Elfsborg vs Värnamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Elfsborg - Värnamo
Result
2:2
11/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 19
  • Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.540.88
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
83% (384/460)80% (322/405)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.540.88
xG on target (xGOT)
2.580.60
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
166
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
4620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
83% (384/460)80% (322/405)
Long passes
40% (24/60)45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
69% (98/143)60% (56/94)
Crosses
29% (12/41)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.720.87
Throw-ins
1325
Fouls
1413
Tackles
67% (12/18)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5544
Clearances
2237
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.602.58
Goals prevented
-1.400.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Thern S. , Kujundzic A. ,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Ostman L. , Zeneli A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Alsalkhadi M. , Zeljkovic A. ,
  • 49', Zeneli A. , Sigurpalsson A. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Meriluoto K. , Shamoun N. (A),
  • 65', Silverholt T. , Ihler F. ,
  • 65', Ostman L. , Frick P. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Liimatta O. , Meriluoto K. (A),
  • 77', 2 - 2, Frick P. , Zeneli B. (A),
  • 78', Shamoun N. , Cibicki P. ,
  • 81', Rapp J. , Larsson V. ,
  • 82', Liimatta O. , Andersson H. ,
  • 88', Wenderson , Magnusson J. ,
  • 89', Holmen S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Elfsborg
64.5%
Draw
19.7%
Värnamo
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.6% 20.9% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 20.5% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Elfsborg - Värnamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.51)
    4.77
    (4.51)
    6.02
    (5.71)
    5.8%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Elfsborg - Värnamo?
  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 36 - 72%). Värnamo will win (votes: 11 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 59.6%84.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Värnamo (votes: 6 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 1.
    • Recent performances by Elfsborg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Värnamo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Elfsborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Elfsborg is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Elfsborg: Pettersson I. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Elfsborg: Hult N. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elfsborg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elfsborg - Värnamo were as follows:
    29.06.2025 Värnamo - Elfsborg 0:0
    10.11.2024 Värnamo - Elfsborg 0:0
    01.04.2024 Elfsborg - Värnamo 2:2
    02.09.2023 Värnamo - Elfsborg 1:0
    14.05.2023 Elfsborg - Värnamo 2:0
    Latest results of Elfsborg
    03.08.2025 Häcken - Elfsborg 1:2
    28.07.2025 Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg 4:3
    19.07.2025 Djurgården - Elfsborg 1:0
    12.07.2025 IFK Göteborg - Elfsborg 1:2
    06.07.2025 Elfsborg - Häcken 0:2
    Latest results of Värnamo
    02.08.2025 Värnamo - GAIS 2:2
    27.07.2025 Värnamo - Hammarby 2:3
    21.07.2025 Norrköping - Värnamo 3:1
    13.07.2025 Värnamo - Djurgården 1:0
    05.07.2025 Hammarby - Värnamo 1:0
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby26196147:173063
    2Hammarby26164651:262552
    3Malmo FF27129642:281445
    4GAIS26129538:251345
    5AIK26128634:27744
    6Goteborg261421036:31544
    7Djurgarden26119641:261542
    8Elfsborg261141140:40037
    9Hacken26951238:45-732
    10Brommapojkarna26921538:41-329
    11Sirius26851343:48-529
    12Norrkoping27851438:51-1329
    13Halmstad26841421:47-2628
    14Oster26671325:37-1225
    15Degerfors26651527:48-2123
    16Varnamo26361732:54-2215

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan