Result
0:5
03/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 29
- Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 3.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (312/397) | 84% (458/543) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 3.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 4.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (312/397) | 84% (458/543) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (22/55) | 75% (30/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (44/67) | 70% (116/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.07 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Stroud E. (Pen),
- 15', Tidstrand L. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 2, Stroud E. ⚽, Thorell L. (A),
- 28', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 49', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
- 50', 0 - 3, Stroud E. (Pen),
- 58', Thern S. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
- 58', Winsth F. ↓, Rapp J. ↑,
- 65', Bergstrom J. ↓, Johansson A. ↑,
- 65', Tidstrand L. ↓, Tchouante C. ↑,
- 65', Thorell L. ↓, Arrhenius R. ↑,
- 68', Alsalkhadi M. ↓, Bozicevic F. ↑,
- 68', Liimatta O. ↓, Meriluoto K. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 4, Gustafson V. ⚽, Johansson H. (A),
- 70', Johansson H. ↓, Stavitski T. ↑,
- 81', Kjaer J. ↓, Petersson A. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 5, Johansson A. ⚽, Gustafson V. (A),
- 83', Antonsen K. ↓, Diallo M. C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Värnamo
18% | Draw
20.9% | Mjällby
61.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Värnamo - Mjällby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.17 ↑
(5.13) |
4.42 ↑
(4.33) |
1.54 ↓
(1.58) |
6.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Värnamo - Mjällby?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Mjällby will win (votes: 13 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mjällby: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Värnamo is Relegated to Superettan
- Mjällby is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 1.
- Recent form of Värnamo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mjällby is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mjällby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Mjällby is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Mjällby: Svanberg L.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Värnamo: Abdulrazak I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mjällby: Miettinen T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against Mjällby?
Värnamo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mjällby won against Värnamo?
Mjällby has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Värnamo - Mjällby were as follows:
01.06.2025
Mjällby
-
Värnamo
2:0
25.09.2024
Mjällby
-
Värnamo
1:1
02.06.2024
Värnamo
-
Mjällby
1:2
01.10.2023
Mjällby
-
Värnamo
2:3
10.04.2023
Värnamo
-
Mjällby
0:1
Latest results of Värnamo
Latest results of Mjällby
Draw
RelegationFinal| 1 | Norrkoping | Orgryte | 0 : 0, 0 : 3 |
