Result
1:1
26/08/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 71', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cumbayá
54.7% | Draw
27.4% | Vargas Torres
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cumbayá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cumbayá's performance.Vargas Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vargas Torres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cumbayá that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vargas Torres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cumbayá - Vargas Torres Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(2.15) |
3.35 ↑
(3.07) |
5.13 ↑
(3.45) |
9%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cumbayá - Vargas Torres?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cumbayá (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cumbayá will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Cumbayá is Serie B (Relegation Group )
- Vargas Torres is Serie B (Relegation Group )
- Cumbayá is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vargas Torres has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Cumbayá is a strong favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cumbayá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Cumbayá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Cumbayá won against Vargas Torres?
Cumbayá has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vargas Torres won against Cumbayá?
Vargas Torres has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cumbayá - Vargas Torres were as follows:
22.07.2025
Cumbayá
-
Vargas Torres
2:1
14.05.2025
Vargas Torres
-
Cumbayá
4:0
Latest results of Cumbayá
Latest results of Vargas Torres
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guayaquil City | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 49 |
| 2 | Gualaceo | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 3 | Leones del Norte | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 30:20 | 10 | 43 |
| 4 | Ind. Juniors | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 29:27 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | Nueve de Octubre | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:21 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (First stage: )
