Gorica vs Varaždin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Croatian HNL Gorica - Varaždin
Result
1:3
19/10/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • HNL - Round 10
  • Referee: Bel D. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaMAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.713.15
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
85% (452/534)77% (273/354)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.713.15
xG on target (xGOT)
0.982.68
Total shots
118
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
41
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
157
Passes
85% (452/534)77% (273/354)
Long passes
53% (30/57)40% (26/65)
Passes in final third
66% (82/125)63% (45/71)
Crosses
40% (4/10)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.750.75
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
715
Tackles
54% (7/13)82% (14/17)
Duels won
4039
Clearances
1518
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
2.680.98
Goals prevented
-0.32-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', Peric S. 🟨,
  • 7', 0 - 1, Mamut I. (Pen),
  • 24', Belcar L. 🟨,
  • 24', Cabraja M. 🟨,
  • 35', Filipovic J. 🟨,
  • 36', Carevic M. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 2, Skaricic L. ,
  • 41', Mamut I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Erceg A. , Cuic F. ,
  • 47', 0 - 3, Latkovic A. , Mamut I. (A),
  • 61', Bakic O. , Kavelj A. ,
  • 61', Vrzic L. , Gashi M. ,
  • 63', Mladenovski M. 🟨,
  • 69', Mamut I. , Antunovic M. ,
  • 69', Mamic L. , Marina M. ,
  • 76', 1 - 3, Prsir J. (Pen),
  • 77', Maglica F. , Jovanov V. ,
  • 78', Latkovic A. 🟨,
  • 81', Peric S. , Pavicic D. ,
  • 82', Durakovic E. , Fiolic I. ,
  • 83', Mladenovski M. , Tepsic N. ,
  • 83', Latkovic A. , Dabro M. ,

Chances of winning


Gorica
35.5%
Draw
31%
Varaždin
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 31% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5% 31.4% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Gorica - Varaždin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.68)
    3.05
    (3.03)
    2.83
    (2.76)
    6.1%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Gorica - Varaždin?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Gorica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There are questionable in Varaždin: Mladenovski M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Varaždin were as follows:
    04.08.2025 Varaždin - Gorica 1:1
    04.04.2025 Varaždin - Gorica 0:0
    25.01.2025 Gorica - Varaždin 1:1
    14.11.2024 Varaždin - Gorica 1:2
    20.10.2024 Varaždin - Gorica 2:1
    Latest results of Gorica
    05.10.2025 Gorica - Rijeka 1:3
    28.09.2025 Gorica - Osijek 0:1
    21.09.2025 Gorica - Slaven Belupo 2:1
    14.09.2025 Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica 1:2
    10.09.2025 Libertas Novska - Gorica 1:3
    Latest results of Varaždin
    03.10.2025 Istra 1961 - Varaždin 1:0
    26.09.2025 Varaždin - Vukovar 91 2:1
    13.09.2025 Varaždin - Hajduk Split 2:0
    09.09.2025 Gaj Mače - Varaždin 1:7
    Croatian HNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb1071222:81422
    2Hajduk Split1071217:71022
    3Lok. Zagreb1044212:12016
    4Varazdin1043313:11215
    5Slaven Belupo1041513:18-513
    6Istra 1961103349:14-512
    7Rijeka1025312:12011
    8Gorica1032512:16-411
    9Osijek102359:11-29
    10Vukovar 1991101369:19-106

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