Varnsdorf vs Sparta Kolín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
10/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. CFL - Group B - Round 17

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
56
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
69
Corner Kicks
56
Goalkeeper Saves
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Kubes M. ,
  • 14', Skorepa M. 🟨,
  • 32', Moussa I. , Plachy J. ,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Senko K. ,
  • 39', Hypsman D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Pelyak D. , Houha K. ,
  • 56', Hubl H. , Hodac M. ,
  • 57', Funda L. , Taveira A. ,
  • 57', Grafek D. , Costa R. ,
  • 57', Galeno N. D. S. , Lopez M. ,
  • 74', Matviichuk I. 🟨,
  • 75', Plachy J. 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Senko K. ,
  • 83', Hypsman D. , Soukup M. ,
  • 85', Taveira A. 🟨,
  • 85', Sodoma J. 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Sodoma J. ,
  • 90+2', Ahile T. , Truchan S. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Varnsdorf
32.8%
Draw
24.3%
Sparta Kolín
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 24.9% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 25.1% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varnsdorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varnsdorf's form might have worsened.
  • Sparta Kolín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sparta Kolín's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varnsdorf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Kolín than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sparta Kolín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Varnsdorf - Sparta Kolín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.32)
    3.78
    (3.62)
    2.15
    (2.48)
    8.7%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Varnsdorf - Sparta Kolín?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kolín will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kolín: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Kolín (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Varnsdorf (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Kolín (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Varnsdorf (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Kolín (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 10).
    • Varnsdorf is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Kolín's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kolín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Varnsdorf won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Varnsdorf won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    Latest results of Varnsdorf
    Latest results of Sparta Kolín
    Czech CFL Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FK Ceska Lipa17160139:102948
    2Zapy17134038:132543
    3Hradec Kralove B17122336:152138
    4Teplice B17103429:171233
    5Banik Most-Sous17110632:211133
    6Jablonec B1791729:31-228
    7Pardubice B1764737:31622
    8Velke Hamry1562726:24220
    9Benatky n. Jiz1654726:29-319
    10Neratovice1654721:28-719
    11Mlada Boleslav B1754820:29-919
    12Liberec B1746734:34018
    13Usti nad Orlici1736817:27-1015
    14Kolin1728726:36-1014
    15Brozany16321122:37-1511
    16Velvary17321226:42-1611
    17Varnsdorf17141215:49-347

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