Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 22
- Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (390/499) | 74% (277/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (390/499) | 74% (277/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (32/72) | 53% (30/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (161/221) | 64% (57/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Tolf N. ⚽, Kruse D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Santos T. ↓, Eriksson F. ↑,
- 69', Shamoun N. ↓, Cibicki P. ↑,
- 69', Meriluoto K. ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
- 71', Larsson V. 🟨,
- 73', Alioum S. ↓, Carlstrand L. ↑,
- 73', Thern S. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
- 82', Clemmensen S. ↓, Yeboah R. ↑,
- 82', Thordarson K. ↓, Jagne I. ↑,
- 85', Tolf N. 🟨,
- 90+1', Liimatta O. ↓, Rapp J. ↑,
Chances of winning
IFK Göteborg
64.8% | Draw
19.1% | Värnamo
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IFK Göteborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Göteborg than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IFK Göteborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
IFK Göteborg - Värnamo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.4) |
4.85 ↓
(5.05) |
5.85 ↓
(7.2) |
6.6%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for IFK Göteborg - Värnamo?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Göteborg will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Värnamo will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Göteborg: 50.5% – 99.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Göteborg won 1.
- Göteborg has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Värnamo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Göteborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Värnamo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Göteborg is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Göteborg: Kahed L.
(Injury)
Mucolli A.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Göteborg will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Göteborg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Göteborg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Göteborg won against Värnamo?
IFK Göteborg has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against IFK Göteborg?
Värnamo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Göteborg - Värnamo were as follows:
13.04.2025
Värnamo
-
IFK Göteborg
0:1
10.08.2024
IFK Göteborg
-
Värnamo
0:0
07.07.2024
Värnamo
-
IFK Göteborg
2:0
23.10.2023
Värnamo
-
IFK Göteborg
3:1
02.04.2023
IFK Göteborg
-
Värnamo
0:1
Latest results of IFK Göteborg
Latest results of Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 52 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | GAIS | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | AIK | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 34:27 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Goteborg | 26 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 7 | Djurgarden | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Hacken | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Sirius | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 | Norrkoping | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 29 |
| 13 | Halmstad | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 21:47 | -26 | 28 |
| 14 | Oster | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 27:48 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 32:54 | -22 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
