Result
2:0
01/06/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 12
- Referee: Mattsson E. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, max Extra 5, Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (552/634) | 79% (293/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (552/634) | 79% (293/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (13/31) | 55% (32/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (131/177) | 73% (85/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (11/24) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Bergstrom J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', Kalu J. 🟨,
- 59', Bergstrom J. ↓, Johansson A. ↑,
- 59', Gustafson V. ↓, Thorell L. ↑,
- 59', Isaksson M. ↓, Stavitski T. ↑,
- 67', Larsson V. ↓, Rapp J. ↑,
- 67', Kalu J. ↓, Cibicki P. ↑,
- 69', Junior Adjei F. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 0, Johansson A. ⚽, Stroud E. (A),
- 86', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
- 88', Manneh A. ↓, Tidstrand L. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 0, Johansson A. ⚽,
- 90+3', Noren A. ↓, Miftari A. ↑,
- 90+4', Bjornstrom A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mjällby
65.9% | Draw
20% | Värnamo
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Mjällby - Värnamo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.56) |
4.75 ↑
(4.25) |
6.82 ↑
(5.7) |
5%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Mjällby - Värnamo?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Mjällby will win (votes: 31 - 86.1%). Värnamo will win (votes: 3 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mjällby: 74.8% – 97.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mjällby will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 2.
- Mjällby is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Värnamo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Mjällby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Mjällby has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Mjällby is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Mjällby: Petersson A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Värnamo: Lohikangas A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mjällby: Isaksson M.
(Inactive)
Miettinen T.
(Inactive)
Stavitski T.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mjällby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Mjällby won against Värnamo?
Mjällby has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against Mjällby?
Värnamo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mjällby - Värnamo were as follows:
25.09.2024
Mjällby
-
Värnamo
1:1
02.06.2024
Värnamo
-
Mjällby
1:2
01.10.2023
Mjällby
-
Värnamo
2:3
10.04.2023
Värnamo
-
Mjällby
0:1
03.10.2022
Värnamo
-
Mjällby
2:1
Latest results of Mjällby
Latest results of Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 31:14 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | AIK | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 30 |
| 5 | Elfsborg | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | GAIS | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 28 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Hacken | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Djurgarden | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | -1 | 19 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:31 | -17 | 17 |
| 13 | Sirius | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 13 |
| 15 | Oster | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13:28 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
