Result
1:1
03/04/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (286/374) | 77% (294/382) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (286/374) | 77% (294/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 36% (19/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (68/110) | 59% (33/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', Pozo I. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Latkovic A. ⚽, Mladenovski M. (A),
- 33', Tepsic N. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Erceg A. ⚽, Prsir J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pozo I. ↓, Bakic O. ↑,
- 46', Pavicic D. ↓, Epailly T. ↑,
- 56', Latkovic A. 🟨,
- 63', Puclin D. ↓, Canjuga I. ↑,
- 69', Erceg A. ↓, Sule W. ↑,
- 71', Mamic L. ↓, Bockaj P. ↑,
- 71', Sule W. 🟨,
- 78', Cabraja M. 🟨,
- 82', Prsir J. ↓, Kucis S. ↑,
- 83', Kavelj A. 🟨,
- 86', Vuk M. ↓, Ilinkovic S. ↑,
- 89', Bogojevic B. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
- 90+1', Duvnjak T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Bakic O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
35.7% | Draw
29.4% | Gorica
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Varaždin - Gorica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61
(2.61) |
3.16 ↑
(3.02) |
2.68 ↓
(2.8) |
7.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Gorica?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Gorica will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Varaždin (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Varaždin (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Barac M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Varaždin: Juric S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Gorica?
Varaždin has won 7 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Varaždin?
Gorica has won 4 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Gorica were as follows:
04.03.2026
Varaždin
-
Gorica
1:3
26.01.2026
Gorica
-
Varaždin
1:2
19.10.2025
Gorica
-
Varaždin
1:3
04.08.2025
Varaždin
-
Gorica
1:1
04.04.2025
Varaždin
-
Gorica
0:0
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 75:22 | 53 | 66 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 49:26 | 23 | 59 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:33 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 37:40 | -3 | 41 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:46 | -8 | 36 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 36 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 34:46 | -12 | 34 |
| 8 | Gorica | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 34:40 | -6 | 32 |
| 9 | Osijek | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | -19 | 28 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27:53 | -26 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
