Result
1:0
13/07/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 15
- Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 3, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (206/288) | 79% (375/477) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (206/288) | 79% (375/477) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (22/59) | 49% (30/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (65/102) | 73% (122/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Schuller R. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
- 60', Manojlovic F. 🟨,
- 61', Antonsson M. 🟨,
- 61', Tenho M. 🟨,
- 68', Aslund P. 🟨,
- 70', Aslund P. ↓, Fallenius O. ↑,
- 70', Bergh V. ↓, Stahl A. ↑,
- 74', Junior Adjei F. 🟨,
- 78', Priske A. ↓, Sawo Z. ↑,
- 78', Thern S. ↓, Shamoun N. ↑,
- 78', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Abdulrazak I. ↑,
- 82', Johansson C. 🟨,
- 85', Bilalovic K. ↓, Alsalkhadi M. ↑,
- 85', Junior Adjei F. ↓, Kalu J. ↑,
- 90+2', Johansson C. ↓, Wenderson ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Alsalkhadi M. ⚽, Antonsson M. (A),
- 90+6', Kalu J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Värnamo
21.1% | Draw
24.8% | Djurgården
54% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Värnamo's form might have worsened.Djurgården has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Djurgården's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Värnamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Djurgården, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Värnamo - Djurgården Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.52 ↑
(3.28) |
3.78 ↑
(3.43) |
1.75 ↓
(2.14) |
5.7%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Värnamo - Djurgården?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Värnamo will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Djurgården will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djurgården: 49.9% – 90.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Djurgården may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Djurgården is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Värnamo: Bjornstrom A.
(Yellow Cards)
Larsson V.
(Yellow Cards)
Le Roux L.
(Yellow Cards)
Mohammed R.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Djurgården: Bergvall T.
(Yellow Cards)
Ekdal A.
(Yellow Cards)
Marques M.
(Inactive)
Nilsson M.
(Elbow Injury)
Stahl A.
(Inactive)
Stensson D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Värnamo: Lohikangas A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against Djurgården?
Värnamo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Djurgården won against Värnamo?
Djurgården has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Värnamo - Djurgården were as follows:
29.09.2024
Värnamo
-
Djurgården
1:1
14.07.2024
Djurgården
-
Värnamo
1:0
16.09.2023
Djurgården
-
Värnamo
1:2
08.07.2023
Värnamo
-
Djurgården
1:2
14.02.2023
Djurgården
-
Värnamo
1:4
Latest results of Värnamo
Latest results of Djurgården
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 31:14 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 4 | AIK | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
| 5 | GAIS | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 31 |
| 6 | Elfsborg | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Hacken | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Djurgarden | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 19 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14:34 | -20 | 17 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 14 |
| 14 | Sirius | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 | Oster | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13:28 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
