Result
1:3
27/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Allsvenskan - Round 6
- Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (326/397) | 75% (256/342) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (326/397) | 75% (256/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (21/47) | 31% (17/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (101/135) | 51% (44/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (3/41) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.11 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', Bjornstrom A. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Jorgensen S. ⚽, Prica T. (A),
- 32', Sigurgeirsson I. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 2, Jorgensen S. ⚽, Sigurgeirsson I. (A),
- 39', Le Roux L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Grozdanic E. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
- 46', Johansson C. ↓, Kalu J. ↑,
- 46', Bjornstrom A. ↓, Lohikangas A. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 2, Bilalovic K. ⚽, Andersson H. (A),
- 51', 1 - 3, Rapp J. (Own goal),
- 60', Andersson H. 🟨,
- 63', Junior Adjei F. ↓, Thern S. ↑,
- 68', Lohikangas A. ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
- 75', Fransson A. ↓, Lushaku I. ↑,
- 75', Prica T. ↓, Karlsson D.M. ↑,
- 88', Traustason A. ↓, Andersson A. ↑,
- 90+1', Jorgensen S. ↓, Sogaard A. ↑,
- 90+3', Watson M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Värnamo
40.6% | Draw
27.6% | Norrköping
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Norrköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Värnamo - Norrköping Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.28) |
3.43 ↓
(3.74) |
2.97 ↑
(2.84) |
5.6%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Värnamo - Norrköping?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Värnamo will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Norrköping will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Värnamo: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Värnamo won 2.
- Värnamo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Norrköping is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Norrköping could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Norrköping: Bolma S.
(Inactive)
Jansson K.
(Inactive)
Mitov D.
(Inactive)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Värnamo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Värnamo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against Norrköping?
Värnamo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Norrköping won against Värnamo?
Norrköping has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Värnamo - Norrköping were as follows:
27.10.2024
Värnamo
-
Norrköping
1:2
27.05.2024
Norrköping
-
Värnamo
0:4
16.03.2024
Norrköping
-
Värnamo
1:1
08.10.2023
Värnamo
-
Norrköping
2:1
16.04.2023
Norrköping
-
Värnamo
2:1
Latest results of Värnamo
Latest results of Norrköping
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28:12 | 16 | 31 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25:9 | 16 | 30 |
| 3 | AIK | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 26 |
| 5 | Malmo FF | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 23 |
| 6 | GAIS | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 19 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 16 |
| 9 | Norrkoping | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | Hacken | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 | Sirius | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Brommapojkarna | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | Halmstad | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11:27 | -16 | 13 |
| 15 | Oster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11:24 | -13 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
Which TV channels are streaming of Värnamo - Norrköping?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Discovery+ |
 Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, max Extra 5, Max, TV4 Play |
