Result
4:1
01/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Caverzasi D. ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, Semprini M. ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 1, Costantino D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 78', 3 - 1, Manicone C. ⚽,
- 89', 4 - 1, Costantino D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Varesina
37.5% | Draw
27.2% | Villa Valle
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Varesina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Villa Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Varesina - Villa Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.4) |
3.33 ↓
(3.35) |
2.56 ↑
(2.52) |
10.5%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).
- Recent form of Varesina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Villa Valle is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Varesina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Varesina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varesina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Varesina won against Villa Valle?
Varesina has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Villa Valle won against Varesina?
Villa Valle has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varesina - Villa Valle were as follows:
28.09.2025
Villa Valle
-
Varesina
1:1
17.01.2024
Varesina
-
Villa Valle
0:2
20.09.2023
Villa Valle
-
Varesina
4:2
08.01.2023
Varesina
-
Villa Valle
3:1
Latest results of Varesina
Latest results of Villa Valle
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 46:20 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | AC Milan U23 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:32 | 12 | 46 |
| 3 | Chievo | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 40:37 | 3 | 46 |
| 4 | Leon | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Villa Valle | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 38:28 | 10 | 43 |
| 7 | Scanzorosciate | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 42 |
| 8 | Brusaporto | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 42 |
| 9 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Caldiero Terme | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 38:31 | 7 | 39 |
| 11 | Oltrepo | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Castellanzese | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 36 |
| 13 | Real Calepina | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:38 | -1 | 36 |
| 14 | Breno | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Varesina | 28 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
| 16 | Pavia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26:55 | -29 | 23 |
| 18 | Vogherese ✔ | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 18:48 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vogherese is Relegated to
