Varvara Lepchenko vs Harriet Dart – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Madrid Varvara Lepchenko - Harriet Dart
Result
2:1
21/04/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
26
1st Serve Percentage
67%60%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (34/59)66% (43/65)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (16/29)30% (13/44)
Break Points Saved
38% (3/8)50% (8/16)
1st Return Points Won
34% (22/65)42% (25/59)
2nd Return Points Won
70% (31/44)45% (13/29)
Break Points Converted
50% (8/16)63% (5/8)
Service Points Won
57% (50/88)51% (56/109)
Return Points Won
49% (53/109)43% (38/88)
Total Points Won
52% (103/197)48% (94/197)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)50% (8/16)
Return Games Won
50% (8/16)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
58% (18/31)42% (13/31)

Chances of winning


Varvara Lepchenko
62.1%
Harriet Dart
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 48.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varvara Lepchenko's performance.
  • Harriet Dart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Harriet Dart might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varvara Lepchenko that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harriet Dart than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harriet Dart could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Varvara Lepchenko - Harriet Dart Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.72)

    2.47
    (2.03)
    6.8%
    (7.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 120. Dart is ranked WTA: 110.
    • Recent matches Lepchenko is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Dart is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Dart could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Lepchenko will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Varvara Lepchenko
    Latest results of Harriet Dart
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Blinkova A. (Q)Udvardy P. (Q)2 : 0
    3Arango E. (WC)Osorio C.0 : 2
    4ByeMertens E. (28)
    5Putintseva Y. (22)Bye
    6Tomljanovic A. (WC)Masarova R. (Q)1 : 2
    7Stearns P.Birrell K.2 : 1
    8ByeAnisimova A. (15)
    9Bucsa C. (LL)Bye
    10Kudermetova V.Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    11Lamens S.Raducanu E.0 : 2
    12ByeKostyuk M. (24)
    13Kenin S. (32)Bye
    14Sun L.Gracheva V.2 : 1
    15Krueger A.Potapova A.1 : 2
    16ByeZheng Q. (8)
    17Pegula J. (3)Bye
    18Lys E.Kostovic T. (Q)2 : 0
    19Uchijima M.Montgomery R. (WC)2 : 1
    20ByeJabeur O. (26)
    21Alexandrova E. (21)Bye
    22Azarenka V.Danilovic O.0 : 2
    23Parks A.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)2 : 0
    24ByeKasatkina D. (14)
    25Rybakina E. (10)Bye
    26Kessler M.Andreescu B.0 : 2
    27Cristian J.Kartal S.0 : 2
    28ByeSvitolina E. (17)
    29Linette M. (29)Bye
    30Wang Xin.Sakkari M.0 : 2
    31Boulter K.Siniakova K.2 : 1
    32ByePaolini J. (6)
    33Andreeva M. (7)Bye
    34Zarazua R.Bouzkova M.1 : 2
    35Bouzas Maneiro J.Sherif M.2 : 0
    36ByeFrech M. (27)
    37Samsonova L. (18)Bye
    38Avanesyan E.Dolehide C.0 : 2
    39Starodubtseva Y. (Q)Fruhvirtova L. (WC)2 : 0
    40ByeCocciaretto E. (LL)
    41Haddad Maia B. (16)Bye
    42Pera B. (LL)Fett J. (Q)2 : 0
