Result
3:0
17/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Narvaez J. ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 0, Angulo Quinonez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', 3 - 0, Cardenas ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vargas Torres
41.6% | Draw
30.6% | Gualaceo
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vargas Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vargas Torres's performance.Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gualaceo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (-14.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vargas Torres that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gualaceo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vargas Torres - Gualaceo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(3.33) |
3.12 ↑
(2.75) |
3.43 ↑
(2.3) |
4.9%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vargas Torres - Gualaceo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Vargas Torres will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gualaceo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vargas Torres (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gualaceo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Vargas Torres may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vargas Torres won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vargas Torres won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vargas Torres won against Gualaceo?
Vargas Torres has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gualaceo won against Vargas Torres?
Gualaceo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vargas Torres - Gualaceo were as follows:
07.05.2025
Gualaceo
-
Vargas Torres
2:1
08.09.2024
Gualaceo
-
Vargas Torres
1:0
17.07.2024
Vargas Torres
-
Gualaceo
0:1
05.06.2024
Gualaceo
-
Vargas Torres
0:0
10.04.2024
Vargas Torres
-
Gualaceo
1:0
Latest results of Vargas Torres
Latest results of Gualaceo
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Leones del Norte ✔ | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 26:14 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Guayaquil City ✔ | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 31:16 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Gualaceo ✔ | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 27:26 | 1 | 34 |
| 4 | Nueve de Octubre ✔ | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 20:15 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | Ind. Juniors ✔ | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 32 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 20:19 | 1 | 31 |
| 7 | Atletico Vinotinto | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 33:26 | 7 | 28 |
| 8 | 22 de Julio ✔ | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:31 | -11 | 28 |
| 9 | Vargas Torres ✔ | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Cumbaya ✔ | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 11 | Imbabura ✔ | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23:30 | -7 | 18 |
| 12 | Chacaritas ✔ | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20:43 | -23 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )
Serie B (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Leones del Norte is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Guayaquil City is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Gualaceo is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Nueve de Octubre is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Ind. Juniors is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
22 de Julio is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Vargas Torres is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Cumbaya is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Imbabura is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Chacaritas is Serie B (Relegation Group )
