Cumbayá vs Vargas Torres – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Serie B Cumbayá - Vargas Torres
Result
1:1
26/08/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Zapping

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 71', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Cumbayá
54.7%
Draw
27.4%
Vargas Torres
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 30.1% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 29.2% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cumbayá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cumbayá's performance.
  • Vargas Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vargas Torres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cumbayá that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vargas Torres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cumbayá - Vargas Torres Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (2.15)
    3.35
    (3.07)
    5.13
    (3.45)
    9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cumbayá - Vargas Torres?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cumbayá (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cumbayá will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cumbayá is Serie B (Relegation Group )
    • Vargas Torres is Serie B (Relegation Group )
    • Cumbayá is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vargas Torres has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Cumbayá is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cumbayá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cumbayá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cumbayá - Vargas Torres were as follows:
    22.07.2025 Cumbayá - Vargas Torres 2:1
    14.05.2025 Vargas Torres - Cumbayá 4:0
    Latest results of Cumbayá
    10.08.2025 Cumbayá - Chacaritas 1:3
    30.07.2025 Guayaquil City - Cumbayá 1:0
    22.07.2025 Cumbayá - Vargas Torres 2:1
    15.07.2025 San Antonio - Cumbayá 1:0
    Latest results of Vargas Torres
    Ecuadorian Serie B Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leones del Norte24118528:171141
    2Guayaquil City24117633:191440
    3Gualaceo24108630:30038
    4Nueve de Octubre24107725:17837
    5Ind. Juniors24107727:23437
    6San Antonio2496923:25-233

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (First stage: )