Varnsdorf vs Sparta Kolín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Czech CFL Group B Varnsdorf - Sparta Kolín
Result
2:2
10/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. CFL - Group B - Round 17

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
56
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
69
Corner Kicks
56
Goalkeeper Saves
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Kubes M. ,
  • 14', Skorepa M. 🟨,
  • 32', Moussa I. , Plachy J. ,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Senko K. ,
  • 39', Hypsman D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Pelyak D. , Houha K. ,
  • 56', Hubl H. , Hodac M. ,
  • 57', Funda L. , Taveira A. ,
  • 57', Grafek D. , Costa R. ,
  • 57', Galeno N. D. S. , Lopez M. ,
  • 74', Matviichuk I. 🟨,
  • 75', Plachy J. 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Senko K. ,
  • 83', Hypsman D. , Soukup M. ,
  • 85', Taveira A. 🟨,
  • 85', Sodoma J. 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Sodoma J. ,
  • 90+2', Ahile T. , Truchan S. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Varnsdorf
32.8%
Draw
24.3%
Sparta Kolín
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 24.9% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 25.1% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varnsdorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varnsdorf's form might have worsened.
  • Sparta Kolín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sparta Kolín's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varnsdorf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Kolín than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sparta Kolín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Varnsdorf - Sparta Kolín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.32)
    3.78
    (3.62)
    2.15
    (2.48)
    8.1%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Varnsdorf - Sparta Kolín?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kolín will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kolín: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sparta Kolín will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 10).
    • Varnsdorf is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Kolín's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kolín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Varnsdorf won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Varnsdorf won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    Latest results of Varnsdorf
    Latest results of Sparta Kolín
    Czech CFL Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zapy1183026:101627
    2FK Ceska Lipa980120:81224
    3Banik Most-Sous1080217:10724
    4Hradec Kralove B971122:61622
    5Jablonec B1061318:12619
    6Velke Hamry1051420:14616
    7Teplice B843116:12415
    8Benatky n. Jiz1042419:17214
    9Pardubice B1033421:19212
    10Kolin1125421:23-211
    11Usti nad Orlici932410:12-211
    12Neratovice1132615:23-811
    13Mlada Boleslav B1032513:21-811
    14Liberec B1022620:22-28
    15Brozany101279:22-135
    16Varnsdorf100379:30-213
    17Velvary1002816:31-152

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