 1
    6MaksimirRijeka0 : 4
    7Vukovar 1991Cibalia0 : 1
    8KoprivnicaHajduk Split1 : 4
    9Slavonija PozegaBijelo Brdo0 : 2
    10Granicar KotoribaSlaven Belupo0 : 5
    11Dugo SeloLok. Zagreb0 : 4
    12Varteks VarazdinSibenik4 : 1
    13Gaj MaceVarazdin1 : 7
    14Uljanik PulaOsijek0 : 4
    15SolinRudes1 : 2
    16LibertasGorica1 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1KarlovacDin. Zagreb0 : 7
    2KurilovecIstra 19612 : 1
    3ZdraloviRijeka1 : 4
    4CibaliaHajduk Split0 : 1
    5Bijelo BrdoSlaven Belupo0 : 3
    6Lok. ZagrebVarteks Varazdin4 : 0
    7VarazdinOsijek2 : 1
    8RudesGorica0 : 6

    Quarter-finals
    1Din. ZagrebKurilovec
    2RijekaHajduk Split
    3Slaven BelupoLok. Zagreb
    4VarazdinGorica