Result
1:2
22/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 34', 1 - 0, Muro M. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 73', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
La Calzada
22.5% | Draw
26.7% | Varea
50.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Varea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
La Calzada - Varea Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.07 ↓
(4.93) |
3.43 ↓
(3.78) |
1.8 ↑
(1.58) |
9.2%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Calzada won 0.
- La Calzada has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Varea is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Varea is considered a favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, La Calzada won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, La Calzada won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has La Calzada won against Varea?
La Calzada has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varea won against La Calzada?
Varea has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between La Calzada - Varea were as follows:
12.10.2025
Varea
-
La Calzada
0:0
25.05.2025
Varea
-
La Calzada
3:2
18.05.2025
La Calzada
-
Varea
0:1
04.05.2025
Varea
-
La Calzada
2:0
21.12.2024
La Calzada
-
Varea
2:2
Latest results of La Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 81:21 | 60 | 74 |
| 2 | Varea | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 49:23 | 26 | 68 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 66:23 | 43 | 62 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 71:21 | 50 | 55 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 46 |
| 9 | Vianes | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 10 | Yague | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Berceo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 38:43 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | San Marcial | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | CDFC Calzada | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:52 | -16 | 33 |
| 14 | Comillas | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 26:51 | -25 | 31 |
| 15 | Pradejon | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | Villegas | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 32:60 | -28 | 26 |
| 17 | Autol | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18:70 | -52 | 14 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 30 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 22:71 | -49 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
