Result
4:1
01/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Caverzasi D. ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, Semprini M. ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 1, Costantino D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 78', 3 - 1, Manicone C. ⚽,
- 89', 4 - 1, Costantino D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Varesina 37.5% | Draw 27.2% | Villa Valle 35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Varesina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Villa Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Varesina - Villa Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.42 ↑ (2.4) |
3.33 ↓ (3.35) |
2.56 ↑ (2.52) |
10.5% (11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).
- Recent form of Varesina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Villa Valle is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Varesina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Varesina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varesina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Varesina won against Villa Valle?
Varesina has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Villa Valle won against Varesina?
Villa Valle has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varesina - Villa Valle were as follows:
28.09.2025
Villa Valle
-
Varesina
1:1
17.01.2024
Varesina
-
Villa Valle
0:2
20.09.2023
Villa Valle
-
Varesina
4:2
08.01.2023
Varesina
-
Villa Valle
3:1
Latest results of Varesina
Latest results of Villa Valle
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 31 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 9 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 25 | 56 |
| 5 | Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 3 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 2 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | -3 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 10 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | -5 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 2 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | -12 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | -6 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | -27 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -59 | -17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation