Varvara Lepchenko vs Elina Avanesyan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 14:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Merida - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
113
1st serve percentage
65%58%
1st serve points won
52% (34/65)50% (26/52)
2nd serve points won
43% (15/35)39% (15/38)
Break Points Saved
56% (10/18)47% (7/15)
1st return points won
50% (26/52)48% (31/65)
2nd return points won
61% (23/38)57% (20/35)
Break Points Converted
53% (8/15)44% (8/18)
Service Points Won
49% (49/100)46% (41/89)
Return Points Won
54% (48/89)51% (51/100)
Total Points Won
51% (97/189)49% (92/189)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
43% (6/14)38% (5/13)
Return games won
62% (8/13)57% (8/14)
Total games won
52% (14/27)48% (13/27)

Chances of winning


Varvara Lepchenko
41.1%
Elina Avanesyan
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 61.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Elina Avanesyan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Avanesyan than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Varvara Lepchenko - Elina Avanesyan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.09)

    1.61
    (1.63)
    5.7%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Varvara Lepchenko - Elina Avanesyan?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lepchenko will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Avanesyan will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lepchenko: 29.6%90.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Varvara Lepchenko will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 150. Avanesyan is ranked WTA: 178.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Avanesyan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lepchenko won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varvara Lepchenko - Elina Avanesyan were as follows:
    22.08.2023 Varvara Lepchenko - Elina Avanesyan 2:0
    Latest results of Varvara Lepchenko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bye
    2Hon P.Zarazua R.
    3Boulter K. (WC)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    4Osorio C.Tjen J. (6)
    5Li A. (3)Bye
    6Brace C. (Q)Sonmez Z.
    7Bucsa C.Vekic D.
    8Stakusic M. (WC)Yastremska D. (5)2 : 0
    9Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Watson H. (Q)
    10Frech M.Timofeeva M. (Q)
    11Arango E.Potapova A.2 : 0
    12ByeBouzkova M. (4)
    13Linette M. (8)Maria T.
    14Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    15Lepchenko V. (Q)Zhang S. (Q)
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)TBD #2
    2Boulter K.TBD #4
    3Li A. (3)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Stakusic M.
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6Arango E.Bouzkova M. (4)
    7TBD #13Jimenez Kasintseva V.
    8TBD #15Navarro E. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2