Varaždin vs Gorica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Croatian HNL Varaždin - Gorica
Result
1:1
04/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • HNL - Round 1
  • Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaMAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.07
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
87% (475/545)77% (219/286)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.111.04
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
2813
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
116
Passes
87% (475/545)77% (219/286)
Long passes
61% (40/66)39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
75% (100/134)64% (49/76)
Crosses
13% (3/24)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.35
Throw-ins
2725
Fouls
611
Tackles
44% (8/18)56% (14/25)
Duels won
5249
Clearances
2431
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.041.11
Goals prevented
0.040.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Cuic F. , Kavelj A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Duvnjak T. , Marina M. ,
  • 47', Pozo I. 🟨,
  • 62', Pozo I. , Fiolic I. ,
  • 65', Latkovic A. , Vuk M. ,
  • 65', Tepsic N. , Maglica F. ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Marina M. , Maglica F. (A),
  • 73', Cabraja M. 🟨,
  • 76', Mladenovski M. , Skaricic L. ,
  • 77', Pavicic D. , Pelko V. ,
  • 78', Vrzic L. , Josic Z. ,
  • 82', Mamut I. , Dabro M. ,
  • 90+1', Cuic F. , Kucis M. ,

Chances of winning


Varaždin
53.7%
Draw
26.7%
Gorica
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 26.3% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Varaždin - Gorica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.7)
    3.46
    (3.55)
    4.81
    (4.9)
    7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Varaždin - Gorica?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Varaždin: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Varaždin (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 1.
    • Varaždin is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Gorica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gorica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Gorica has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Varaždin is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Varaždin will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.4:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Gorica were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Varaždin - Gorica 0:0
    25.01.2025 Gorica - Varaždin 1:1
    14.11.2024 Varaždin - Gorica 1:2
    20.10.2024 Varaždin - Gorica 2:1
    03.08.2024 Gorica - Varaždin 0:0
    Latest results of Varaždin
    31.07.2025 Santa Clara - Varaždin 2:0
    24.07.2025 Varaždin - Santa Clara 2:1
    17.07.2025 Varaždin - Zorya Luhansk 2:1
    12.07.2025 Sarajevo - Varaždin 1:2
    Latest results of Gorica
    25.07.2025 Triglav - Gorica 3:1
    24.07.2025 Gorica - Ilirija Ljubljana 4:1
    19.07.2025 Gorica - Charlton Athletic 0:2
    12.07.2025 Gorica - Široki Brijeg 4:2
    Croatian HNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb440010:01012
    2Hajduk Split33007:169
    3Lok. Zagreb42116:607
    4Gorica41216:605
    5Rijeka31112:204
    6Slaven Belupo41034:8-43
    7Varazdin30212:4-22
    8Osijek30210:2-22
    9Istra 196140224:8-42
    10Vukovar 199140223:7-42

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