Varvara Lepchenko vs Carolina Alves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
02/12/2025 at 16:25 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Quito, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
36
1st Serve Percentage
72%61%
1st Serve Points Won
55% (52/94)51% (36/71)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (14/37)42% (19/45)
Break Points Saved
58% (11/19)33% (5/15)
1st Return Points Won
51% (36/71)45% (42/94)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (26/45)62% (23/37)
Break Points Converted
67% (10/15)42% (8/19)
Service Points Won
50% (65/129)47% (54/115)
Return Points Won
53% (61/115)50% (64/129)
Total Points Won
52% (126/244)48% (118/244)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
04
Service Games Won
50% (8/16)38% (6/16)
Return Games Won
63% (10/16)50% (8/16)
Total Games Won
56% (18/32)44% (14/32)

Chances of winning


Varvara Lepchenko
76.8%
Carolina Alves
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.6% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7% 29.3%

Varvara Lepchenko - Carolina Alves Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.22
(1.39)

3.93
(2.78)
7.4%
(8%)
What is the prediction for Varvara Lepchenko - Carolina Alves?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alves (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 142. Alves is ranked WTA: 236.
    • Lepchenko is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Alves has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Alves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lepchenko is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Varvara Lepchenko
    Latest results of Carolina Alves
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Burillo Escorihuela I.2 : 1
    2Reasco Gonzalez M. E. (WC)Strakhova V. (Q)2 : 1
    3Giovannini L.Mediorreal A. V. (WC)2 : 1
    4Varela-Alvarado T. (Alt)Chwalinska M. (6)0 : 2
    5Udvardy P. (4)Cherubini D. (Q)2 : 0
    6Samson L.Ortenzi J.2 : 1
    7Romero C. (WC)Zolotareva A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Herrero Linana A.Papamichail D. (8)1 : 2
    9Erjavec V. (5)Tikhonova A.2 : 0
    10Akli A.Pigossi L.1 : 2
    11Nahimana S.Vargas V. (WC)2 : 0
    12Vedder E.Jeanjean L. (3)0 : 2
    13Lepchenko V. (7)Alves C.2 : 1
    14Kalieva E.Bulgaru M.2 : 0
    15Sorribes Tormo S.Hercog P.1 : 2
    16Colmegna M. (Q)Oliynykova O. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Reasco Gonzalez M. E. (WO.)
    2Giovannini L.Chwalinska M. (6)2 : 0
    3Udvardy P. (4)Samson L.2 : 0
    4Zolotareva A.Papamichail D. (8)0 : 2
    5Erjavec V. (5)Pigossi L.2 : 0
    6Nahimana S.Jeanjean L. (3)0 : 2
    7Lepchenko V. (7)Kalieva E.0 : 2
    8Hercog P.Oliynykova O. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Reasco Gonzalez M. E.Giovannini L.0 : 2
    2Udvardy P. (4)Papamichail D. (8)0 : 2
    3Erjavec V. (5)Jeanjean L. (3)0 : 2
    4Kalieva E.Hercog P.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Giovannini L.Papamichail D. (8)2 : 0
    2Jeanjean L. (3)Hercog P.0 : 2

    Final
    1Giovannini L.Hercog P.0 : 2