Varvara Gracheva vs Jessica Pegula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
17/02/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
31
1st serve percentage
70%69%
1st serve points won
53% (21/40)85% (28/33)
2nd serve points won
29% (5/17)47% (7/15)
Break Points Saved
55% (6/11)80% (4/5)
1st return points won
24% (8/33)48% (19/40)
2nd return points won
53% (8/15)76% (13/17)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)45% (5/11)
Service Points Won
45% (25/56)67% (32/48)
Return Points Won
33% (16/48)55% (31/56)
Total Points Won
39% (41/104)61% (63/104)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
20
Service games won
38% (3/8)88% (7/8)
Return games won
13% (1/8)63% (5/8)
Total games won
25% (4/16)75% (12/16)

Chances of winning


Varvara Gracheva
16.1%
Jessica Pegula
83.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.9% 83.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Varvara Gracheva - Jessica Pegula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.83
    (5.6)

    1.14
    (1.14)
    5.1%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Varvara Gracheva - Jessica Pegula?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Gracheva (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +5.5 Games - Gracheva (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gracheva (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gracheva is ranked WTA: 60. Pegula is ranked WTA: 5.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Pegula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Pegula is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gracheva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    Latest results of Varvara Gracheva
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Bye
    2Maria T.Birrell K. (Q)1 : 2
    3Ruzic A. (LL)Raducanu E.2 : 1
    4Uchijima M. (Q)Zakharova A. (LL)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (9)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    6Sonmez Z. (WC)Bejlek S. (WC)0 : 2
    7Siniakova K.Badosa P.0 : 2
    8ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    9Gauff C. (3)Bye
    10Ostapenko J.Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    11Bouzkova M.Mertens E.0 : 2
    12Ruse G. (Q)Navarro E. (14)0 : 2
    13Noskova L. (10)Li A.2 : 1
    14Cirstea S.Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    15Baptiste H. (RET.) (LL)Eala A.0 : 1
    16ByePaolini J. (6)
    17Alexandrova E. (8)Bye
    18Sun L. (WC)Linette M.1 : 2
    19Stearns P. (LL)Frech M. (LL)2 : 0
    20Kenin S.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    21Jovic I. (16)Rakhimova K. (LL)2 : 1
    22Shnaider D.Joint M.2 : 0
    23Gracheva V. (Q)Sramkova R. (Q)2 : 1
    24ByePegula J. (4)
    25Andreeva M. (5)Bye
    26Siegemund L.Kasatkina D.0 : 2
    27Seidel E. (Q)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    28Cristian J.Marcinko P. (LL)2 : 0
    29Samsonova L. (13)Fernandez L.1 : 2
    30Yastremska D.Tjen J. (WC)0 : 2
    31Pavlyuchenkova A.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    32ByeAnisimova A. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Birrell K.2 : 0
    2Ruzic A.Zakharova A.2 : 1
    3Bencic B. (WO.) (9)Bejlek S.
    4Badosa P. (RET.)Svitolina E. (7)0 : 1
    5Gauff C. (3)Kalinskaya A.2 : 0
    6Mertens E.Navarro E. (14)2 : 0
    7Noskova L. (10)Cirstea S.0 : 2
    8Eala A.Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Linette M.1 : 2
    10Stearns P.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    11Jovic I. (16)Shnaider D.2 : 1
    12Gracheva V.Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (WO.) (5)Kasatkina D.
    14Seidel E. (RET.)Cristian J.0 : 1
    15Fernandez L.Tjen J.0 : 2
    16Krejcikova B.Anisimova A. (WO.) (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rybakina E. (RET.) (1)Ruzic A.1 : 1
    2Bencic B. (9)Svitolina E. (7)1 : 2
    3Gauff C. (3)Mertens E.2 : 1
    4Cirstea S.Eala A.0 : 2
    5Linette M.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    6Jovic I. (16)Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    7Andreeva M. (5)Cristian J.2 : 0
    8Tjen J.Anisimova A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ruzic A.Svitolina E. (7)1 : 2
    2Gauff C. (3)Eala A.2 : 0
    3Tauson C. (12)Pegula J. (4)1 : 2
    4Andreeva M. (5)Anisimova A. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Svitolina E. (7)Gauff C. (3)2 : 1
    2Pegula J. (4)Anisimova A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Svitolina E. (7)Pegula J. (4)0 : 2