Varvara Lepchenko vs Alana Smith – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Guadalajara Varvara Lepchenko - Alana Smith
Result
1:2
06/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Guadalajara - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
74
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
72%64%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (45/69)68% (43/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (14/27)57% (20/35)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
32% (20/63)36% (25/69)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (15/35)48% (13/27)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)38% (3/8)
Service Points Won
61% (57/93)65% (63/97)
Return Points Won
35% (34/97)39% (36/93)
Total Points Won
48% (91/190)52% (99/190)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)87% (13/15)
Return Games Won
13% (2/15)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
45% (13/29)55% (16/29)

Chances of winning


Varvara Lepchenko
74.8%
Alana Smith
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.6% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varvara Lepchenko's performance.
  • Alana Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alana Smith might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alana Smith than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Varvara Lepchenko - Alana Smith Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.37)

    3.73
    (2.99)
    6.3%
    (6.4%)
    What is the prediction for Varvara Lepchenko - Alana Smith?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -4 Games - Lepchenko (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 122. Smith is ranked WTA: 330.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lepchenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lepchenko is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Varvara Lepchenko
    Latest results of Alana Smith
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mertens E. (1)Bye
    2Sakkari M.Jacquemot E.0 : 2
    3Trevisan M. (WC)Marino R.0 : 2
    4Sonmez Z.Maria T. (6)0 : 2
    5Ostapenko J. (3)Bye
    6Kudermetova P.Stakusic M. (Q)1 : 2
    7Hunter S. (WC)Siniakova K.2 : 1
    8Arango E.Linette M. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    9Parks A. (7)Vidmanova D. (Q)0 : 2
    10Bartunkova N. (WC)Fossa Huergo N. (Q)2 : 0
    11Stephens S. (WC)Stefanini L. (Q)1 : 2
    12ByeFrech M. (4)
    13Osorio C. (8)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    14Kawa K.Jovic I.1 : 2
    15Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Pridankina E. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeKudermetova V. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Mertens E. (1)Jacquemot E.1 : 2
    2Marino R.Maria T. (6)0 : 2
    3Ostapenko J. (3)Stakusic M.1 : 2
    4Hunter S.Arango E.0 : 2
    5Vidmanova D.Bartunkova N.0 : 2
    6Stefanini L.Frech M. (4)0 : 2
    7Osorio C. (8)Jovic I.0 : 2
    8Jimenez Kasintseva V.Kudermetova V. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Jacquemot E.Maria T. (6)2 : 1
    2Stakusic M.Arango E.0 : 2
    3Bartunkova N.Frech M. (4)2 : 0
    4Jovic I.Jimenez Kasintseva V.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Jacquemot E.Arango E.0 : 2
    2Bartunkova N.Jovic I.1 : 2

    Final
    1Arango E.Jovic I.0 : 2