Arsimi vs Vardar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football North Macedonian 1 MFL Arsimi - Vardar
18/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. MFL - Round 6

Chances of winning


Arsimi
31.3%
Draw
28.5%
Vardar
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 28.7% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 28.6% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsimi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsimi than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Arsimi - Vardar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (2.6)
    3.18
    (3.14)
    2.26
    (2.46)
    10.3%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone 1. MFL (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Arsimi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vardar is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arsimi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsimi - Vardar were as follows:
    18.02.2023 Vardar - Arsimi 1:1
    Latest results of Arsimi
    14.09.2025 Pelister - Arsimi 0:4
    30.08.2025 Arsimi - Sileks 0:1
    27.08.2025 Belasica - Arsimi 3:2
    24.08.2025 Shkendija Tetovo - Arsimi 0:0
    15.08.2025 Arsimi - Struga 1:2
    Latest results of Vardar
    29.08.2025 Shkupi - Vardar 2:4
    22.08.2025 Vardar - AP Brera Strumica 2:2
    15.08.2025 Tikveš - Vardar 1:2
    08.08.2025 Vardar - Pelister 4:1
    North Macedonian 1 MFL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Struga651015:21316
    2Sileks650116:31315
    3Vardar541013:6713
    4Shkendija532011:4711
    5Bashkimi63129:10-110
    6Pelister52036:11-56
    7Makedonija GP62045:10-56
    8Arsimi51226:425
    9Tikves61233:8-55
    10Brera Strumica61234:11-75
    11Rabotnicki40131:7-61
    12Shkupi60063:16-130

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          1. MFL (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. MFL