Varnsdorf vs Sparta Kolín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
10/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. CFL - Group B - Round 17

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
56
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
69
Corner Kicks
56
Goalkeeper Saves
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Kubes M. ,
  • 14', Skorepa M. 🟨,
  • 32', Moussa I. , Plachy J. ,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Senko K. ,
  • 39', Hypsman D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Pelyak D. , Houha K. ,
  • 56', Hubl H. , Hodac M. ,
  • 57', Funda L. , Taveira A. ,
  • 57', Grafek D. , Costa R. ,
  • 57', Galeno N. D. S. , Lopez M. ,
  • 74', Matviichuk I. 🟨,
  • 75', Plachy J. 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Senko K. ,
  • 83', Hypsman D. , Soukup M. ,
  • 85', Taveira A. 🟨,
  • 85', Sodoma J. 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Sodoma J. ,
  • 90+2', Ahile T. , Truchan S. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Varnsdorf
32.8%
Draw
24.3%
Sparta Kolín
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 24.9% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 25.1% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varnsdorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varnsdorf's form might have worsened.
  • Sparta Kolín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sparta Kolín's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varnsdorf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Kolín than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sparta Kolín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Varnsdorf - Sparta Kolín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.32)
    3.78
    (3.62)
    2.15
    (2.48)
    8.7%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Varnsdorf - Sparta Kolín?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kolín will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kolín: 41.6%98.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Kolín (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Varnsdorf (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Kolín (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Varnsdorf (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Kolín (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 10).
    • Varnsdorf is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Kolín's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kolín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Varnsdorf won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Varnsdorf won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    Latest results of Varnsdorf
    Latest results of Sparta Kolín
    Czech CFL Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FK Ceska Lipa22201153:134061
    2Zapy23174249:183155
    3Hradec Kralove B22153445:222348
    4Banik Most-Sous22132743:291441
    5Teplice B23125635:231241
    6Jablonec B22112937:39-235
    7Pardubice B2386949:391030
    8Benatky n. Jiz2276937:41-427
    9Velke Hamry2267935:35025
    10Mlada Boleslav B22661027:37-1024
    11Neratovice22661026:36-1024
    12Kolin23411833:43-1023
    13Usti nad Orlici23571122:35-1322
    14Liberec B23471238:48-1019
    15Velvary22531431:51-2018
    16Brozany23461328:50-2218
    17Varnsdorf23461324:53-2918

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