Varvara Gracheva vs Elise Mertens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Charleston Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens
Result
0:2
02/04/2025 at 19:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Charleston, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
47
1st Serve Percentage
47%52%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (21/37)67% (26/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (16/41)50% (18/36)
Break Points Saved
60% (9/15)73% (8/11)
1st Return Points Won
33% (13/39)43% (16/37)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (18/36)61% (25/41)
Break Points Converted
27% (3/11)40% (6/15)
Service Points Won
47% (37/78)59% (44/75)
Return Points Won
41% (31/75)53% (41/78)
Total Points Won
44% (68/153)56% (85/153)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
45% (5/11)70% (7/10)
Return Games Won
30% (3/10)55% (6/11)
Total Games Won
38% (8/21)62% (13/21)

Chances of winning


Varvara Gracheva
33.6%
Elise Mertens
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 71%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (3.12)

    1.43
    (1.37)
    5.2%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Mertens will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gracheva is ranked WTA: 66. Mertens is ranked WTA: 28.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Gracheva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Mertens is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Gracheva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens were as follows:
    04.04.2024 Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens 1:2
    Latest results of Varvara Gracheva
    Latest results of Elise Mertens
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Watson H. (WC)Shymanovich I. (Q)0 : 2
    3Tomljanovic A.Okamura K. (Q)2 : 1
    4ByeStearns P. (16)
    5Ostapenko J. (11)Bye
    6Chirico L. (Q)Andreeva E.2 : 1
    7Tomova V.Montgomery R.0 : 2
    8ByeCollins D. (7)
    9Zheng Q. (3)Bye
    10Sakkari M.Stakusic M. (WC)2 : 0
    11Dart H.Gracheva V.1 : 2
    12ByeMertens E. (13)
    13Alexandrova E. (9)Bye
    14Li A.Blinkova A.2 : 0
    15Kudermetova P.Begu I.2 : 0
    16ByeShnaider D. (6)
    17Anisimova A. (8)Bye
    18Mateas M. (WC)Kudermetova V.0 : 2
    19Zhang S. (Q)Bronzetti L.2 : 1
    20ByePutintseva Y. (10)
    21Krueger A. (15)Bye
    22Volynets K.Sebov K. (Q)2 : 0
    23Gadecki O.Baptiste H.0 : 2
    24ByeNavarro E. (4)
    25Kasatkina D. (5)Bye
    26Davis L. (WC)Loeb J. (Q)2 : 1
    27Kenin S.Pera B.2 : 0
    28ByeBencic B. (17)
    29Kalinskaya A. (14)Bye
    30Kalinina A.McNally C. (Q)1 : 2
    31Dolehide C.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    32ByeKeys M. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Shymanovich I.2 : 0
    2Tomljanovic A.Stearns P. (16)2 : 0
    3Ostapenko J. (11)Chirico L.2 : 0
    4Montgomery R.Collins D. (7)0 : 2
    5Zheng Q. (3)Sakkari M.2 : 0
    6Gracheva V.Mertens E. (13)0 : 2
    7Alexandrova E. (9)Li A.2 : 0
    8Kudermetova P.Shnaider D. (6)0 : 2
    9Anisimova A. (8)Kudermetova V.2 : 0
    10Zhang S.Putintseva Y. (10)0 : 2
    11Krueger A. (15)Volynets K.2 : 0
    12Baptiste H.Navarro E. (4)0 : 2
    13Kasatkina D. (5)Davis L.2 : 0
    14Kenin S.Bencic B. (17)2 : 0
    15Kalinskaya A. (14)McNally C.2 : 0
    16Dolehide C.Keys M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    2Ostapenko J. (11)Collins D. (7)0 : 2
    3Zheng Q. (3)Mertens E. (13)2 : 1
    4Alexandrova E. (9)Shnaider D. (6)2 : 0
    5Anisimova A. (8)Putintseva Y. (10)2 : 0
    6Krueger A. (15)Navarro E. (4)1 : 2
    7Kasatkina D. (5)Kenin S.0 : 2
    8Kalinskaya A. (14)Keys M. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Collins D. (7)2 : 1
    2Zheng Q. (3)Alexandrova E. (9)0 : 2
    3Anisimova A. (8)Navarro E. (4)2 : 0
    4Kenin S.Kalinskaya A. (14)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Alexandrova E. (9)2 : 1
    2Anisimova A. (RET.) (8)Kenin S.0 : 0

    Final
    1Pegula J. (1)Kenin S.2 : 0