Result
1:1
11/02/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 20
Chances of winning
Alfaro
43.8% | Draw
27.7% | Varea
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfaro's performance.Varea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+3%)
Alfaro - Varea Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.36) |
3.26 ↑
(3.13) |
3.17 ↑
(2.69) |
10.7%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Alfaro won 3.
- Alfaro in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Varea is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Varea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Alfaro won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Alfaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Alfaro won against Varea?
Alfaro has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varea won against Alfaro?
Varea has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alfaro - Varea were as follows:
24.09.2023
Varea
-
Alfaro
0:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 57:14 | 43 | 58 |
| 2 | Varea | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 41:15 | 26 | 58 |
| 3 | Anguiano | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 34:19 | 15 | 46 |
| 4 | Arnedo | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 44 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Calahorra | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 57:19 | 38 | 39 |
| 7 | Agoncillo | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 43:29 | 14 | 39 |
| 8 | Haro Deportivo | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Yague | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 36:32 | 4 | 33 |
| 10 | Vianes | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 11 | Pradejon | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 27 |
| 12 | Berceo | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 26 |
| 13 | CDFC Calzada | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | San Marcial | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Comillas | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 20:45 | -25 | 24 |
| 16 | Villegas | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 23:49 | -26 | 22 |
| 17 | Autol | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17:54 | -37 | 13 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 24 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 16:57 | -41 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