    43Bencic B.Sonmez Z. (Q)2 : 0
    44ByeTauson C. (20)
    45Fernandez L. (25)Bye
    46Sasnovich A. (Q)Li A.0 : 2
    47Jones F. (Q)Yastremska D.1 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (4)
    49Keys M. (5)Bye
    50Osaka N.Bronzetti L.1 : 2
    51Parry D. (Q)Begu I.2 : 0
    52ByeKalinskaya A. (30)
    53Vekic D. (19)Bye
    54Cirstea S.Baptiste H. (WC)1 : 2
    55Joint M. (Q)Martinez Cirez C. (WC)2 : 1
    56ByeNavarro E. (11)
    57Shnaider D. (13)Bye
    58Volynets K.Kvitova P.2 : 0
    59Sevastova A.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    60ByeOstapenko J. (23)
    61Noskova L. (31)Bye
    62Carle M. L. (Q)Sramkova R.2 : 0
    63Tomova V.Eala A. (WC)0 : 2
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Blinkova A.2 : 0
    2Osorio C.Mertens E. (28)0 : 2
    3Putintseva Y. (22)Masarova R.0 : 2
    4Stearns P.Anisimova A. (15)2 : 1
    5Bucsa C.Kudermetova V.1 : 2
    6Raducanu E.Kostyuk M. (24)1 : 2
    7Kenin S. (32)Sun L.2 : 0
    8Potapova A.Zheng Q. (8)2 : 0
    9Pegula J. (3)Lys E.2 : 0
    10Uchijima M.Jabeur O. (26)2 : 1
    11Alexandrova E. (21)Danilovic O.2 : 0
    12Parks A.Kasatkina D. (14)0 : 2
    13Rybakina E. (10)Andreescu B.2 : 0
    14Kartal S.Svitolina E. (17)0 : 2
    15Linette M. (29)Sakkari M.0 : 2
    16Boulter K.Paolini J. (6)0 : 2
    17Andreeva M. (7)Bouzkova M.2 : 0
    18Bouzas Maneiro J.Frech M. (27)1 : 2
    19Samsonova L. (18)Dolehide C.2 : 0
    20Starodubtseva Y.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    21Haddad Maia B. (16)Pera B.2 : 1
    22Bencic B.Tauson C. (20)2 : 0
    23Fernandez L. (25)Li A.1 : 2
    24Yastremska D.Gauff C. (4)1 : 2
    25Keys M. (5)Bronzetti L.2 : 0
    26Parry D.Kalinskaya A. (30)0 : 2
    27Vekic D. (19)Baptiste H.2 : 0
    28Joint M.Navarro E. (11)0 : 2
    29Shnaider D. (13)Volynets K.2 : 0
    30Sevastova A.Ostapenko J. (23)2 : 0
    31Noskova L. (31)Carle M. L.2 : 0
    32Eala A.Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Mertens E. (28)2 : 1
    2Masarova R.Stearns P.0 : 2
    3Kudermetova V.Kostyuk M. (24)1 : 2
    4Kenin S. (32)Potapova A.1 : 2
    5Pegula J. (3)Uchijima M.0 : 2
    6Alexandrova E. (21)Kasatkina D. (14)2 : 0
    7Rybakina E. (10)Svitolina E. (17)0 : 2
    8Sakkari M.Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    9Andreeva M. (7)Frech M. (27)2 : 0
    10Samsonova L. (18)Starodubtseva Y.1 : 2
    11Haddad Maia B. (16)Bencic B.1 : 2
    12Li A.Gauff C. (4)0 : 2
    13Keys M. (5)Kalinskaya A. (30)2 : 0
    14Vekic D. (19)Navarro E. (11)2 : 1
    15Shnaider D. (13)Sevastova A.2 : 0
    16Noskova L. (31)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Stearns P.2 : 0
    2Kostyuk M. (24)Potapova A.2 : 0
    3Uchijima M.Alexandrova E. (21)2 : 0
    4Svitolina E. (17)Sakkari M.2 : 0
    5Andreeva M. (7)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0
    6Bencic B.Gauff C. (4)0 : 2
    7Keys M. (5)Vekic D. (19)2 : 0
    8Shnaider D. (13)Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kostyuk M. (24)2 : 0
    2Uchijima M.Svitolina E. (17)0 : 2
    3Andreeva M. (7)Gauff C. (4)0 : 2
    4Keys M. (5)Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Svitolina E. (17)2 : 0
    2Gauff C. (4)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Gauff C. (4)2 : 0