Varvara Lepchenko vs Shuai Zhang – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
24/02/2026 at 20:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Merida, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
58%75%
1st serve points won
59% (17/29)60% (26/43)
2nd serve points won
29% (6/21)79% (11/14)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)83% (5/6)
1st return points won
40% (17/43)45% (13/29)
2nd return points won
21% (3/14)71% (15/21)
Break Points Converted
17% (1/6)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
46% (23/50)65% (37/57)
Return Points Won
35% (20/57)54% (27/50)
Total Points Won
40% (43/107)60% (64/107)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
20
Service games won
29% (2/7)88% (7/8)
Return games won
13% (1/8)71% (5/7)
Total games won
20% (3/15)80% (12/15)

Chances of winning


Varvara Lepchenko
19.1%
Shuai Zhang
80.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 69.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Lepchenko's form might have worsened.
  • Shuai Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shuai Zhang's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varvara Lepchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shuai Zhang than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shuai Zhang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Varvara Lepchenko - Shuai Zhang Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.12
    (3.4)

    1.18
    (1.33)
    4%
    (4.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 152. Zhang is ranked WTA: 86.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lepchenko won 1.
    • Lepchenko is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Zhang has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Zhang is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lepchenko won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
    Latest results of Varvara Lepchenko
    Latest results of Shuai Zhang
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bye
    2Hon P.Zarazua R.2 : 1
    3Boulter K. (WC)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    4Osorio C.Tjen J. (6)2 : 0
    5Li A. (3)Bye
    6Brace C. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    7Bucsa C.Vekic D.2 : 0
    8Stakusic M. (WC)Yastremska D. (5)2 : 0
    9Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Watson H. (Q)2 : 0
    10Frech M.Timofeeva M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Arango E.Potapova A.2 : 0
    12ByeBouzkova M. (4)
    13Linette M. (8)Maria T.2 : 0
    14Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    15Lepchenko V. (Q)Zhang S. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Hon P.2 : 0
    2Boulter K.Osorio C. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Li A. (3)Sonmez Z.1 : 2
    4Bucsa C.Stakusic M.2 : 0
    5Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Frech M.0 : 2
    6Arango E. (RET.)Bouzkova M. (4)1 : 1
    7Linette M. (8)Jimenez Kasintseva V.1 : 2
    8Zhang S.Navarro E. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Boulter K.2 : 1
    2Sonmez Z.Bucsa C.0 : 2
    3Frech M.Bouzkova M. (4)2 : 1
    4Jimenez Kasintseva V.Zhang S.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bucsa C.0 : 2
    2Frech M.Zhang S.2 : 1

    Final
    1Bucsa C.Frech M.2 : 1