Varvara Gracheva vs Sonay Kartal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
15/04/2025 at 13:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Rouen, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
30
1st Serve Percentage
64%74%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (30/42)56% (27/48)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (11/24)24% (4/17)
Break Points Saved
86% (6/7)62% (8/13)
1st Return Points Won
44% (21/48)29% (12/42)
2nd Return Points Won
76% (13/17)54% (13/24)
Break Points Converted
38% (5/13)14% (1/7)
Service Points Won
63% (40/64)48% (31/65)
Return Points Won
52% (34/65)38% (24/64)
Total Points Won
57% (74/129)43% (55/129)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
88% (7/8)44% (4/9)
Return Games Won
56% (5/9)13% (1/8)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Varvara Gracheva
51.7%
Sonay Kartal
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Sonay Kartal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonay Kartal than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Varvara Gracheva - Sonay Kartal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.91)

    1.97
    (1.91)
    5.5%
    (4.7%)
    What is the prediction for Varvara Gracheva - Sonay Kartal?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Kartal will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gracheva: 29.6%90.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Varvara Gracheva will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gracheva is ranked WTA: 67. Kartal is ranked WTA: 60.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Gracheva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Varvara Gracheva
    Latest results of Sonay Kartal
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kostyuk M. (1)Parry D.2 : 0
    2McNally C.Volynets K.2 : 1
    3Rakhimova K.Kalieva E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Kasatkina D.Li A. (5)1 : 2
    5Baptiste H. (4)Ponchet J. (WC)2 : 1
    6Shymanovich I. (Q)Fruhvirtova L.2 : 0
    7Blinkova A.Salkova D. (LL)0 : 2
    8Maria T.Jacquemot E. (9)2 : 0
    9Cocciaretto E. (7)Charaeva A. (Q)2 : 1
    10Stephens S. (WC)Podrez V. (Q)0 : 2
    11Timofeeva M. (LL)Boulter K.0 : 2
    12Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC)Cristian J. (3)1 : 2
    13Tan H. (LL)Bondar A.1 : 2
    14Oliynykova O.Tagger L.2 : 1
    15Paquet C. (Q)Wang Xin. (Q)1 : 2
    16Ferro F. (WC)Cirstea S. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kostyuk M. (1)McNally C.2 : 1
    2Rakhimova K.Li A. (5)1 : 2
    3Baptiste H. (4)Shymanovich I.1 : 2
    4Salkova D.Maria T.0 : 2
    5Cocciaretto E. (7)Podrez V.1 : 2
    6Boulter K.Cristian J. (3)2 : 1
    7Bondar A.Oliynykova O.2 : 1
    8Wang Xin. (RET.)Cirstea S. (2)0 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Kostyuk M. (1)Li A. (5)2 : 1
    2Shymanovich I.Maria T.0 : 2
    3Podrez V.Boulter K.2 : 0
    4Bondar A.Cirstea S. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kostyuk M. (1)Maria T.2 : 0
    2Podrez V. (WO.)Cirstea S. (2)

    Final
    1Kostyuk M. (1)Podrez V.2 : 0