Result
1:2
26/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 19
- Referee: Bel D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (376/445) | 81% (343/424) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (376/445) | 81% (343/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (25/44) | 49% (28/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (79/115) | 69% (75/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (9/28) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', Prsir J. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 0, Filipovic J. ⚽, Cabraja M. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Mamic L. ⚽, Latkovic A. (A),
- 41', Mamut I. 🟨,
- 44', Puncec R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mladenovski M. ↓, Tavares I. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 2, Mamut I. ⚽, Latkovic A. (A),
- 67', Latkovic A. ↓, Vuk M. ↑,
- 67', Mamut I. ↓, Antunovic M. ↑,
- 67', Fiolic I. ↓, Bakic O. ↑,
- 72', Marina M. ↓, Puclin D. ↑,
- 72', Les M. ↓, Gashi M. ↑,
- 72', Cuic F. ↓, Pelko V. ↑,
- 87', Kavelj A. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
- 87', Prsir J. ↓, Erceg A. ↑,
- 88', Mamic L. ↓, Canjuga I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gorica
37.8% | Draw
29.8% | Varaždin
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Gorica - Varaždin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.07) |
3.16 ↓
(3.28) |
2.91 ↓
(3.55) |
6.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gorica - Varaždin?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Varaždin will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varaždin: 24.9% – 69.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Gorica (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Gorica (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Gorica (1.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Gorica (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - Gorica (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Gorica (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Varaždin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Varaždin might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Ba L.
(Yellow Cards)
Bockaj P.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Varaždin?
Gorica has won 3 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Gorica?
Varaždin has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Varaždin were as follows:
19.10.2025
Gorica
-
Varaždin
1:3
04.08.2025
Varaždin
-
Gorica
1:1
04.04.2025
Varaždin
-
Gorica
0:0
25.01.2025
Gorica
-
Varaždin
1:1
14.11.2024
Varaždin
-
Gorica
1:2
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 44:17 | 27 | 45 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 40 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 4 | Istra 1961 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29:28 | 1 | 30 |
| 5 | Rijeka | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 28:34 | -6 | 27 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 26:32 | -6 | 26 |
| 8 | Gorica | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23:32 | -9 | 22 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 18 |
| 10 | Osijek | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
