Result
2:2
11/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 19
- Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (384/460) | 80% (322/405) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (384/460) | 80% (322/405) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (24/60) | 45% (28/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (98/143) | 60% (56/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (12/41) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 2.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.40 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Thern S. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
- 45', 1 - 0, Ostman L. ⚽, Zeneli A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Alsalkhadi M. ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
- 49', Zeneli A. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Meriluoto K. ⚽, Shamoun N. (A),
- 65', Silverholt T. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
- 65', Ostman L. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 2, Liimatta O. ⚽, Meriluoto K. (A),
- 77', 2 - 2, Frick P. ⚽, Zeneli B. (A),
- 78', Shamoun N. ↓, Cibicki P. ↑,
- 81', Rapp J. ↓, Larsson V. ↑,
- 82', Liimatta O. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
- 88', Wenderson ↓, Magnusson J. ↑,
- 89', Holmen S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Elfsborg
64.5% | Draw
19.7% | Värnamo
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Elfsborg - Värnamo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.51) |
4.77 ↑
(4.51) |
6.02 ↑
(5.71) |
5.8%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Elfsborg - Värnamo?
Users Predictions:
50 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 36 - 72%). Värnamo will win (votes: 11 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 59.6% – 84.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Värnamo (votes: 6 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 1.
- Recent performances by Elfsborg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Värnamo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Elfsborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Elfsborg is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Elfsborg: Pettersson I.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Elfsborg: Hult N.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Elfsborg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Elfsborg won against Värnamo?
Elfsborg has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against Elfsborg?
Värnamo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elfsborg - Värnamo were as follows:
29.06.2025
Värnamo
-
Elfsborg
0:0
10.11.2024
Värnamo
-
Elfsborg
0:0
01.04.2024
Elfsborg
-
Värnamo
2:2
02.09.2023
Värnamo
-
Elfsborg
1:0
14.05.2023
Elfsborg
-
Värnamo
2:0
Latest results of Elfsborg
Latest results of Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 38:15 | 23 | 46 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 36:16 | 20 | 42 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 36 |
| 4 | AIK | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | Malmo FF | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 33 |
| 6 | GAIS | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29:16 | 13 | 32 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 27 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 30:30 | 0 | 23 |
| 10 | Hacken | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26:33 | -7 | 23 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 29:37 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15:36 | -21 | 18 |
| 13 | Sirius | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 17 |
| 14 | Oster | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14:25 | -11 | 15 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18:39 | -21 | 15 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 19 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
