Varvara Gracheva vs Lilli Tagger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/03/2026 at 18:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Chances of winning


Varvara Gracheva
58.1%
Lilli Tagger
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.3% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Gracheva's form might have worsened.
  • Lilli Tagger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilli Tagger's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varvara Gracheva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilli Tagger than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lilli Tagger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Varvara Gracheva - Lilli Tagger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.46)

    2.29
    (2.63)
    4.7%
    (6.5%)
    What is the prediction for Varvara Gracheva - Lilli Tagger?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Tagger will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gracheva: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Gracheva (votes: 2 - 50%). Tagger (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -3.5 Games - Tagger (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Tagger (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 Games - Tagger (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 Games - Tagger (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Games - Tagger (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 Games - Tagger (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Gracheva (votes: 2 - 20%). Tagger (votes: 8 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gracheva is ranked WTA: 58. Tagger is ranked WTA: 119.
    • Recent performances by Gracheva have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tagger is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Gracheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Gracheva could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Varvara Gracheva
    Latest results of Lilli Tagger
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Sakatsume H. (Q)Parks A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Cristian J.Tjen J.2 : 1
    4ByeJoint M. (29)
    5Jovic I. (18)Bye
    6Stephens S. (WC)Osorio C.0 : 2
    7Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)McNally C.2 : 1
    8ByeOsaka N. (16)
    9Mboko V. (10)Bye
    10Birrell K.Selekhmeteva O.2 : 0
    11Sonmez Z.Kessler M.2 : 0
    12ByeKalinskaya A. (23)
    13Raducanu E. (25)Bye
    14Seidel E.Zakharova A. (Q)0 : 2
    15Galfi D. (LL)Blinkova A.0 : 2
    16ByeAnisimova A. (6)
    17Gauff C. (4)Bye
    18Andreescu B. (WC)Rakhimova K. (Q)1 : 2
    19Yastremska D.Zhang S.2 : 0
    20ByeEala A. (31)
    21Shnaider D. (21)Bye
    22Cirstea S.Maria T.2 : 1
    23Bouzas Maneiro J.Haddad Maia B.2 : 1
    24ByeNoskova L. (14)
    25Alexandrova E. (11)Bye
    26Gibson T. (Q)Li A.2 : 0
    27Putintseva Y.Badosa P.2 : 0
    28ByeTauson C. (17)
    29Wang Xin. (30)Bye
    30Tomljanovic A.Ruse G.2 : 0
    31Potapova A.Stakusic M. (Q)2 : 1
    32ByePaolini J. (7)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Vekic D. (WC)Valentova T.
    35Volynets K. (WC)Sramkova R.
    36ByeOstapenko J. (26)
    37Mertens E. (22)Bye
    38Bucsa C.Vidmanova D. (Q)
    39Hunter S. (Q)Frech M.
    40ByeBencic B. (12)
    41Keys M. (15)Bye
    42Parry D. (Q)Williams V. (WC)
    43Tararudee L. (Q)Kartal S.0 : 2
    44ByeNavarro E. (20)
    45Kostyuk M. (28)Bye
    46Bouzkova M.Townsend T. (Q)0 : 2
    47Arango E.Baptiste H.
    48ByeRybakina E. (3)
    49Andreeva M. (8)Bye
    50Stearns P.Sierra S.
    51Siniakova K.Kenin S.
    52ByeFernandez L. (27)
    53Samsonova L. (19)Bye
    54Linette M.Krueger A.0 : 2
    55Siegemund L.Marcinko P.2 : 1
    56ByeSvitolina E. (9)
    57Muchova K. (13)Bye
    58Jacquemot E.Bondar A.
    59Ruzic A.Brady J. (WC)
    60ByeZheng Q. (24)
    61Sakkari M. (32)Bye
    62Gracheva V.Tagger L. (WC)
    63Jones F.Day K. (Q)0 : 2
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Sakatsume H.
    2Cristian J.Joint M. (29)
    3Jovic I. (18)Osorio C.
    4Jimenez Kasintseva V.Osaka N. (16)
    5Mboko V. (10)Birrell K.
    6Sonmez Z.Kalinskaya A. (23)
    7Raducanu E. (25)Zakharova A.
    8Blinkova A.Anisimova A. (6)
    9Gauff C. (4)Rakhimova K.
    10Yastremska D.Eala A. (31)
    11Shnaider D. (21)Cirstea S.
    12Bouzas Maneiro J.Noskova L. (14)
    13Alexandrova E. (11)Gibson T.
    14Putintseva Y.Tauson C. (17)
    15Wang Xin. (30)Tomljanovic A.
    16Potapova A.Paolini J. (7)
    17Pegula J. (5)TBD #34
    18TBD #35Ostapenko J. (26)
    19Mertens E. (22)TBD #38
    20TBD #39Bencic B. (12)
    21Keys M. (15)TBD #42
    22Kartal S.Navarro E. (20)
    23Kostyuk M. (28)Townsend T.
    24TBD #47Rybakina E. (3)
    25Andreeva M. (8)TBD #50
    26TBD #51Fernandez L. (27)
    27Samsonova L. (19)Krueger A.
    28Siegemund L.Svitolina E. (9)
    29Muchova K. (13)TBD #58
    30TBD #59Zheng Q. (24)
    31Sakkari M. (32)TBD #62
    32Day K.Swiatek I. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2