Result
1:1
11/02/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 20
Chances of winning
Alfaro
43.8% | Draw
27.7% | Varea
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfaro's performance.Varea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+3%)
Alfaro - Varea Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.36) |
3.26 ↑
(3.13) |
3.17 ↑
(2.69) |
10.7%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Alfaro won 3.
- Alfaro in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Varea is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Varea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Alfaro won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Alfaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Alfaro won against Varea?
Alfaro has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varea won against Alfaro?
Varea has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alfaro - Varea were as follows:
24.09.2023
Varea
-
Alfaro
0:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 68:19 | 49 | 65 |
| 2 | Varea | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 61 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 58:23 | 35 | 53 |
| 4 | Oyonesa | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Anguiano | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 39:25 | 14 | 49 |
| 6 | Calahorra | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 63:19 | 44 | 48 |
| 7 | Agoncillo | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 46:36 | 10 | 40 |
| 8 | Haro Deportivo | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Yague | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 41:36 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Vianes | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Comillas | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 26:46 | -20 | 31 |
| 12 | San Marcial | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29:46 | -17 | 30 |
| 13 | Berceo | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Pradejon | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 22:34 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | CDFC Calzada | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31:47 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Villegas | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 29:55 | -26 | 25 |
| 17 | Autol | 27 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 17:64 | -47 | 13 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 27 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 18:61 | -43 | 10 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
