Result
1:4
18/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 29', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 35', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 45+2', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 4, ⚽,
- 59', 🟥,
- 72', 1 - 4, ⚽,
- 79', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arsimi
16.2% | Draw
25.4% | Vardar
58.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsimi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsimi's form might have worsened.Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vardar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsimi than the current prediction. (+18.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsimi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (-21.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vardar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arsimi - Vardar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.36 ↑
(2.6) |
4.04 ↑
(3.14) |
1.76 ↓
(2.46) |
-2.6%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arsimi - Vardar?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vardar (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Vardar will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone 1. MFL (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Arsimi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vardar is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arsimi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsimi won against Vardar?
Arsimi has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vardar won against Arsimi?
Vardar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arsimi - Vardar were as follows:
18.02.2023
Vardar
-
Arsimi
1:1
North Macedonian 1 MFL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Struga | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 17 | 23 |
| 2 | Vardar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 22:10 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Shkendija | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Sileks | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Bashkimi | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Makedonija GP | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Brera Strumica | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 8 | Arsimi | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:19 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Tikves | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 10 | Pelister | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 7 |
| 11 | Rabotnicki | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 5 |
| 12 | Shkupi | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7:27 | -20 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. MFL
