Norrköping vs Värnamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Norrköping - Värnamo
Result
3:1
21/07/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 16
  • Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.801.28
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1815
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
79% (324/409)82% (313/383)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.801.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.000.83
Total shots
1815
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
78
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2424
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
79% (324/409)82% (313/383)
Long passes
33% (23/70)51% (21/41)
Passes in final third
76% (144/189)76% (81/106)
Crosses
6% (1/17)21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.73
Throw-ins
2318
Fouls
1313
Tackles
68% (13/19)57% (8/14)
Duels won
5349
Clearances
2124
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.832.00
Goals prevented
-0.17-1.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Nyman C. ,
  • 36', Andersson H. 🟨,
  • 42', Prica T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Thern S. , Kujundzic A. ,
  • 46', Zeljkovic A. , Alsalkhadi M. ,
  • 46', Grozdanic E. , Bjornstrom A. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Andersson H. , Alsalkhadi M. (A),
  • 52', 2 - 1, Traustason A. , Andersson D. (A),
  • 55', 3 - 1, Nyman C. , Traustason A. (A),
  • 61', Shamoun N. , Abdulrazak I. ,
  • 65', Bronner A. , Lushaku I. ,
  • 65', Traustason A. , Andersson A. ,
  • 68', Peprah K. 🟨,
  • 73', Peprah K. , Baggesen M. ,
  • 77', Prica T. , Kalley Y. ,
  • 81', Bilalovic K. , Coulibaly S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Norrköping
44.6%
Draw
26%
Värnamo
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 25.3% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 25.2% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Norrköping has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Norrköping - Värnamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.13)
    3.74
    (3.73)
    3.36
    (3.11)
    3%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Norrköping - Värnamo?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Norrköping will win (votes: 32 - 74.4%). Värnamo will win (votes: 6 - 14%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Norrköping: 61.4%87.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Norrköping will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 2.
    • Norrköping is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Värnamo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Norrköping may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Norrköping might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Norrköping: Bolma S. (Knee Injury) Mitov D. (Wrist Injury)
    • There are questionable in Norrköping: Lushaku I. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Värnamo: Lohikangas A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Norrköping won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Norrköping - Värnamo were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Värnamo - Norrköping 1:3
    27.10.2024 Värnamo - Norrköping 1:2
    27.05.2024 Norrköping - Värnamo 0:4
    16.03.2024 Norrköping - Värnamo 1:1
    08.10.2023 Värnamo - Norrköping 2:1
    Latest results of Norrköping
    12.07.2025 Malmö - Norrköping 3:1
    30.06.2025 Djurgården - Norrköping 1:1
    31.05.2025 Norrköping - GAIS 0:3
    26.05.2025 Norrköping - Mjällby 1:1
    Latest results of Värnamo
    13.07.2025 Värnamo - Djurgården 1:0
    05.07.2025 Hammarby - Värnamo 1:0
    29.06.2025 Värnamo - Elfsborg 0:0
    15.06.2025 Molde - Värnamo 2:3
    01.06.2025 Mjällby - Värnamo 2:0
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby17124133:132040
    2Hammarby17113331:141736
    3AIK1795324:16832
    4Malmo FF1786325:121330
    5Elfsborg1692527:19829
    6GAIS1677224:131128
    7Goteborg1681721:22-125
    8Hacken1664624:25-122
    9Djurgarden1664615:17-222
    10Brommapojkarna1661921:22-119
    11Norrkoping1653825:29-418
    12Halmstad1652914:31-1717
    13Sirius1634921:28-713
    14Degerfors16411118:36-1813
    15Oster16331012:23-1112
    16Varnamo16141113:28-157

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan