Alfaro vs Varea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Alfaro - Varea
Result
1:1
11/02/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 20

Chances of winning


Alfaro
43.8%
Draw
27.7%
Varea
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 28.6% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 27% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfaro's performance.
  • Varea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Alfaro - Varea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.36)
    3.26
    (3.13)
    3.17
    (2.69)
    10.7%
    (11.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alfaro won 3.
    • Alfaro in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Varea is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Varea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Alfaro won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alfaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alfaro - Varea were as follows:
    24.09.2023 Varea - Alfaro 0:2
    Latest results of Alfaro
    04.02.2024 Haro Deportivo - Alfaro 0:3
    28.01.2024 Alfaro - La Calzada 4:1
    21.01.2024 Anguiano - Alfaro 1:1
    14.01.2024 Alfaro - Arnedo 2:1
    07.01.2024 Alberite - Alfaro 2:5
    Latest results of Varea
    04.02.2024 Varea - Anguiano 0:2
    21.01.2024 Alberite - Varea 0:4
    07.01.2024 Oyonesa - Varea 0:0
    17.12.2023 Varea - Comillas 1:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2