Result
3:0
17/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Narvaez J. ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 0, Angulo Quinonez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', 3 - 0, Cardenas ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vargas Torres 41.6% | Draw 30.6% | Gualaceo 27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vargas Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vargas Torres's performance.Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gualaceo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (-14.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vargas Torres that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gualaceo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vargas Torres - Gualaceo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.29 ↓ (3.33) |
3.12 ↑ (2.75) |
3.43 ↑ (2.3) |
4.9% (9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vargas Torres - Gualaceo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Vargas Torres will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gualaceo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vargas Torres (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gualaceo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Vargas Torres may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vargas Torres won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vargas Torres won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vargas Torres won against Gualaceo?
Vargas Torres has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gualaceo won against Vargas Torres?
Gualaceo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vargas Torres - Gualaceo were as follows:
07.05.2025
Gualaceo
-
Vargas Torres
2:1
08.09.2024
Gualaceo
-
Vargas Torres
1:0
17.07.2024
Vargas Torres
-
Gualaceo
0:1
05.06.2024
Gualaceo
-
Vargas Torres
0:0
10.04.2024
Vargas Torres
-
Gualaceo
1:0
Latest results of Vargas Torres
Latest results of Gualaceo
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Leones del Norte | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 28:17 | 11 | 41 |
2 | Guayaquil City | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 33:19 | 14 | 40 |
3 | Gualaceo | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 30:30 | 0 | 38 |
4 | Nueve de Octubre | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 25:17 | 8 | 37 |
5 | Ind. Juniors | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 27:23 | 4 | 37 |
6 | San Antonio | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (First stage: )