Emiliana Arango vs Varvara Gracheva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Tokyo Emiliana Arango - Varvara Gracheva
Result
1:2
17/10/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
04
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
67%67%
1st Serve Points Won
53% (29/55)60% (36/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (12/27)37% (11/30)
Break Points Saved
30% (3/10)50% (6/12)
1st Return Points Won
45% (27/60)47% (26/55)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (19/30)56% (15/27)
Break Points Converted
50% (6/12)70% (7/10)
Service Points Won
50% (41/82)52% (47/90)
Return Points Won
48% (43/90)50% (41/82)
Total Points Won
49% (84/172)51% (88/172)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (7/14)57% (8/14)
Return Games Won
43% (6/14)50% (7/14)
Total Games Won
46% (13/28)54% (15/28)

Chances of winning


Emiliana Arango
30.9%
Varvara Gracheva
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 55.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emiliana Arango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emiliana Arango's form might have worsened.
  • Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varvara Gracheva's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emiliana Arango than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emiliana Arango, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varvara Gracheva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Emiliana Arango - Varvara Gracheva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (2.09)

    1.49
    (1.7)
    -2.9%
    (6.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Arango is ranked WTA: 46. Gracheva is ranked WTA: 83.
    • Arango has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gracheva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gracheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Gracheva might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arango won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Emiliana Arango - Varvara Gracheva were as follows:
    18.02.2023 Varvara Gracheva - Emiliana Arango 2:0
    Latest results of Emiliana Arango
    Latest results of Varvara Gracheva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Bye
    2Wang Xin.Gracheva V. (Q)1 : 2
    3Golubic V. (LL)Joint M.1 : 2
    4Vondrousova M. (RET.)Muchova K. (8)0 : 1
    5Alexandrova E. (3)Bye
    6Charaeva A. (Q)Cristian J.0 : 2
    7Sonobe W. (WC)Bartunkova N. (WC)2 : 0
    8Uchijima M. (WC)Kenin S.0 : 2
    9Shnaider D. (7)Yastremska D.2 : 0
    10Lamens S. (LL)Kalinskaya A.0 : 2
    11Bucsa C. (Q)Kessler M.1 : 2
    12ByeNoskova L. (6)
    13Mboko V. (9)Andreescu B. (WC)2 : 0
    14Boulter K. (Q)Lys E. (Q)0 : 2
    15Fernandez L.Sakkari M. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Gracheva V.
    2Joint M.Muchova K. (8)
    3Alexandrova E. (3)Cristian J.
    4Sonobe W.Kenin S.
    5Shnaider D. (7)Kalinskaya A.
    6Kessler M.Noskova L. (6)
    7Mboko V. (9)Lys E.
    8Fernandez L.Rybakina E. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2