Result
3:1
21/07/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 16
- Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (324/409) | 82% (313/383) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (324/409) | 82% (313/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (23/70) | 51% (21/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (144/189) | 76% (81/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/17) | 21% (6/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 2.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Nyman C. ⚽,
- 36', Andersson H. 🟨,
- 42', Prica T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Thern S. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
- 46', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Alsalkhadi M. ↑,
- 46', Grozdanic E. ↓, Bjornstrom A. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Andersson H. ⚽, Alsalkhadi M. (A),
- 52', 2 - 1, Traustason A. ⚽, Andersson D. (A),
- 55', 3 - 1, Nyman C. ⚽, Traustason A. (A),
- 61', Shamoun N. ↓, Abdulrazak I. ↑,
- 65', Bronner A. ↓, Lushaku I. ↑,
- 65', Traustason A. ↓, Andersson A. ↑,
- 68', Peprah K. 🟨,
- 73', Peprah K. ↓, Baggesen M. ↑,
- 77', Prica T. ↓, Kalley Y. ↑,
- 81', Bilalovic K. ↓, Coulibaly S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Norrköping
44.6% | Draw
26% | Värnamo
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norrköping has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Norrköping - Värnamo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(2.13) |
3.74 ↑
(3.73) |
3.36 ↑
(3.11) |
3%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Norrköping - Värnamo?
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. Norrköping will win (votes: 32 - 74.4%). Värnamo will win (votes: 6 - 14%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norrköping: 61.4% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Norrköping will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 2.
- Norrköping is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Värnamo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Norrköping may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Norrköping might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Norrköping: Bolma S.
(Knee Injury)
Mitov D.
(Wrist Injury)
- There are questionable in Norrköping: Lushaku I.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Värnamo: Lohikangas A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Norrköping won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Norrköping won against Värnamo?
Norrköping has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against Norrköping?
Värnamo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Norrköping - Värnamo were as follows:
27.04.2025
Värnamo
-
Norrköping
1:3
27.10.2024
Värnamo
-
Norrköping
1:2
27.05.2024
Norrköping
-
Värnamo
0:4
16.03.2024
Norrköping
-
Värnamo
1:1
08.10.2023
Värnamo
-
Norrköping
2:1
Latest results of Norrköping
Latest results of Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 31:14 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | AIK | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 30 |
| 5 | Elfsborg | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | GAIS | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 28 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Hacken | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Djurgarden | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | -1 | 19 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:31 | -17 | 17 |
| 13 | Sirius | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 13 |
| 15 | Oster | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13:28 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
