Varvara Lepchenko vs Shuai Zhang – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Merida, hard - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Varvara Lepchenko
21.5%
Shuai Zhang
78.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 69.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Lepchenko's form might have worsened.
  • Shuai Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shuai Zhang's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varvara Lepchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shuai Zhang than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shuai Zhang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Varvara Lepchenko - Shuai Zhang Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.38
    (3.4)

    1.2
    (1.33)
    5.9%
    (4.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 152. Zhang is ranked WTA: 86.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lepchenko won 1.
    • Lepchenko is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Zhang has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Zhang is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lepchenko won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
    Latest results of Varvara Lepchenko
    Latest results of Shuai Zhang
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bye
    2Stephens S. (WC)Zarazua R.
    3Boulter K. (WC)Haddad Maia B.
    4Osorio C.Tjen J. (6)
    5Li A. (3)Bye
    6Brace C. (Q)Sonmez Z.
    7Bucsa C.Vekic D.
    8Stakusic M. (WC)Yastremska D. (5)2 : 0
    9Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Watson H. (Q)
    10Frech M.Timofeeva M. (Q)
    11Arango E.Potapova A.
    12ByeBouzkova M. (4)
    13Linette M. (8)Maria T.
    14Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    15Lepchenko V. (Q)Zhang S. (Q)
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Li A. (3)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Stakusic M.
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Bouzkova M. (4)
    7TBD #13Jimenez Kasintseva V.
    8TBD #15Navarro E. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2