Result
2:1
15/05/2025 at 06:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Paris, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 53% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (45/80) | 59% (24/41) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 39% (14/36) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 45% (5/11) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (21/41) | 46% (37/80) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (22/36) | 49% (22/45) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 50% (6/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (70/129) | 49% (38/77) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (39/77) | 46% (59/129) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (109/206) | 47% (97/206) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 54% (7/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 43% (6/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 52% (14/27) | 48% (13/27) |
Chances of winning
Varvara Gracheva
44.2% | Hailey Baptiste
55.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Hailey Baptiste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Varvara Gracheva - Hailey Baptiste Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2.01) |
|
1.67 ↓
(1.72) |
6.8%
(7.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Varvara Gracheva - Hailey Baptiste?
Users Predictions:
Hailey Baptiste will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Gracheva is ranked WTA: 65. Baptiste is ranked WTA: 90.
- Recent performances by Gracheva have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Baptiste is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Gracheva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- We predict that Baptiste will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gracheva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Varvara Gracheva won against Hailey Baptiste?
Varvara Gracheva has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hailey Baptiste won against Varvara Gracheva?
Hailey Baptiste has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varvara Gracheva - Hailey Baptiste were as follows:
03.10.2024
Hailey Baptiste
-
Varvara Gracheva
0:2
25.09.2024
Varvara Gracheva
-
Hailey Baptiste
0:2
Latest results of Varvara Gracheva
Latest results of Hailey Baptiste
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Anisimova A. (1) | Starodubtseva Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Martic P. | Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Ferro F. (Q) | Zakharova A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Paquet C. | Birrell K. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Sun L. (3) | Belgraver J. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Sierra S. | Golubic V. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Sasnovich A. | Carle M. L. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Lim J. (Q) | Siniakova K. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Gracheva V. (8) | Chirico L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Parry D. | Baptiste H. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Rakhimova K. | Efremova K. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Sawangkaew M. | Uchijima M. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Kartal S. (5) | Ito A. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Jacquemot E. (Q) | Yuan Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Saville D. | Romero Gormaz L. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Andreeva E. | Boulter K. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Anisimova A. (1) | Martic P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Zakharova A. | Paquet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Belgraver J. | Sierra S. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Sasnovich A. (WO.) | Siniakova K. (7) | |
| 5 | Gracheva V. (8) | Baptiste H. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Rakhimova K. | Uchijima M. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Kartal S. (RET.) (5) | Jacquemot E. | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Saville D. | Boulter K. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Anisimova A. (RET.) (1) | Paquet C. | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Belgraver J. | Sasnovich A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Gracheva V. (8) | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Jacquemot E. | Boulter K. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Paquet C. | Sasnovich A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gracheva V. (8) | Boulter K. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Paquet C. | Boulter K. (2) | 1 : 2 |
