Öster vs Värnamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Öster - Värnamo
Result
4:3
14/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 23
  • Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 3, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.891.80
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1617
Shots on target
105
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
84% (487/582)78% (275/353)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.891.80
xG on target (xGOT)
2.672.29
Total shots
1617
Shots on target
105
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
1211
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
4122
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
67
Passes
84% (487/582)78% (275/353)
Long passes
39% (24/61)42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
79% (165/209)62% (64/104)
Crosses
17% (6/35)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.760.70
Throw-ins
3216
Fouls
77
Tackles
85% (11/13)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4639
Clearances
2450
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
2.292.67
Goals prevented
-0.71-1.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Uddenas O. , Christensen M. (A),
  • 23', 1 - 1, Meriluoto K. , Shamoun N. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 2, Meriluoto K. , Zeljkovic A. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 2, Aliev A. , Olsson D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 50', 2 - 3, Meriluoto K. , Alsalkhadi M. (A),
  • 56', Rodic V. , Ljung D. ,
  • 65', Zeljkovic A. , Cibicki P. ,
  • 66', Alsalkhadi M. , Kujundzic A. ,
  • 71', Ask D. , Soderberg N. ,
  • 71', Uddenas O. , Sejdiu P. ,
  • 76', Shamoun N. , Abdulrazak I. ,
  • 76', Larsson V. , Rapp J. ,
  • 80', Antonsson M. , Andersson H. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Kricak I. , Aliev A. (A),
  • 90+4', Kujundzic A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 4 - 3, Soderberg N. ,

Chances of winning


Öster
43.6%
Draw
26.9%
Värnamo
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 26.8% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 27.2% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Öster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Öster than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Öster - Värnamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.09)
    3.5
    (3.53)
    3.17
    (3.37)
    6.6%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Öster - Värnamo?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Öster will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Värnamo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Öster: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Öster (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Allsvenskan (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Öster won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Öster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Öster could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Öster: Bergquist L. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Öster won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Öster won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Öster - Värnamo were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Värnamo - Öster 1:1
    Latest results of Öster
    09.09.2025 Räppe GoIF - Öster 1:5
    31.08.2025 Hammarby - Öster 4:0
    25.08.2025 Öster - Norrköping 1:2
    17.08.2025 Häcken - Öster 0:2
    10.08.2025 Öster - Brommapojkarna 1:1
    Latest results of Värnamo
    30.08.2025 IFK Göteborg - Värnamo 1:0
    24.08.2025 Värnamo - Häcken 1:5
    18.08.2025 Värnamo - Degerfors 3:2
    11.08.2025 Elfsborg - Värnamo 2:2
    02.08.2025 Värnamo - GAIS 2:2
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby24176144:172757
    2Hammarby24154549:242549
    3AIK24127531:23843
    4GAIS24118535:231241
    5Goteborg24132933:29441
    6Malmo FF24109536:211539
    7Djurgarden24108632:23938
    8Elfsborg24114939:36337
    9Brommapojkarna24921337:37029
    10Norrkoping24851137:45-829
    11Sirius24751236:39-326
    12Hacken24751233:44-1126
    13Halmstad24741320:44-2425
    14Oster24571222:35-1322
    15Degerfors24541524:46-2219
    16Varnamo24261627:49-2212

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
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          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan