Result
1:1
11/02/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 20
Chances of winning
Alfaro
43.8% | Draw
27.7% | Varea
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfaro's performance.Varea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+3%)
Alfaro - Varea Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.36) |
3.26 ↑
(3.13) |
3.17 ↑
(2.69) |
10.7%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Alfaro won 3.
- Alfaro in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Varea is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Varea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Alfaro won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Alfaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Alfaro won against Varea?
Alfaro has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varea won against Alfaro?
Varea has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alfaro - Varea were as follows:
24.09.2023
Varea
-
Alfaro
0:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Oyonesa | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Varea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Arnedo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Anguiano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Yague | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | Pradejon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Calahorra | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 12 |
| 9 | Haro Deportivo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 11 |
| 10 | Berceo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | San Marcial | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | CDFC Calzada | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Vianes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Villegas | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:19 | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | Agoncillo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Autol | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 6 |
| 17 | Comillas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:17 | -13 | 5 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:17 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
