Varvara Gracheva vs Elena Gabriela Ruse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Osaka Varvara Gracheva - Elena Gabriela Ruse
Result
2:0
12/10/2025 at 22:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Osaka - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
59%56%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (19/33)65% (24/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
74% (17/23)28% (8/29)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)17% (1/6)
1st Return Points Won
35% (13/37)42% (14/33)
2nd Return Points Won
72% (21/29)26% (6/23)
Break Points Converted
83% (5/6)75% (3/4)
Service Points Won
64% (36/56)48% (32/66)
Return Points Won
52% (34/66)36% (20/56)
Total Points Won
57% (70/122)43% (52/122)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)50% (5/10)
Return Games Won
50% (5/10)30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Varvara Gracheva
43.9%
Elena Gabriela Ruse
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Gracheva's form might have worsened.
  • Elena Gabriela Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elena Gabriela Ruse's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varvara Gracheva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Gabriela Ruse than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elena Gabriela Ruse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Varvara Gracheva - Elena Gabriela Ruse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (1.8)

    1.69
    (1.91)
    5.6%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Gracheva is ranked WTA: 82. Ruse is ranked WTA: 100.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ruse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Varvara Gracheva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Osaka N. (1)Sonobe W. (WC)2 : 0
    2Lamens S.Arango E.2 : 0
    3Cristian J.Cocciaretto E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Volynets K. (Q)Bouzas Maneiro J. (8)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (3)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    6Valentova T. (Q)Eala A.2 : 0
    7Sakkari M.Krueger A.1 : 2
    8Hibino N. (WC)Danilovic O. (6)1 : 2
    9Li A. (7)Gracheva V. (Q)2 : 0
    10Garland J. (Q)Sramkova R.0 : 2
    11Galfi D. (Q)Parks A.2 : 0
    12Baptiste H.Fernandez L. (4)0 : 2
    13Bouzkova M. (5)Shibahara E. (WC)2 : 0
    14Golubic V.Andreescu B.2 : 1
    15Cirstea S.Uchijima M. (WC)2 : 1
    16Boulter K.Noskova L. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Osaka N. (1)Lamens S.2 : 1
    2Cristian J.Bouzas Maneiro J. (8)2 : 1
    3Mertens E. (3)Valentova T.0 : 2
    4Krueger A.Danilovic O. (6)0 : 2
    5Li A. (7)Sramkova R.1 : 2
    6Galfi D.Fernandez L. (4)0 : 2
    7Bouzkova M. (5)Golubic V.1 : 2
    8Cirstea S.Boulter K.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Osaka N. (1)Cristian J. (WO.)
    2Valentova T.Danilovic O. (6)2 : 1
    3Sramkova R.Fernandez L. (4)0 : 2
    4Golubic V.Cirstea S.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cristian J.Valentova T.1 : 2
    2Fernandez L. (4)Cirstea S.2 : 1

    Final
    1Valentova T.Fernandez L. (4)1 : 2