Makedonija Gjorče Petrov vs Vardar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. MFL - Round 16

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', 🟨,
  • 53', 1 - 0, Estupinan Riascos J. H. ,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Omeragic A. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Omeragic A. ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 85', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Makedonija Gjorče Petrov
8.3%
Draw
18.4%
Vardar
73.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.3% 20.2% 67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8% 19.3% 70.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Makedonija Gjorče Petrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vardar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Makedonija Gjorče Petrov than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Makedonija Gjorče Petrov - Vardar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    10.9
    (7.4)
    4.9
    (4.5)
    1.23
    (1.35)
    11%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Makedonija Gjorče Petrov - Vardar?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vardar will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vardar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone 1. MFL (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Makedonija GP won 1.
    • Makedonija GP has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Vardar is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Vardar is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Makedonija GP won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Makedonija GP won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Makedonija Gjorče Petrov - Vardar were as follows:
    12.09.2025 Vardar - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov 1:0
    04.05.2024 Vardar - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov 1:0
    02.12.2023 Makedonija Gjorče Petrov - Vardar 0:1
    25.10.2023 Vardar - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov 0:1
    02.09.2023 Vardar - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov 2:1
    Latest results of Vardar
    30.11.2025 Vardar - Shkupi 6:1
    22.11.2025 AP Brera Strumica - Vardar 0:2
    09.11.2025 Vardar - Tikveš 3:1
    05.11.2025 Pelister - Vardar 1:2
    31.10.2025 Vardar - Sileks 2:1
    North Macedonian 1 MFL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vardar20164050:173352
    2Shkendija20153241:172448
    3Struga21135346:182844
    4Sileks20122641:231838
    5Bashkimi2185825:34-929
    6Brera Strumica2176831:37-627
    7Arsimi2075837:39-226
    8Tikves20731026:24224
    9Makedonija GP20551023:31-820
    10Pelister20551023:32-920
    11Rabotnicki ✔ 20341321:39-1813
    12Shkupi ✔ 21012012:65-531

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          1. MFL (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. MFL

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Rabotnicki is Relegated to 2. MFL
    Shkupi is Relegated to 2. MFL