Result
0:0
29/06/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 13
- Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, max Extra 4, Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (272/367) | 73% (274/376) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (272/367) | 73% (274/376) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (30/70) | 28% (19/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (96/149) | 58% (46/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (3/30) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Buhari I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Zeneli A. ↓, Ostman L. ↑,
- 63', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Thern S. ↑,
- 64', Magnusson J. ↓, Thomasen J. ↑,
- 64', Holmen S. ↓, Yegbe T. ↑,
- 64', Ihler F. ↓, Hellemaa A. ↑,
- 73', Bilalovic K. ↓, Cibicki P. ↑,
- 77', Silverholt T. ↓, Rapp G. ↑,
- 80', Johansson C. ↓, Wenderson ↑,
- 83', Hellemaa A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Värnamo
24% | Draw
26.4% | Elfsborg
49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Värnamo - Elfsborg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.95 ↑
(3.6) |
3.57 ↓
(3.6) |
1.89 ↓
(1.95) |
6.2%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Värnamo - Elfsborg?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Värnamo (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Elfsborg (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Users Predictions:
Elfsborg will win
(27 of 32 users predict this - 84.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.8% – 96.96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Elfsborg has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Elfsborg is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Elfsborg: Pettersson I.
(Groin Injury)
Thomasen J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Elfsborg: Zeneli A.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against Elfsborg?
Värnamo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elfsborg won against Värnamo?
Elfsborg has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Värnamo - Elfsborg were as follows:
10.11.2024
Värnamo
-
Elfsborg
0:0
01.04.2024
Elfsborg
-
Värnamo
2:2
02.09.2023
Värnamo
-
Elfsborg
1:0
14.05.2023
Elfsborg
-
Värnamo
2:0
Latest results of Värnamo
Latest results of Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 31:14 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | AIK | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 30 |
| 5 | Elfsborg | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | GAIS | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 28 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Hacken | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Djurgarden | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | -1 | 19 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:31 | -17 | 17 |
| 13 | Sirius | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 13 |
| 15 | Oster | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13:28 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
