Result
1:3
05/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 63', 0 - 1, Mendes ⚽,
- 65', 0 - 2, Didinho ⚽,
- 78', 0 - 3, Jackie Chan ⚽,
- 90', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Várzea Grande
32% | Draw
29.4% | Nova Mutum
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Várzea Grande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Nova Mutum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Várzea Grande than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Mutum than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Várzea Grande - Nova Mutum Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↓
(3.12) |
3.08 ↓
(3.21) |
2.34 ↑
(2.2) |
10.5%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Várzea Grande has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Nova Mutum has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Várzea Grande may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Nova Mutum might have a minor edge in this game.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Várzea Grande won against Nova Mutum?
Várzea Grande has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nova Mutum won against Várzea Grande?
Nova Mutum has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Várzea Grande - Nova Mutum were as follows:
Latest results of Várzea Grande
Latest results of Nova Mutum
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Luverdense (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Sport Sinop (4) | Cuiaba (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Mixto (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Operario VG (3) | Nova Mutum (6) | 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Luverdense (1) | Sport Sinop (4) | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Mixto (2) | Operario VG (3) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Luverdense (1) | Mixto (2) | 0 : 0 |
