Result
1:0
01/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 86', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Varea
72.9% | Draw
18% | San Marcial
9.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)San Marcial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varea than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Varea - San Marcial Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.26 ↓
(1.34) |
5.11 ↑
(4.55) |
10.04 ↑
(7.58) |
8.9%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 12).
- Varea has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- San Marcial has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Varea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Varea is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Varea will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Varea won against San Marcial?
Varea has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Marcial won against Varea?
San Marcial has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varea - San Marcial were as follows:
Latest results of San Marcial
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 81:21 | 60 | 74 |
| 2 | Varea | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 49:23 | 26 | 68 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64:23 | 41 | 59 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 67:21 | 46 | 52 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 41:33 | 8 | 49 |
| 7 | Agoncillo | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 46 |
| 8 | Haro Deportivo | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 48:42 | 6 | 45 |
| 9 | Yague | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Berceo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 38:43 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 | Vianes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 35:41 | -6 | 35 |
| 12 | San Marcial | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 33:48 | -15 | 34 |
| 13 | Comillas | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 31 |
| 14 | CDFC Calzada | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 33:50 | -17 | 30 |
| 15 | Pradejon | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | Villegas | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30:57 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Autol | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:69 | -52 | 13 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 29 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 20:66 | -46 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
