Lia Karatancheva vs Varvara Lepchenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
31/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Bogota, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
32
1st serve percentage
65%67%
1st serve points won
64% (35/55)78% (40/51)
2nd serve points won
45% (13/29)52% (13/25)
Break Points Saved
3/61/2
1st return points won
24% (12/51)36% (20/55)
2nd return points won
48% (12/25)55% (16/29)
Break Points Converted
1/23/6
Service Points Won
59% (48/81)70% (53/76)
Return Points Won
30% (23/76)41% (33/81)
Total Points Won
45% (71/157)55% (86/157)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
77% (10/13)92% (12/13)
Return games won
8% (1/13)23% (3/13)
Total games won
42% (11/26)58% (15/26)

Chances of winning


Lia Karatancheva
36.6%
Varvara Lepchenko
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 60.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lia Karatancheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Lia Karatancheva - Varvara Lepchenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.5)

    1.5
    (1.53)
    5%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Lia Karatancheva - Varvara Lepchenko?
  • Users Predictions: Varvara Lepchenko will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 288. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 155.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Lepchenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lepchenko could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Karatancheva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lia Karatancheva - Varvara Lepchenko were as follows:
    16.01.2024 Varvara Lepchenko - Lia Karatancheva 2:0
    Latest results of Lia Karatancheva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bouzkova M. (1)Sanchez A. S. (Q)2 : 0
    2Vandewinkel H.Costoulas S.2 : 1
    3Tikhonova A. (Q)Papamichail D.0 : 2
    4Semenistaja D.Seidel E. (5)2 : 0
    5Osorio C. (3)Dolehide C.2 : 1
    6Burillo Escorihuela I. (Q)Ortenzi J. (Q)0 : 2
    7Janicijevic S. (Q)Riera J. (WC)0 : 2
    8Montgomery R.Blinkova A. (6)0 : 2
    9Udvardy P. (8)Torres Murcia M. C. (WC)2 : 1
    10Mandlik E.Pareja J. (WC)0 : 2
    11Monnet C.Kawa K.0 : 2
    12Mediorreal A. V. (WC)Maria T. (4)0 : 2
    13Jones F. (7)Maristany G.0 : 2
    14Arango E.Carle M. L.2 : 1
    15Karatancheva L. (Q)Lepchenko V.1 : 2
    16Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.Bouzas Maneiro J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Bouzkova M. (1)Vandewinkel H. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Papamichail D.Semenistaja D.1 : 2
    3Osorio C. (3)Ortenzi J.0 : 2
    4Riera J.Blinkova A. (6)2 : 1
    5Udvardy P. (8)Pareja J.2 : 1
    6Kawa K.Maria T. (4)2 : 0
    7Maristany G.Arango E.0 : 2
    8Lepchenko V.Bouzas Maneiro J. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Bouzkova M. (1)Semenistaja D.2 : 0
    2Ortenzi J.Riera J.2 : 1
    3Udvardy P. (8)Kawa K.2 : 0
    4Arango E.Lepchenko V.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Bouzkova M. (1)Ortenzi J.2 : 0
    2Udvardy P. (8)Arango E.2 : 1

    Final
    1Bouzkova M. (1)Udvardy P. (8)2 : 1