Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 22
- Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.01 | 1.61 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
27 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
78% (390/499) | 74% (277/373) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.01 | 1.61 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.30 | 1.45 |
Total shots |
---|
27 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
12 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
14 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
33 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
78% (390/499) | 74% (277/373) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (32/72) | 53% (30/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (161/221) | 64% (57/89) |
Crosses |
---|
26% (5/19) | 21% (3/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.89 | 0.86 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (10/14) | 75% (15/20) |
Duels won |
---|
33 | 48 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
13 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
8 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.45 | 1.30 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.45 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Tolf N. ⚽, Kruse D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Santos T. ↓, Eriksson F. ↑,
- 69', Shamoun N. ↓, Cibicki P. ↑,
- 69', Meriluoto K. ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
- 71', Larsson V. 🟨,
- 73', Alioum S. ↓, Carlstrand L. ↑,
- 73', Thern S. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
- 82', Clemmensen S. ↓, Yeboah R. ↑,
- 82', Thordarson K. ↓, Jagne I. ↑,
- 85', Tolf N. 🟨,
- 90+1', Liimatta O. ↓, Rapp J. ↑,
Chances of winning
IFK Göteborg 64.8% | Draw 19.1% | Värnamo 16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IFK Göteborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Göteborg than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IFK Göteborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
IFK Göteborg - Värnamo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.45 ↑ (1.4) |
4.85 ↓ (5.05) |
5.85 ↓ (7.2) |
6.6% (5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for IFK Göteborg - Värnamo?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Göteborg will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Värnamo will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Göteborg: 50.5% – 99.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Göteborg won 1.
- Göteborg has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Värnamo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Göteborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Värnamo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Göteborg is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Göteborg: Kahed L.
(Injury)
Mucolli A.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Göteborg will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Göteborg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Göteborg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Göteborg won against Värnamo?
IFK Göteborg has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against IFK Göteborg?
Värnamo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Göteborg - Värnamo were as follows:
13.04.2025
Värnamo
-
IFK Göteborg
0:1
10.08.2024
IFK Göteborg
-
Värnamo
0:0
07.07.2024
Värnamo
-
IFK Göteborg
2:0
23.10.2023
Värnamo
-
IFK Göteborg
3:1
02.04.2023
IFK Göteborg
-
Värnamo
0:1
Latest results of IFK Göteborg
Latest results of Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Mjallby | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 42:16 | 26 | 53 |
2 | Hammarby | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 45 |
3 | AIK | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 28:19 | 9 | 40 |
4 | Malmo FF | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:18 | 16 | 38 |
5 | GAIS | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 38 |
6 | Goteborg | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 31:27 | 4 | 38 |
7 | Elfsborg | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 36 |
8 | Djurgarden | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28:20 | 8 | 34 |
9 | Brommapojkarna | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Hacken | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 26 |
11 | Norrkoping | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 33:43 | -10 | 25 |
12 | Sirius | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 23 |
13 | Halmstad | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
14 | Oster | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 17:31 | -14 | 18 |
15 | Degerfors | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 16 |
16 | Varnamo | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan