Varvara Gracheva vs Elise Mertens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
02/04/2025 at 19:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Charleston, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
47
1st Serve Percentage
47%52%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (21/37)67% (26/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (16/41)50% (18/36)
Break Points Saved
60% (9/15)73% (8/11)
1st Return Points Won
33% (13/39)43% (16/37)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (18/36)61% (25/41)
Break Points Converted
27% (3/11)40% (6/15)
Service Points Won
47% (37/78)59% (44/75)
Return Points Won
41% (31/75)53% (41/78)
Total Points Won
44% (68/153)56% (85/153)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
45% (5/11)70% (7/10)
Return Games Won
30% (3/10)55% (6/11)
Total Games Won
38% (8/21)62% (13/21)

Chances of winning


Varvara Gracheva
33.6%
Elise Mertens
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 71%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (3.12)

    1.43
    (1.37)
    5.2%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Mertens will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gracheva is ranked WTA: 66. Mertens is ranked WTA: 28.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Gracheva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Mertens is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Gracheva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens were as follows:
    04.04.2024 Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens 1:2
    Latest results of Varvara Gracheva
    Latest results of Elise Mertens
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Putintseva Y.Sun L.2 : 0
    3Sherif M.Yuan Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCocciaretto E. (14)
    5Fernandez L. (9)Bye
    6Kudermetova P. (Q)Oliynykova O.2 : 1
    7Lys E.Volynets K.1 : 2
    8ByeShnaider D. (7)
    9Jovic I. (4)Bye
    10Parks A.Stoiana M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Andreescu B. (WC)Galfi D.2 : 1
    12ByeKenin S. (16)
    13Sakkari M. (10)Bye
    14Day K. (Q)Badosa P. (WC)0 : 2
    15Tomova V. (Q)Brady J. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByeKalinskaya A. (8)
    17Keys M. (5)Bye
    18Tomljanovic A.Vekic D. (Q)1 : 2
    19Vidmanova D. (LL)Bondar A.0 : 2
    20ByeFrech M. (11)
    21Bejlek S. (13)Bye
    22Sierra S. (RET.)Urhobo A. (Q)0 : 1
    23Zakharova A.Yastremska D.0 : 2
    24ByeBencic B. (3)
    25Stearns P. (17)Bye
    26Krueger A.McNally C.2 : 1
    27Kalieva E. (LL)Kessler M.1 : 2
    28ByeTjen J. (12)
    29Baptiste H. (15)Bye
    30Stephens S. (WC)Zarazua R.0 : 2
    31Zhang S.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2
    32ByeGorgodze E. (LL)

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    2Yuan Y.Cocciaretto E. (14)0 : 2
    3Fernandez L. (9)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    4Volynets K.Shnaider D. (7)0 : 2
    5Jovic I. (4)Parks A.2 : 0
    6Andreescu B.Kenin S. (16)0 : 2
    7Sakkari M. (10)Badosa P.0 : 2
    8Tomova V.Kalinskaya A. (8)0 : 2
    9Keys M. (5)Vekic D.2 : 0
    10Bondar A.Frech M. (11)2 : 0
    11Bejlek S. (13)Urhobo A.2 : 0
    12Yastremska D.Bencic B. (3)1 : 2
    13Stearns P. (17)Krueger A.2 : 0
    14Kessler M.Tjen J. (12)2 : 0
    15Baptiste H. (15)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    16Starodubtseva Y.Gorgodze E. (LL)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Cocciaretto E. (14)2 : 1
    2Fernandez L. (9)Shnaider D. (7)0 : 2
    3Jovic I. (4)Kenin S. (16)2 : 0
    4Badosa P.Kalinskaya A. (8)0 : 2
    5Keys M. (5)Bondar A.2 : 0
    6Bejlek S. (13)Bencic B. (3)0 : 2
    7Stearns P. (17)Kessler M.1 : 2
    8Zarazua R.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Shnaider D. (7)2 : 1
    2Jovic I. (4)Kalinskaya A. (8)2 : 0
    3Keys M. (5)Bencic B. (3)2 : 1
    4Kessler M.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Jovic I. (4)2 : 1
    2Keys M. (5)Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Final
    1Pegula J. (1)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0