Varvara Lepchenko vs Petra Marcinko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Rome Challenger Women Varvara Lepchenko - Petra Marcinko
Result
0:2
18/07/2025 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
01
1st Serve Percentage
67%73%
1st Serve Points Won
42% (14/33)79% (23/29)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (7/16)64% (7/11)
Break Points Saved
29% (2/7)100% (3/3)
1st Return Points Won
21% (6/29)58% (19/33)
2nd Return Points Won
36% (4/11)56% (9/16)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/3)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
43% (21/49)75% (30/40)
Return Points Won
25% (10/40)57% (28/49)
Total Points Won
35% (31/89)65% (58/89)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
29% (2/7)100% (7/7)
Return Games Won
0% (0/7)71% (5/7)
Total Games Won
14% (2/14)86% (12/14)

Chances of winning


Varvara Lepchenko
32.8%
Petra Marcinko
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2% 52.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Lepchenko's form might have worsened.
  • Petra Marcinko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petra Marcinko's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varvara Lepchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petra Marcinko than the current prediction. (-14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petra Marcinko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Varvara Lepchenko - Petra Marcinko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.88
    (1.89)

    1.39
    (1.8)
    6.5%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Varvara Lepchenko - Petra Marcinko?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lepchenko will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Marcinko will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 125. Marcinko is ranked WTA: 169.
    • Recent performances by Lepchenko have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Marcinko is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lepchenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Marcinko is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Marcinko will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lepchenko won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varvara Lepchenko - Petra Marcinko were as follows:
    02.09.2024 Varvara Lepchenko - Petra Marcinko Canceled
    Latest results of Varvara Lepchenko
    Latest results of Petra Marcinko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Lepchenko V. (1)Pedone G.2 : 1
    2Zantedeschi A. (RET.) (WC)Rame A. (LL)1 : 1
    3Pigossi L.Gjorcheska L.0 : 2
    4Marcinko P.Salkova D. (6)2 : 0
    5Prozorova T. (4)Ortenzi J.2 : 0
    6Spiteri D. (WC)Boskovic L.2 : 0
    7Fita Boluda A.Riera J.0 : 2
    8Zidansek T.Vandewinkel H. (8)2 : 0
    9Radivojevic L. (7)Palicova B.2 : 1
    10Bandecchi S.Oktiabreva A. (WC)1 : 2
    11Liu C. (Q)Pigato L. (WC)2 : 0
    12Quevedo K.Selekhmeteva O. (3)0 : 2
    13Deichmann K. (5)Gorgodze E.0 : 2
    14In-Albon Y. (Q)Grant T. C. (Q)1 : 2
    15Brancaccio N.Trevisan M.1 : 2
    16Hesse A. (Q)Semenistaja D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Lepchenko V. (1)Rame A.2 : 0
    2Gjorcheska L.Marcinko P.0 : 2
    3Prozorova T. (4)Spiteri D.1 : 2
    4Riera J.Zidansek T.1 : 2
    5Radivojevic L. (7)Oktiabreva A.1 : 2
    6Liu C.Selekhmeteva O. (3)0 : 2
    7Gorgodze E.Grant T. C.1 : 2
    8Trevisan M.Semenistaja D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Lepchenko V. (1)Marcinko P.0 : 2
    2Spiteri D.Zidansek T.0 : 2
    3Oktiabreva A.Selekhmeteva O. (3)1 : 2
    4Grant T. C.Semenistaja D. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Marcinko P.Zidansek T.2 : 0
    2Selekhmeteva O. (3)Semenistaja D. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Marcinko P.Selekhmeteva O. (3)2 : 1