Result
4:3
14/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 23
- Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 3, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (487/582) | 78% (275/353) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (487/582) | 78% (275/353) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/61) | 42% (22/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (165/209) | 62% (64/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (6/35) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 2.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | -1.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 14', 1 - 0, Uddenas O. ⚽, Christensen M. (A),
- 23', 1 - 1, Meriluoto K. ⚽, Shamoun N. (A),
- 28', 1 - 2, Meriluoto K. ⚽, Zeljkovic A. (A),
- 45', 2 - 2, Aliev A. ⚽, Olsson D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', 2 - 3, Meriluoto K. ⚽, Alsalkhadi M. (A),
- 56', Rodic V. ↓, Ljung D. ↑,
- 65', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Cibicki P. ↑,
- 66', Alsalkhadi M. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
- 71', Ask D. ↓, Soderberg N. ↑,
- 71', Uddenas O. ↓, Sejdiu P. ↑,
- 76', Shamoun N. ↓, Abdulrazak I. ↑,
- 76', Larsson V. ↓, Rapp J. ↑,
- 80', Antonsson M. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 3, Kricak I. ⚽, Aliev A. (A),
- 90+4', Kujundzic A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 4 - 3, Soderberg N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Öster
43.6% | Draw
26.9% | Värnamo
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Öster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Öster than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Öster - Värnamo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(2.09) |
3.5 ↓
(3.53) |
3.17 ↓
(3.37) |
6.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Öster - Värnamo?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Öster will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Värnamo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Öster: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Öster (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Allsvenskan (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Öster won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Öster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Öster could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Öster: Bergquist L.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Öster won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Öster won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Öster won against Värnamo?
Öster has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against Öster?
Värnamo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Öster - Värnamo were as follows:
24.05.2025
Värnamo
-
Öster
1:1
Latest results of Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 52 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | GAIS | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | AIK | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 34:27 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Goteborg | 26 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 7 | Djurgarden | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Hacken | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Sirius | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 | Norrkoping | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 29 |
| 13 | Halmstad | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 21:47 | -26 | 28 |
| 14 | Oster | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 27:48 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 32:54 | -22 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
